tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-77453700281909993302024-03-12T15:57:08.173-07:00alex shiu 的網誌Alex Shiu, alexshiu2011@gmail.comAlex Shiuhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02859312955376952283noreply@blogger.comBlogger552125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7745370028190999330.post-50747923096188833992020-08-19T00:23:00.003-07:002020-08-19T00:23:20.954-07:00香港人現在去英國買樓, 是否好主意?<p> </p><p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%;">只要有閒錢投資</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%;">其實買什麼地方的樓也可以。也知道身邊有些朋友</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%;">真的全世界</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%;">四處</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%;">投資物業,當成是集郵一般的嗜好。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">就算是演藝界名人</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">例如任達華</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">也是非常好此道的</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">也不是道聽途說了</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">是他本人現身說法。</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2018</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">年</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">月</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">9</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">日《明周》專訪</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">他自己親自說明的。《明周》如此報導:</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: black; font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">在</span><span style="color: black; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> 1990 </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: black; font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">年用第一桶金買樓後,再於</span><span style="color: black; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> 1997 </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: black; font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">年高峰位賣出獲利,其後在雷曼風暴、沙士和金融風暴後都曾經趁樓價低迷入市,除了在香港置業外,他不斷在海外買樓投資保值,至今物業遍佈北京、上海、倫敦、紐約、意大利和新加坡等地,擁有近三十個住宅和商舖,堪稱圈中的樓王</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: black; font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Microsoft JhengHei"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">。</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size: 8.0pt; line-height: 107%;"><a href="https://www.mpweekly.com/entertainment/focus/local/%E5%B0%81%E9%9D%A2%E6%95%85%E4%BA%8B/20180209-101223">https://www.mpweekly.com/entertainment/focus/local/%E5%B0%81%E9%9D%A2%E6%95%85%E4%BA%8B/20180209-101223</a><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">至於現時香港人因為大環境問題</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">忽然又要急於找海外市場來安排財富部署</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">也許比不上任達華的先見之明了。人家不是講什麼時勢</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">只講「樓市總有退燒的一日</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">」。這個是平常心的智慧問題</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">不是知識問題。很多人讀飽書也未必會有這點心思。</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">言歸正傳,現在才去英國買樓</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">又是否好主意</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">?</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">其實答案是:視乎目的而已。</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">假如是買樓自住</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">其實英國買樓比香港划算得多。按英國政府統計數字</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">以市區</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">多層</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">公寓來計</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">平均價錢是大約</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">二十</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">萬英鎊。換算港幣大約不到二百萬</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">
</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">(2020</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">年</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">8</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">月</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">19</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">日滙</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">率</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">計算</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">)</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">。</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">在</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">香港可能連一個車位也買不到。</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">至於香港</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">人</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">喜歡高追倫敦市區貴價樓</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">不貴不買的話。按《金融時報》的報導</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, 2019</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">年底的交易</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">(</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">疫症前</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">) </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">平均大約是</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">四十萬到五十萬鎊</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">
</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">(</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">大約</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">五</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">百萬港元</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">)</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">。而且相比一年前</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">, </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">是下跌了</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">5%</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">左右。香港人看起來好像很吸引</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">不過時報補充</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">… </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">仍然是倫敦人的</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">8.8</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">倍收入比例。不過這種他們認為不合理的負担比例</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">比起香港又是大幅低水</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">因為香港的負担比例動輒超過二十倍。</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size: 8.0pt; line-height: 107%;"><a href="https://www.ft.com/content/90ed1c22-358b-11ea-a6d3-9a26f8c3cba4">https://www.ft.com/content/90ed1c22-358b-11ea-a6d3-9a26f8c3cba4</a><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">而倫敦租金回報大約是</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">4.4%</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">。也頗合理。</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">不過假如是主要城區以外的話</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">回報反而可以高達</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">8%</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">。這點又有很多喜歡炒樓的香港人沒有留意了。之所以說</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%;"> </span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">視乎目的</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%;"> </span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">就是這個原因囉。</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">假如是長線投資的話</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">(</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">未計外匯變化</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">請留意這方面風險</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">), </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">英國政府數據也看來走勢不錯。當然和香港那種火箭式升幅又很難比較啦。</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">10</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">年升大約</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">30%, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">也算不錯了吧</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">?</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size: 8.0pt; line-height: 107%;"><a href="https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/housepriceindex/march2020#london-house-prices">https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/housepriceindex/march2020#london-house-prices</a><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjuMHn2Mpgn0wmqX1DjENqCNkAa58a5Riqu9VHRSVQC1pElWq3PMo0jEOnG0ptocKdrzlxMJAN7FrmqCKnWUi-TK0zjrTMby37QxAlYs0N4stxXrzfOZOgTNha7U6nRLybyybaeVLrAOeGt/s700/Figure+3_+England+house+prices+remain+the+highest+in+the+UK.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="574" data-original-width="700" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjuMHn2Mpgn0wmqX1DjENqCNkAa58a5Riqu9VHRSVQC1pElWq3PMo0jEOnG0ptocKdrzlxMJAN7FrmqCKnWUi-TK0zjrTMby37QxAlYs0N4stxXrzfOZOgTNha7U6nRLybyybaeVLrAOeGt/s640/Figure+3_+England+house+prices+remain+the+highest+in+the+UK.png" width="640" /></a></div><p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="text-align: center;"><br /></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">至於個別物業定個什麼價錢</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">還得又要看位置、地段、環境一堆因素啦。英國政府自己有公開資料的</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">大家可以自己看看。倫敦物業交易主要集中在三十萬到六十萬鎊的範圍。</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiCb17Z2Xzn_nW1tR9iyHadAzbO7ZkKZRjTC2yFxAkl-3r5nSCKfim47FKX8WVCyqbVbNPBou7queST2Q23qXb5sTRfgD9K7BCvChOFc-th6wBB7r99Ccim3MtnAG9Crebjxgeb98DpOm6h/s857/Figure+6_+The+proportion+of+transactions+for+properties+over+%25C2%25A3900%252C000+rose+between+Quarter+1+2019+and+Quarter+1+2020.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="857" data-original-width="700" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiCb17Z2Xzn_nW1tR9iyHadAzbO7ZkKZRjTC2yFxAkl-3r5nSCKfim47FKX8WVCyqbVbNPBou7queST2Q23qXb5sTRfgD9K7BCvChOFc-th6wBB7r99Ccim3MtnAG9Crebjxgeb98DpOm6h/s640/Figure+6_+The+proportion+of+transactions+for+properties+over+%25C2%25A3900%252C000+rose+between+Quarter+1+2019+and+Quarter+1+2020.png" /></a></div><p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="text-align: center;"><br /></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">另外一些參考數</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">據</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">應該也會讓香港的買家十分高興的。例如</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">平均住宅面積大約</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">500</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">平方呎。而平均呎價大約是</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">900</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">鎊</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">(</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">不到</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">一萬</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">港元</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">)</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">。不過有些「高級地段」就以倍數貴起來。最貴叫價去到</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2,000</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">鎊一呎。</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">(</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">當然</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">也不過大約二萬港元</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">連深水埗也不止了</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">…</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">.)<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size: 8.0pt; line-height: 107%;"><a href="https://www.savills.co.uk/research_articles/229130/282316-0">https://www.savills.co.uk/research_articles/229130/282316-0</a><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">泛泛的的談了這些基本資料</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">也要提醒投資者</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">– </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">英國稅務繁重</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">要小心留意「交稅</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">」這回事。</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">首先在交易層面</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">住宅在</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">12.5</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">萬鎊以上要交釐印費</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">
</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">(</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">英國稅務局宣佈的</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2021</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">年</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">4</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">月</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">1</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">日生效</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">);</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">之前是</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">
</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">50</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">萬鎊的豪宅才計</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">這就要多謝過去幾年的炒家了。起標水平是物業價的</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2%</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">。不過首次置業買家可以有優惠</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">、炒家就會加不會減</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">。海外物業也計的</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">不要以為只計英國首次置業。</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">假如物業不是自住而是放租</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">租金收入是要交稅的。按你的入息水平計</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">起標是</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">20%</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">、最高去到</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">45%</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">。假如你是海外業主</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">只需</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">要交預提稅。香港由於有稅務優惠條約</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">預提稅是</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">15%</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">。也別忘了</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">英國有「空置稅</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">」</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">的</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">別以為可以放空養老鼠。嚴格來說</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">也不真的是空置稅</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">應該說是類似「差餉」</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">是每年由「佔用人」向地區議會繳交的</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">council
tax.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">出租的話</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">由租客支付</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">沒有租客嘛</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">由業主支付囉。按物業市值征收的</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">水平每年由千多鎊到三千鎊左右。攤分每月也不算貴,但地方政府服務就全包了</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">也划算的。</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">真正要命的其實是「增值稅</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">」。就是你想把物業賣走套現的話</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">你所賺到的差價要交稅。起標是</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">18%,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">可以上到</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">28%</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">。詳細的責任水平</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">記得請教你的稅務顧問啦。假如按以上的十年回報水平大約</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">30%</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">左右的話</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">要是被抽了</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">28%</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">稅</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">, </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">基本上可能賺不了錢呀。</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">詳細分析</span><span style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">要和你的財務顧問商量了</span></span><span style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">每個人的情況也不一樣嘛。尤其要小心匯風險呀。</span><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"><span lang="ZH-HK"><br /></span></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"><span lang="ZH-HK"><br /></span></span></p>Alex Shiuhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02859312955376952283noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7745370028190999330.post-92190348543021571742020-08-14T19:27:00.001-07:002020-08-14T19:29:47.489-07:00中美金融, 係炒到飛起, 唔係打到飛起<p> </p><p class="MsoNormal"><br /></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">下筆之時</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">正值所謂中美矛盾高峰期</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">美國出了制裁名單</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">連香港特首也被點名</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">銀行界一切按本子辦事。結果連國家隊也要出通告跟美國標準辦。</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">原本看來應該是金融大震盪才對。不過港美股市又如常炒到熱火朝天</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">是否只是如坊間所講:一切都只是政府放水的財富效應</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">?<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">看細節吧</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">光看標題和口號是沒有用的。就按《路透社》</span><span face="" lang="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2020</span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">年</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">8</span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">月</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">14</span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">日的報導:中國企業到美國上市集資</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">其實比起</span><span face="" lang="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2019</span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">年同</span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">期</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">, </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">金額大增不止</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">100%!</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">那裡有什麼中美矛盾</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">?</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 8pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi;"><a href="https://in.reuters.com/article/china-usa-listing-idINKCN25A0BU">https://in.reuters.com/article/china-usa-listing-idINKCN25A0BU</a><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2020</span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">年截至八月</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">總共有</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">18</span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">家中國企業到美國上市</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">集資額是</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">52.3</span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">億美元。</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2019</span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">年同期</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi;"> </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">集資額是</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">24.6</span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">億美元。</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">其中最矚目的</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">包括:小米的老闆雷軍</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">旗下的《金山雲計算》</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">(KC) </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">以及騰訊和軟庫旗下的線上房地產中介《貝殼找房</span><span face="" lang="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">》</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">(BEKE)</span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">。兩隻都是科技企業。金山雲集資超過</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">5</span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">億美元</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">而貝殼集資超</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">20</span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">億美元。而且大牌子大規模的企業</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">還陸續有來</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">排好隊去美國「掘金</span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">」去也。</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">除了金額大之外</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">基礎投資者的名堂也大</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">, </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">包括了紅杉基金和富達基金。富達是全球最大的退休金管理公司之一</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">份量可想而知。</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 8pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi;"><a href="https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2020-05-09/doc-iircuyvi2081744.shtml">https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2020-05-09/doc-iircuyvi2081744.shtml</a><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 8pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi;"><a href="https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/relnews/us/2020-08-13/doc-iivhuipn8521008.shtml">https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/relnews/us/2020-08-13/doc-iivhuipn8521008.shtml</a><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">以上的數據</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">還未包括最新的</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">SPAC </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">熱潮。因為</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">SPAC </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">的交易</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">算是「併購」而不是「上市」。例如梁錦松之前成立了一家叫</span><span face="" lang="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">New
Frontier </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">《新風天域》的</span><span face="" lang="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">SPAC
(Special Purpose Acquisition Corp) </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">特殊目的收購企業</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">未有業務之前、先上市集資、後進行收購形成「借殼上市」。最終收購了中國的大型醫療連鎖集團</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">改名為</span><span face="" lang="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">New Frontier Health </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">上市企業</span><span face="" lang="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">(NFH)</span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">。</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">SPAC </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">上市時</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">集資額</span><span face="" lang="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">4.7</span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">億美元,收購完成後</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">最新市值高達</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">11</span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">億美元。</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">美國不是剛剛又宣佈「限時退市</span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">」</span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">嗎</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">?</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">怎麼還會有人「自投羅網</span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">」。這個也又要看細節嘛:美國要求的是嚴格按照上市會計標準</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">而不是行政指令要退市呀。當中最重要的</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">不是什麼審計方式的問題</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">而是要審計的監管機構</span><span face="" lang="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">PCAOB (Public
Company Accounting Oversight Board), </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">有權查看原始審計草稿</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">以確保上市公司不能造假帳。</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">《瑞幸咖啡》的造假行徑相信全世界也大吃一驚。不是「有沒有造假</span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">」</span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">這麼小事</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">而是灌水</span><span face="" lang="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">60%</span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">的收入</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">仍然可以大搖大擺去美國資本市場掘金。試問誰人肯做冤大頭的</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">不下重手嚴管才怪。</span><span face="" lang="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">審計不查到底</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">怎樣也講不過去的嘛。美國當初放過中資企業</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">也不是沒有條件的。就是有過渡期。期滿不能達標</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">要退市也不能怪誰吧</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">?</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">遊戲規矩是這樣</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">約好了就別來「鑽空子」。</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">很明顯</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">現在排長龍去美國上市的企業</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">應該也不會是心存僥倖那一種</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">也是準備好過渡期內可以依足美國審計標準讓人一查到底的。</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">於是乎</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">有趣的問題就來了:那麼美國的所謂「針對中國企業」的制裁和調查</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">到底又是什麼一回事。</span><span face="" lang="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">假如都說「身體最誠實」</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">那麼中國的企業和美國的機構投資者</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">難道會是精神錯亂嗎</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">這些政治問題</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">留級政治專家去解答好了。我看還是先發一下亂世橫財最實際。</span><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><span face="" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi9tu9cB-CELRkPEPOB5bKx1ZShKYHxEMksznL6cxUmwoHi4oLce2iMT6qQ15zGumsR3RHp62P-UvdbnFACVYH88teqNQx345OjJ5VhFzTrbwCpkgy9HqXrOGXsdvTtbVHMY88HIv6F5ogV/s550/%25E9%2587%2591%25E5%25B1%25B1%25E4%25BA%2591.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="274" data-original-width="550" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi9tu9cB-CELRkPEPOB5bKx1ZShKYHxEMksznL6cxUmwoHi4oLce2iMT6qQ15zGumsR3RHp62P-UvdbnFACVYH88teqNQx345OjJ5VhFzTrbwCpkgy9HqXrOGXsdvTtbVHMY88HIv6F5ogV/s0/%25E9%2587%2591%25E5%25B1%25B1%25E4%25BA%2591.jpg" /></a></span></div><p></p>Alex Shiuhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02859312955376952283noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7745370028190999330.post-88773861125963926682020-07-19T19:30:00.003-07:002020-07-19T19:30:59.161-07:00房託也有破產時<br />
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">先前出書寫房託</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">不是叫人一定要買房託</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">當中主要介紹技術分析。而其中一項</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">就房託要限制借貸上限。因為任何企業只要欠了債</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">一旦還不起錢</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">後果就只有破產。</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">因此香港房託條件</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">所限定的借貸上限</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">很「巧合」地就是</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">45% (</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">或者現時要求放鬆為</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">50%), </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">就是假設在最壞情況下</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">把房託的資產都變賣掉</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">債權人可以收回本金。維持資產與債務比例不超過一半</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">那麼技術上就不會出現「資不抵債」情況。房託的風險所謂可控</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">很大程度源自這點。</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">不過這一點也不是萬能的</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">因為始終還錢講的是現金</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">要是房託的現金流出現了短缺</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">即使只是欠人一塊錢</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">也要破產。分別是到底房託能自己變賣資產套現</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">還是要由債權人充公資產套現而已。</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">而很不幸地</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">最近的全球大疫情就出現了大型房託破產的個案</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">大家可以參考一下了。</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">美國大型酒店房託</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">Watermark Lodging Trust </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">在</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2020</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">年</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">6</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">月宣佈</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">無法及時發出第一季度業績</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">宣佈暫停派息。投資者起鬨索償</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">指管理人失職。</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", serif; line-height: 107%;"><a href="https://thediwire.com/watermark-lodging-trust-delays-filing-1q20-financials-provides-covid-19-update/"><span style="font-size: x-small;">https://thediwire.com/watermark-lodging-trust-delays-filing-1q20-financials-provides-covid-19-update/</span></a><span style="font-size: 14pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">Watermark Lodging </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">雖然屬於「非公開交易</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">」</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">類的房託</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">不過到底都是美國證監有註冊的房託</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">而且根據美國證券法例</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">有公開財務報表的。</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", serif; line-height: 107%;"><a href="https://sec.report/CIK/0001609471"><span style="font-size: x-small;">https://sec.report/CIK/0001609471</span></a><span style="font-size: 14pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">Watermark</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">的震撼性並不單單在於規模大</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> (</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">手頭上的酒店資產總值超過</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">14</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">億美元</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">), </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">而且擁有</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">12</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">間由名牌管理公司萬豪和</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">Ritz-Carlton</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">營運的酒店</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">(</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">酒店房間總數目超過</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">4,000</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">間</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">)</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">。這些管理公司也不是亂來的</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">假如沒有做好調查策劃</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">不會拿自己的招牌來冒險。</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">站在業主的立場</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">假如你擁有這樣的資產和如此名牌的管理公司,理論上應該不會有什麼麻煩的。</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">不過遲來的終於也要來</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">大家可以看一下遲了發出的</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2020</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">年第一季度報表:</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", serif; line-height: 107%;"><a href="https://sec.report/Document/0001609471-20-000014/"><span style="font-size: x-small;">https://sec.report/Document/0001609471-20-000014/</span></a><span style="font-size: 14pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">當中的資產負債表看起來沒有什麼大問題:總資產超過</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">15</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">億美元、總負債只有大約</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">9</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">億美元。當中主要負債的</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">8.4</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">億美元是</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">“non-recourse”, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">亦即無抵押的。不過無抵押並不表示不用還嘛</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">….</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">。而短期應付帳就有</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">6,400</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">萬美元的規模。反觀房託的現金結存</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">大約是</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">7,300</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">萬美元。另外有</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">3,200</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">萬美元</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">是</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">restricted cash</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">。亦即受限制不能動用</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">(</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">都是些押金之類</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">)</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">。換言之</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">房託的現金支付完應付帳之後</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">其實沒有錢去應付任何到期的其他債項。</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2020</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">年第一季度業績</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">所謂受到疫情影響</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">也或者講得過去</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">。不過美國的疫情大爆發</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">好像是第二季度的事吧</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">?</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">那當然</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">, </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">假如第一季度都已經捱不過去</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">, </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">那麼第二季度就真是不提也罷了。</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">反觀去年</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2019</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">年的第一季度表現</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">資產負債表變化不大</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">不過收入其實就只有</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">100</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">萬美元左右。而</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2019</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">年全年</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">截至</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2019</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">年</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">12</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">月底:酒店收入超過</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">3.6</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">億美元。不過原來是連年虧損</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, 2019</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">年就見紅</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">760</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">萬美元。不過那是損益帳的虧損</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">理論上</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">房託派息是看現金流</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">因此仍有每股大約</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">6</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">分錢的派息</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">(</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">總分派金額大約</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">4,500</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">萬美元</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">)</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">。連年虧損、連年派息</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">也可算是房託獨有的現象了。規定是</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">90%</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">可分派收入要派發嘛。房託的可分派現金是看現金流不是看損益帳的。</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">不過問題又來了:那麼資本有沒有增值</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">這個問題才要命。很明顯沒有。因為營運帳面虧損</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">還有地皮可以增值嘛。很多酒店投資者都是用酒店來養地皮的</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">說得過去。不過這家房託就是沒有這一項「估值升值利潤」來入帳。是真的沒有估值還是的確沒有增值</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">這個才是大問題。</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">咦</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">不是說房託的債務上限是</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">45%</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">嗎</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">怎麼這一家竟然是超過</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">60%? <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">噢</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">大家明白為什麼這是一家「非公開交易房託」了吧</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">?</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">因為不符合債務上限的規定嘛。嚴格來說也又不是什麼「違規」</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">因為美國房託的債貸水平不是硬性的</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">而是「一般」不超過</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">50%</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">。真正的理由是:要是超過個水平</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">基本上是不符合「債券評級」要求、會跌出「可投資級數」的資產範圍</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">。因此在交易所掛牌買賣的房託</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">都是符合評級要求</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">, </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">因而債務上限不會超過</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">50%</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">。理由其實很簡單。</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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Alex Shiuhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02859312955376952283noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7745370028190999330.post-39160755418350055762020-07-14T08:41:00.003-07:002020-07-14T08:41:37.568-07:00也許你收到命令要開槍, 但你也有權利射不中<br />
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<span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">這句說話</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi;"> </span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">是人權法庭在公審前東德軍人犯下的違反人權罪行時由法官拋出來的。</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">柏林圍牆倒下之前,東德共黨政府要求守衛柏林圍牆的駐軍要對企圖爬牆逃走的</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">東德叛國賊格殺勿論。而多年以來命喪牆下的東德人</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi;"> </span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">有</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">239</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">人。殺了這麼多「叛國賊」</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">原來「忠誠執法的紀律部隊」最後是要受審的。誰說「守法」就等如免責</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">最後一個這樣被殺的「叛國賊」是東德青年克里斯</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">.</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">格夫洛伊。時維</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">1989</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">年</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">月。射殺他的軍人英格</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">.</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">亨里奇</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">在</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">1992</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">年</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">月受審。最後被判刑入獄。法官西奧多·賽德爾在解釋判決時說</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">:</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">「這個世界在法律之外,還有良知這個東西。當法律和良知衝突的時候,良知才是最高的行為準則。尊重生命,是一個放之四海而皆準的原則。不執行上級命令是有罪的,但打不準是無罪的。作為一個心智健全的人,此時此刻,你有『把槍口抬高一厘米』的權利,這是你應主動承擔的良心義務。」</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 8.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">原文網址:</span><span style="font-size: 8.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><a href="https://kknews.cc/history/om5kqmo.html">https://kknews.cc/history/om5kqmo.html</a><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">每次聽到有人話「法治就係乜乜乜」嘅候</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">呢句說話就會好自然咁喺腦裡面重播。可能都算係一種自我防疫嘅設計都話唔定。保持頭腦清醒</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">真係一啲都唔易。</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">而原來</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">呢個自動提示</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">比起公審東德紅軍</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">又有更早嘅先例。</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">大家都會記得《舒特拉的名單》</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">而佢都總算係用盡一切合法手段</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">去保障手頭上嘅猶太平民唔會命喪在黨衛軍手上。或者呢個係佢所理解嘅「守法」理念。</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">不過其實仲有人救得人比舒特拉要多</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">只係冇哋佢咁出名而已。</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">例如香港人比較早有認識嘅日本大使</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">杉原千畝。人稱「日本舒特拉」。</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">1939</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">年二戰爆發當時派駐立陶宛。由於得悉納粹黨有計劃謀殺猶太人</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">於是「擅自</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">」簽發過境簽證予立陶宛的猶太難民。總共放走了六千名猶太人</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">佔當地猶太人口的</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">1/3</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">。日本是德國的同盟國</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">杉原肯定沒有得到上級同意</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">。當時沒有被拉去打靶</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">算是奇蹟了。</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">而救人更多的</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">還有當時駐守法國波爾多的葡萄牙大使</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">Aristides
de Sousa Mendes</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">。杉原都尚且含糊過骨</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">而萬達斯擺明違反當時葡萄牙親納粹政府所發出的命令。當時講明唔准放猶大人過境。不過名義上葡萄牙同西班牙都係「中立國」</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">猶大難民</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">只要</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">「合法到步」</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">就老實不客氣</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">搵船走過去英國。萬達斯自己就冇計過數。不過事後大家計番</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">原來有成三萬個</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">visa
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">簽咗出去</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">係三萬個家庭</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">隨時有八、九萬人因而逃出生天</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">走咗去英國大唱</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">God
Saves the Queen (</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">噢</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">當時係佐治六世</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">應該係</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">God Saves the King </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">先係</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">)</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">。</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">咁嘅紀錄,</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">舒特拉同杉原當堂「比了下去</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">」</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">。</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: 8.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi;"><a href="https://www.npr.org/sections/parallels/2016/08/04/486735086/remembering-portugals-schindler#:~:text=A%20group%20of%20about%2050,Jews%20and%20other%20stateless%20refugees.">https://www.npr.org/sections/parallels/2016/08/04/486735086/remembering-portugals-schindler#:~:text=A%20group%20of%20about%2050,Jews%20and%20other%20stateless%20refugees.</a><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">其實二戰當時</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">有一大堆「外交官</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">」都係</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">違法抗命</span><span style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">亂發簽證去救人嘅。我就寫唔晒</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">大家自己上網八下卦啦。</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: 8.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi;"><a href="https://www.holocaustrescue.org/diplomatic-rescue">https://www.holocaustrescue.org/diplomatic-rescue</a><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">猶太人出名好記性</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">不過唔係淨係記住你爭佢幾多錢</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">(</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">呢樣最</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">出</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">名</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">), </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">同時都會記住乜嘢人有仇</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">(</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">對納粹黨餘孽永無休止追殺</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">), <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">亦都會對恩人永記於心。以上嘅救人記錄</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">佢哋收到消息就一定全情投入去</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">跟進。猶太人亡國兩千幾年</span><span style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">都仲可以復國。你冇辦法唔寫個服字。</span></span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">原來世界上嘅外交官</span><span style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">真係隨時會變叛國賊</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">唔怪之得呢個世界亂七八糟啦,真係</span>…
<span lang="ZH-TW">要靠上帝保祐</span></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">啦</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">。唔知夾住佢哋要宣誓效忠</span><span style="font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">又是否有效「止暴制亂」呢吓</span>? <span lang="ZH-TW">諗唔到喎。希特拉就最鍾意要人宣誓效忠嘅。不過按照麥太嘅講法</span>,
<span lang="ZH-TW">冇幾耐</span>… <span lang="ZH-TW">佢就死咗囉。</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<br />Alex Shiuhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02859312955376952283noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7745370028190999330.post-15276025178628365512020-07-05T20:08:00.000-07:002020-07-06T23:53:06.774-07:00禁書這回事<br />
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">話說天下大勢:分久必合、合久必分。</span><br />
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">有此一說, 《三國演義》肯定要禁了。</span><br />
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">是嗎? </span><br />
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">從前不少文人鄙視香港,視之為「文化沙漠」。而以寫書維生的文人,在香港也的確長嘆「搵食艱難」。</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">不過</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">假如「書」這回事</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">罕有如沙漠花草,</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">還</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">有需要禁的嗎</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">不過同時也有一個怪現象,雖然資料有點過時,但也不失為一個值得留意的數據:按</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2016</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">年《香港全民閱讀調查報告》所指</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">原來香港書店的「密度」竟然是全球最高</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">!</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">平均十萬人口就有</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">21</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">間。大家一向認為是文青天堂的台灣</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">也只是排行第二</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">有</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">17.6</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">間。而全港書店數目</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">當年有</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">1,540</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">間</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">為全球第二</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">! </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">巴黎文化之都</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">都只有</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">1,134</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">間。</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">很明顯香港不止不是文化沙漠,簡直應該用文化綠洲來形容才對吧</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">?</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">不過假如是沙漠中的綠洲,大家又幾時聽過有一門絕技叫做「綠洲花草管理學</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">」</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">?</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">開玩笑吧</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">? <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">沙漠綠洲的重點,就是遠離人煙、遺世而獨立</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">,正如世外桃園一般,最好是少搞為妙。</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">假如說香港是因為有大量遊客買書,所以不能以本地人口作準,那麼難道巴黎就不是</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">舉凡遊客多的大城市,自然書店也多,這個是常識了吧</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">?</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">但本土的讀者,總不能說沒有關係吧</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">?</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">香港每年搞大型書展,大家可以留意一下到底是本地客多還是外地客多啦。</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">香港雖然書店大盛</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">但「公共圖書館」就很不像話:香港公共圖書館每年借出圖書</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">5200</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">萬本</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">人均借閱每年只有</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">7.2</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">本。所謂「大市場、小政府」,原來在看書這回事上</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">,真的是「自古以來」的事噢。</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">假如這個「市場主導</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">」</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">的看書基調沒有改變,那麼由公共圖書館帶頭禁書</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">又有何作為呢</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">?</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">難道圖書館會左右市場閱讀習慣或者口味</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">?</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">又開玩笑吧</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">? <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">又有一個說法,就是要禁書</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">,先從學校入手。學生可以看到書的地方</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">先下手為強就最妥當。</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">會有用嗎</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">君不見</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">坊間即使是「包了膠」的系列</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">也一樣好賣</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">甚至是越包得密實、越賣得爽快。同學間的閒聊一大樂趣</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">就是談禁書,越禁得嚴、越談得妙。這個應該也是自古以來的了,只不過每代人的禁書也不盡相同罷了</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">。所謂西廂記誨淫、水滸傳誨盜。現在要是有學生肯看,差不多算是中文狀元才對啦。</span><span style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">香港之所以為香港,就是一個「百無禁忌」的自由港。假如連看書這回事也沒有自由,這個就不是香港,是屁港。</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">書這回事,不是在於你禁與不禁,而是在於讀書的人,是用一個怎樣的腦袋去看書而已。再進而求其因果,就是越是禁人看書,腦袋越是會退化。因此書之所謂為禍,往往是因為禁書而起。這個因果關係,又可見諸「教育水平」的差異:據說</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">只有小學程度的人</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">最是危險的,因為「懂得看字」就以為「懂得看書」、還要去管其他人看什麼書,因此但凡有禁書的地方,自然民智不開,因果很簡單的事嘛。</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span><br />
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">因此錢鍾書先生《讀伊索寓言》也講得很淺白了:小朋友該不該看什麼書,全看我們成年人造成什麼一個世界、什麼一個社會,給小孩子長大了來過活</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">! </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">《伊索寓言》這</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">這類童書,要不要禁</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">也許只是文人笑談。但教育心理學家就反而認為「百無禁忌」才正確,此話又何來</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">?</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">很簡單吧。其實錢鍾書本人也留白了一點,讓大家反思的:寓言之類的書「要不得」,是因為「它把純樸的小孩教得愈簡單了、愈幼稚了,以為人</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">間</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">是非的分別、善惡的果報,也像在禽獸中間一樣的公平清楚,長大了就處處踫壁上當。」言下之意,是人這東西,有時連禽獸也不如。如何將人變禽獸,原來也有書可以參考的呀。海耶克這麼邪門, 又要不要禁? </span><br />
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">所以禁書之所以越發不應禁,正正就是因為這個「免疫邏輯」的特性。例如希特拉的《我的奮鬥》也夠</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">邪門了吧</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">?</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">裡面極多教人如何搞宣傳、如何搞煽動的材料。照理就該禁。不過假如</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">對這些東西</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">沒有認識的話,面對政客的宣傳和煽動</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">,又如何分辨、如何判斷</span><span style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">?</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">反之再比較邱吉爾的自傳,也談宣傳和煽動的技巧,還教你怎樣部署和修練。甚至有一本書,專門是比較</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">邱吉爾和希特拉的演講技巧的</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">!</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">那麼這本書算什麼</span><span style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">?</span><span style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">要禁還是不禁</span></span><span style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">?</span><span style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">還是只禁一半</span></span><span style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">?</span><span style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;"> <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14.0pt;">越是文明開放的社會,越不會有禁書這回事嘛。當中自有其很淺白的因果關係。</span><span style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 14pt;">而假如又有文盲以為, 看書這回事, 和搵食無關.... 這個又回到上面講的:小學雞教人看書的問題了。</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: "kaiti";"><span style="font-size: 18.6667px;">商人無祖國呀, 搵食當然文盲也有自由嘛</span></span><span style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 18.6667px;">。不過「高端金融</span><span style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 18.6667px;">」</span><span style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 18.6667px;">這回事, 小則破財, 重則亡國。這些就不是信口開河, 而是有大量先例的。這些書都要禁了吧? 很顛覆的呀。</span><br />
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<br />Alex Shiuhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02859312955376952283noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7745370028190999330.post-4279972446063193322020-04-28T03:09:00.003-07:002020-05-05T17:26:40.471-07:00香港司法獨立的一大漏洞:陪審團制度的缺口<br />
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">最近香港鬧得滿城風雨的一宗判決</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">法官居然傾向同情持刀傷人的兇徒</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">並且嘉許為「高尚情操」。不過所謂「法官也應該避免對案件作出政治評論」,則此言差矣。</span><span style="font-size: 8.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">(</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; font-size: 8.0pt;">見灼見名家</span><span style="font-size: 8.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, 2020</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; font-size: 8.0pt;">年</span><span style="font-size: 8.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">4</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; font-size: 8.0pt;">月</span><span style="font-size: 8.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">27</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; font-size: 8.0pt;">日《法庭裁決政治化》一文。</span><span style="font-size: 8.0pt;"><a href="https://www.master-insight.com/%e6%b3%95%e5%ba%ad%e8%a3%81%e6%b1%ba%e6%94%bf%e6%b2%bb%e5%8c%96/?fbclid=IwAR1tyaSo5_IZB5lTFmN8X_77s4rljOomJP1F3tnvNc-0v0ve1P5ezsr3zbI">https://www.master-insight.com/%e6%b3%95%e5%ba%ad%e8%a3%81%e6%b1%ba%e6%94%bf%e6%b2%bb%e5%8c%96/?fbclid=IwAR1tyaSo5_IZB5lTFmN8X_77s4rljOomJP1F3tnvNc-0v0ve1P5ezsr3zbI</a></span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; font-size: 8.0pt;">)</span><span style="font-size: 8.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">首先是有關言論和文章所指</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">當然也屬於斷章取義</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">因為所指的是兩件事:傷人的行為本身、以及犯人所謂的自首和「關心傷者」前後兩回事。</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">不過對於司法的公平與否</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">很多時候都是一種公眾感覺。總之犯人在幾乎殺死一名手無寸鐵的女受害人和斬傷另外一男一女之後,竟然只是輕判不到四年刑期</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">、而且獲得法官的「嘉許</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">」</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">整件事的荒謬絕倫感覺即由此而來。因</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">此英國法庭</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">從來都明白司法獨立與判決的莊嚴</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">除了實質由法庭履行公平的裁決之外</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">公眾對法庭是否真的公平公正</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">這個觀感也必須要重視。因此才會有一宗經典案例:</span><i><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">R v Sussex
Justices ex parte McCarthy [1924] 1 KB 256</span></i><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">. </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">當中的重要決定</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">就是</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">
</span><i><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">Justice must not only be done, but must be seen to be done</span></i><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">。</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">香港的翻譯有點三腳貓</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">一般譯做:公義必須彰顯於人前。大家可以咀嚼一下英文原文的風韻</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">可謂差天共地。</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">司法獨立</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">英國習慣是必括了公眾的參與</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">而不是法官一個人可以隻手遮天。</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">英文原意</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">也是英國法庭審訊的重要精神</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">就是「公開審訊</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">」</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">
</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">:
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">意思是公眾也必須參與和同意有關裁決;</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">而不是中國傳統的要「遊街示眾」這個意思。而這個「公開審訊」的背景</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">也就是公眾通過「陪審團」制度來參與的初衷。傳說是千年之前英倫文明之始</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">由亞瑟王所創制</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">一直被視為英國法律的中流砥柱、以及公民自由的重要保障</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">尤其是作為對「壓迫與獨裁的重要防範」</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-size: 8.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span style="font-size: 8.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">(Trial by Jury – Past and Present, Judiciary of
England and Wales, 20 May 2017, </span><span style="font-size: 8.0pt;"><a href="https://www.judiciary.uk/wp-content/uploads/2017/05/hallett-lj-blackstone-lecture-20170522-1.pdf"><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">https://www.judiciary.uk/wp-content/uploads/2017/05/hallett-lj-blackstone-lecture-20170522-1.pdf</span></a></span><span style="font-size: 8.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">)</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">。</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">而近至</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">
</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2018</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">年</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">英國最高法院法官到中國上海交通大學出訪時</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">也就這個話題再一次發表了英國「陪審團制度」的由來和精神</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">所以即使是中國內地</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">對於英國司法獨立的概念和認知</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">不會是白紙一張。</span><span style="font-size: 8.0pt;"><a href="https://www.supremecourt.uk/docs/speech-181024.pdf">https://www.supremecourt.uk/docs/speech-181024.pdf</a></span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">但香港在繼承英國的司法精神同時</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">卻因為當初只是一個「殖民地」的緣故</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">在制度上嚴重忽略了陪審團這個元素。</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">1845</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">年正式通過《陪審員與陪審團條例》表面上是與英國法律接軌</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">(</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">後來香港法例第三章</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, 1887</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">年</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">6</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">月</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">)</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">。再後來《基本法》</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">86</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">條也確認了這個傳統。之不過</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">香港只是在「較嚴重」的刑事案件才有陪審團</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">其他所謂「一般案件」就並不規定要有。香港法院</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">更加在</span><i><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">Chiang Lily
v Secretary of Justice CACV 55.2009</span></i><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">一案中</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">確定「陪審團並非香港審訊的固有權利</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">」</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">!</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">對有關《基本法》以及《人權法案》的有關說明</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">, </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">大家可以參考</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2015</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">年</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">6</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">月</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">22</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">日</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">立法會的討論文件</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; font-size: 8.0pt;">。</span><span style="font-size: 8.0pt;"><a href="https://www.doj.gov.hk/eng/public/pdf/2015/ajls0616e1.pdf"><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">https://www.doj.gov.hk/eng/public/pdf/2015/ajls0616e1.pdf</span></a></span><span style="font-size: 8.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">大家明白了這個背景上的重大分歧之後</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">對於</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">香港只能擁有一個「殖民地</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">」水平</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">的司法標準</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">也又不用懷疑了吧</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">?</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">回到目前這宗極具爭議的案件</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">到底有沒有類似的判決先例</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">?</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">當真要請教專家了。不過就以有限的行業</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">知識</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">以上說明</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">大家都可以看出香港司法制度出了什麼大問題:就是英國習慣法原本應有的「陪審團</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">」制度</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">香港的實際施行</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">只是半桶水</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">而忽略了在基本的刑事審訊之中</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">「公民參與不能缺席」的這個重大原則</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">!<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">至於法官鍾意講乜鬼政治</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">呢啲係個人自由</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">上得法庭就講法律</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">講程序</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">講法理。今次個法官整單驚天動地嘅</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> "</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">高尚情操</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">" </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">出嚟</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">呢樣嘢嘅正確處理角度</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">唔係政治立場問題呀</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">! </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">係法律技術問題呀</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">!<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">按英國法理</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">- </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">假如審訊要有陪審團</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">咁樣陪審團係審</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">"</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">事實</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">",
findings of fact </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">而法官係審法律</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> rulings of law</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">。</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">不過假如主控嘅律政師係都要大事化小</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">將一啲應該係由陪審團裁決嘅嚴重案件</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">交由低級法庭當一般案件去處理</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">在沒有陪審團嘅情況底下</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">主審法官就既係</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> finding of
fact </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">亦都係</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> ruling of
law</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">。假如法官對兩樣嘢都搞錯</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, error of
law and of fact, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">咁樣就要靠控方</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">亦即係律政師提出上訴</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">再由上一級法院去審。如果對事實判斷係錯</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">上一級法庭一係發還重審、或者直接重審。一般法官好少搞錯事實</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">因此上訴多數係只拗法律觀點</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">而較少重審。</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">今次出問題嘅</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">係個法官對事實嘅判斷</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">- "</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">爭吵</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">離開</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">折返</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">持兩把刀傷人</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">而傷者冇武器</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">亦都冇攻擊性</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">"
"</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">其中一名女傷者心口中刀</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">幾乎死亡</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">"</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">。呢一個事實擺明係有預謀嘅謀殺</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">有乜可能會有其他解讀</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">?<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">因為假如要改口認誤殺或者傷人</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">咁現場就要有證據證明係一時衝動</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">仲係要由傷者引起爭執</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">而且挑釁嘅程度</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">係要超過一般人可以合理承受嘅程度</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">咁先可以賴係一時衝動。女傷者推開犯人</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">所以係挑釁</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">你又試下拎兩把刀去個警察面前舞下吖</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">一槍打爆你個頭都算係合理自衛咋</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">! </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">假如只係政見唔同</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">而且犯人已經離開現場</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">咁樣相隔一段時間之後再折返到現場斬人</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">而離開嘅唯一目的</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">唔係要冷靜一下</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">而係返屋企拎兩把刀</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">!<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">法官竟然又接納:拎刀只係為咗</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> "</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">剷街招</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">"? <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">請問邊位街坊見過有人咁樣剷街招呢喂</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">而且刺中女傷者嘅</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">係一把尖刀</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">! </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">各位又試下咁樣裝備出街吖</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">睇下會點</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">一落街就已經拉咗啦</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">!<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">任何人</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> ordinary
reasonable man in the street, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">都係</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> beyond reasonable doubt , </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">係有預謀要殺人啦</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">! <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">至於控方用乜嘢陳述方式</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">個法官都冇可能搞錯呢個基本嘅動機同行為事實嘛。</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">咁都唔重審</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">只係因為技術上</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">控方係律政司</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">佢話好滿意</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">唔上訴</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">你吹咩</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">?<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">至於法庭內部</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">有冇辦法可以</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> "</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">監督</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">" </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">下級法院呢</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">呢樣嘢</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">係司法獨立底下嘅另一個憲制問題</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">另外再講。重審先啦唔該。</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<br />Alex Shiuhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02859312955376952283noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7745370028190999330.post-74075347739417105682020-04-11T20:01:00.001-07:002020-04-11T20:01:45.247-07:00買匯豐會變苦主, 點解買房託都會中招? <div style="background-color: white; color: #1c1e21; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; margin-bottom: 6px;">
戴定頭盔先....</div>
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嗱, 各位兄弟, 唔係我講架, 係要斬, 你哋去斬高天佑啦!!!!</div>
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買匯豐會變苦主..... 竟然買 REITs 都會中招???</div>
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情況其實好唔同呀。</div>
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匯豐忽然彈弓手話唔派息 (又話英倫銀行唔俾佢派息.... ) 結果成班苦主嘈到拆天。</div>
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另一邊廂, 明明買房託一定派息, 點解又有另一班苦主.... 眼淚在心裡流呢?</div>
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原因唔係房託唔派息- 房託按信託契約一定要派息, 而且要派足九成,理論上冇得輸。輸得嘅, 其實係輸孖展!</div>
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高天佑個古仔我又唔懷疑佢真偽啦, 大家鬥唔開名啫.... 拎得出10億買房託, 好歹都每年收五六千萬啦啩? (香港房託大約 5%, 新加坡6%.... ) 就算係重災區嘅酒店房託, 富豪 1881.hk 都照樣派息, ($0.124, 按近期低水,息率近10%; 出年就唔知啦...小心時間差.) 因為係舊年賺嘅錢, 按信託契約, 今年冇得唔派。REITs 就係咁簡單。</div>
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之所以變苦主, 甚至俾人平倉清袋, 唯一原因, 係輸孖展之嘛!!!!!</div>
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係呀, 借錢好平, 2% 利息, 你套戥食息差, 睇落好禾味.... 之不過, 房託都有插水嘅時候, 一插穿補倉位, 除非你有米即時補倉, 否則真係就咁俾銀行割韮菜, 冇仇報。</div>
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睇番歷史, 你估房託冇插過水咩? 2007/08年次按危機, 一樣係插三成, 呢個係普遍正常情況;之後點樣升番上嚟, 係另一個話題 (嗱, 我冇教你撈底呀..... )。因此房託自己都定個規矩, 唔准借超過總資產 45%。而絕大部份都係借 20%; 就係要睇埋現金流, 預備唔會冇錢還債嘛。就算賤價拋售物業, 都唔會20% 都收唔番啫....</div>
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房託就諗盡方法去避險, 咁你去買房託, 反而唔諗風險, 真係關人隱事咩?</div>
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係要玩息差, 都唔該搵番隻 "方向相同" 嘅 underlying asset 啦.... 呢個係好基本嘅技術問題啫....</div>
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<a href="https://hk.finance.yahoo.com/news/%E6%96%B0%E8%81%9E%E9%BB%9E%E8%A9%95-%E6%BB%99%E6%8E%A7%E8%8B%A6%E4%B8%BBvs%E5%AF%8C%E4%BA%8C%E4%BB%A3-193600248.html">https://hk.finance.yahoo.com/news/%E6%96%B0%E8%81%9E%E9%BB%9E%E8%A9%95-%E6%BB%99%E6%8E%A7%E8%8B%A6%E4%B8%BBvs%E5%AF%8C%E4%BA%8C%E4%BB%A3-193600248.html</a>Alex Shiuhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02859312955376952283noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7745370028190999330.post-3476248567160602052020-04-07T20:20:00.001-07:002020-04-07T20:20:48.580-07:00美國失業率應該如何理解?<br />
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Microsoft JhengHei"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">先前提到美國失業情況</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Microsoft JhengHei"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">總有人會衝出嚟話好嚴重。咁我不至於話唔嚴重。不過到底你用乜嘢時序同標準去理解呢件事</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: "Microsoft JhengHei"; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Microsoft JhengHei"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">總唔能夠撈亂嚟講。</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: "Microsoft JhengHei"; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<div style="-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background: white; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; margin-bottom: 6.0pt; margin-left: 0cm; margin-right: 0cm; margin-top: 4.5pt; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-decoration-color: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px;">
<span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Microsoft JhengHei"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">人哋有失業救濟金</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Microsoft JhengHei"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">香港冇</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Microsoft JhengHei"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">呢樣已經恨唔到啦。</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: "Microsoft JhengHei"; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">凡事總有數據可以參考</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">至於信唔信</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">各位自己</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> fact
check </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">囉。而除咗數字之外</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">經濟結構同就業結構都唔可以亂咁比較。</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<div style="background: white; margin-bottom: 6.0pt; margin-left: 0cm; margin-right: 0cm; margin-top: 4.5pt;">
<span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">第一個重點係</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">:
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">美國其實有好多個「長週期」</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">呢啲係大國經濟</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">唔係一個城市經濟可以比擬。</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div style="background: white; margin-bottom: 6.0pt; margin-left: 0cm; margin-right: 0cm; margin-top: 4.5pt;">
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<div style="background: white; margin-bottom: 6.0pt; margin-left: 0cm; margin-right: 0cm; margin-top: 4.5pt;">
<span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">五十年代之後嘅所謂黃金時期,其實都係韓戰結束之後先至開始。冷戰同越戰期間,其實美國就業情況大好。香港都係呢段時期開始食正條水,搵美國佬錢而發達。</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<div style="background: white; margin-bottom: 6.0pt; margin-left: 0cm; margin-right: 0cm; margin-top: 4.5pt;">
<span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">到咗七十年代後半期</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">直至列根上台之前十幾年,美國佬其實黑過墨斗</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">;
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">當時反而係日本仔嘅黃金年代</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">
, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">亞洲四小龍就同樣受惠。至於日本仔財大氣粗到乜嘢程度</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">?
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">各位冇親歷其景,好難想像。我剛好</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">90</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">年在歐洲讀書,就踫啱日本仔最風光時時候。撞啱蘇聯解體、中東戰爭,全世界都緊張咗一陣。日本仔反而定過枱油,而野村證券就最口響:現金存底淨係收利息,都夠所有人繼續如常出糧。對於想辭職出走嘅年青人,啲日本老人家有咁嘅規勸:嗱,你照出糧,出去環遊下世界先。到你返嚟想開工,出聲啦。咁當然</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">迷失咗二十年</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">啲老人家都死晒。仲邊有呢枝歌仔唱吖</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">?
<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<div style="background: white; margin-bottom: 6.0pt; margin-left: 0cm; margin-right: 0cm; margin-top: 4.5pt;">
<span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">不過睇番美國</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">其實一直主導世界經濟。有一樣嘢大家千祈唔好倒果為因</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">-
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">列根執政初期</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">失業率其實創下美國歷史高峰</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">
! </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">超過</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">10%</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">。當時英國其實都緊隨</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> Reganomics , </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">大刀闊斧解散大型工會</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">勇闖經濟轉型。短痛之後係長期繁榮</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">最大鑊都只係中東戰爭期間</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">失業率回升至</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> 8%</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">左右。但係與此同時</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">蘇聯解體</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">世界得番一個超強。所謂</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">
87</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">年金融風暴</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">其實失業率真係冇乜表示。反而係科網轉型而多咗好多新工種出現。</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div style="background: white; margin-bottom: 6.0pt; margin-left: 0cm; margin-right: 0cm; margin-top: 4.5pt;">
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<div style="background: white; margin-bottom: 6.0pt; margin-left: 0cm; margin-right: 0cm; margin-top: 4.5pt;">
<span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">再一次大鑊</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">已經係好耐之後嘅事</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">
: 2007/2008 </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">次按風暴。美國大銀行都要攬救生水泡。而其後失業率就一直瀡滑梯</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">跌到得</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">4%</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">以下。</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<div style="background: white; margin-bottom: 6.0pt; margin-left: 0cm; margin-right: 0cm; margin-top: 4.5pt;">
<span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">但係結構上</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">美國其實</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">
"</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">散工化</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">"
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">咗好耐。貧富懸殊係事實、而生產外移尤其嚴重</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">;
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">所謂全球化</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">其實對美國打工仔係冇著數</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">否則就唔會由侵侵打民粹牌上到台。所謂失業率低</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">只係因為散工多咗</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">唔係真係就業結構好咗。</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";"></span></div>
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<a href="https://thistimeitisdifferent.com/us-unemployment-may-2019">https://thistimeitisdifferent.com/us-unemployment-may-2019</a><o:p></o:p></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhGJqu4gmf4mZW9vVkrA6LXgcuodGOqjPWxZAEFku7iWL_eli7tVxkVMLDcpoOOyCAQc44l__qoHGa6uSaEg43o6gjcemTe0SjRrSuOv0wSZ-wP_ulGpRpzjvlNsfO0CrhxdhgNGJrJRQGd/s1600/US-unemployment-rate-upto-April-2019.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="470" data-original-width="1168" height="160" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhGJqu4gmf4mZW9vVkrA6LXgcuodGOqjPWxZAEFku7iWL_eli7tVxkVMLDcpoOOyCAQc44l__qoHGa6uSaEg43o6gjcemTe0SjRrSuOv0wSZ-wP_ulGpRpzjvlNsfO0CrhxdhgNGJrJRQGd/s400/US-unemployment-rate-upto-April-2019.png" width="400" /></a></div>
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<div style="background: white; margin-bottom: 6.0pt; margin-left: 0cm; margin-right: 0cm; margin-top: 4.5pt;">
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<div style="background: white; margin-bottom: 6.0pt; margin-left: 0cm; margin-right: 0cm; margin-top: 4.5pt;">
<span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">所謂新經濟</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">其實有幾多係食正散工化呢條水</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">?
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">大家又不如自己計下數嘞。一個二個轉做網上自僱</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">....
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">唔通就真係等如安居樂業</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<div style="background: white; margin-bottom: 6.0pt; margin-left: 0cm; margin-right: 0cm; margin-top: 4.5pt;">
<span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">不過散工化又唔可以一面倒睇死</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">否則不如大家返去食國企大鑊飯啦。</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<div style="background: white; margin-bottom: 6.0pt; margin-left: 0cm; margin-right: 0cm; margin-top: 4.5pt;">
<span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">疫情當下</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">反而大量經濟活動轉型靠科網技術支撐住。而呢種經濟靈活性</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: KaiTi; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">可能真係要到疫後重建先睇得出有冇實力嘞。</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "Book Antiqua",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: KaiTi;"><a data-ft="{"tn":"-U"}" data-lynx-mode="asynclazy" href="https://l.facebook.com/l.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.ceicdata.com%2Fzh-hans%2Findicator%2Funited-states%2Funemployment-rate%3Ffbclid%3DIwAR25Ml_XVQm9hu8cSOLHGMAfz3k8S9D0rqq_lZqUTROiq_a8KLruBW8CDFA&h=AT1NpMNl9BYz6jJ5IoWWBXOVcU7RHVXelV78kNf-pdlFlWZAH1lXMRLgXwHeTm0e0k7suzHjKy1RS9Lwm6rGAqoagiugl1783oAUy46D839RN87YacC3Zo5KwLFK7MmE-QnxiMCfym8AT-9kzMg-fyqIEihRQQyN7Q" style="cursor: pointer;" target="_blank"><span style="color: #385898; text-decoration: none; text-underline: none;">https://www.ceicdata.com/…/…/united-states/unemployment-rate</span></a><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<br />Alex Shiuhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02859312955376952283noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7745370028190999330.post-34311693909065404142020-02-08T02:48:00.003-08:002020-02-08T03:32:13.071-08:00一場瘟疫豪賭, 林鄭贏晒<div class="MsoNormalCxSpFirst" style="margin-bottom: 18pt;">
<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">你即管唔服氣</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">, </span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">又試下可以點樣駁倒我先算啦。逐點同你計:</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">1.<span style="font-family: "times new roman"; font-size: 7pt; font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal;"> </span></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">林鄭是否知道是豪賭</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">答案絕對肯定。正如某網誌老闆名句:假如俾一百題選擇題你答</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">居然可以全部錯晒</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">! </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">即係話根本唔係亂撞</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">而係明知答案而故意答錯。</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">既然明知而固犯</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">即係另有盤數啦。咁仲唔係豪賭</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">又會係乜嘢</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">例如:全世界都高價搶口罩</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">居然可以官僚到「照規矩招標</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">價低者得」</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">…. </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">係真蠢定假蠢</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">又或者全世界封關都係為咗截流</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">冇人會俾幾日時間你「緩衝」一下啩</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">緩衝即係叫你「狗衝」啫</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">… </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">果然囉。</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">2.<span style="font-family: "times new roman"; font-size: 7pt; font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal;"> </span></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">豪賭之下:</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">林鄭原本都只係慨歎</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">身邊得三萬個警察對佢效忠。一賭之下</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">原來所有政府官員都對佢效忠</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">! </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">翻盤贏足十萬人。醫管局高層直頭講到明會秋後算帳</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">罷工當曠工、唔肯枉死即係專業失德</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">…</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">嘩</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">!</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">咁都得</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">?</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">得呀</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">仲係啲醫護自己個工會去投票決定終止罷工呀。咁你話邊個贏晒</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">?</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">事後封關呢下嘢</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">同叫個強姦犯中出完先至戴套一樣。真係唔怪得林鄭忍唔住陰陰咀笑囉。原本已見端倪嘅民政事務處</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">繼續同民選區議員鬥法</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">連會議室都鎖埋唔俾你用</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">等你成班友仔企街食風</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">、仲要話係「冇會議記錄」拒絕承認會議結果。睇到未呀</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">林鄭對公務員系統而家係絕對掌握</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">而唔係得個講字。</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">3.<span style="font-family: "times new roman"; font-size: 7pt; font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal;"> </span></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">對賭摸底</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">到底邊個怕攬炒:原來港豬怕死到震、而且蠢到痺。根本就冇「唔怕攬炒」呢回事</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">! </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">擺明係陰招、係假新聞</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">但係居然港豬信晒</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">! </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">唔係講疫情</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">係日用品呀。一聲話封關</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">所有生活用品一掃而空</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">即係咩意思呀</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">即係洗腦成功囉。乜鬼嘢「香港冇咗中國唔得」</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">竟然真係信到足。邊有人可以蠢成咁呀</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">中國自己都唔夠米食啦</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">況且香港啲米</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">大部份係東南亞進口</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">關中國乜鬼事呢吓</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">咁嘅結果</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">即係港豬好呃</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">唔呃你就天誅地滅囉。咁嘅情況</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">即係冇人會為咗民主自由同人權同你死過</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">… </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">其實啲人連常識都</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">冇</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">。咁林鄭仲有乜嘢好驚呢</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">?<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">4.<span style="font-family: "times new roman"; font-size: 7pt; font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal;"> </span></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">愛國盟友</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">全部番晒埋位</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">! </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">呢下先至緊要呀。先前一個二個</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">講到中國就發晒火</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">今次唔該留意一下</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">尤其是大陸拎個「造謠八君子」招牌出嚟揚兩下</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">原來全部人又係跪低晒當係死老豆咁朝拜。李卓仁仲帶埋班老飯民去搞公開悼念添。其實又同六四有乜唔同呢</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">?</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">呢個所謂「道德光環」由一眾「愛港人士」</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">拎住</span><span style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">總之邊個「唔關心中國」「唔支持中國防疫」「唔團結香港抗疫」</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">就係狼心狗肺、港人公敵 </span>…. <span lang="ZH-TW">諸如此類。而班黃絲醫護</span>,</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">就中晒招嘞。一話不合作</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">結果俾啲港豬鬧到狗血淋頭</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">又話佢哋係逃兵乜乜物物。今次班藍屍真係興奮到呢</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">…</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">。</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">5.<span style="font-family: "times new roman"; font-size: 7pt; font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal;"> </span></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">樓價冇跌到。呢下就真係贏到開晒巷。其實又係迫咗建制陣營埋堆之嘛。之前沙士</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">大家都唔知搞幾耐</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">於是乎一眾地產大鱷要錢唔要貨</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">盡快推出樓盤套現。結果出現咗麵包平過麵粉情況。邊個話呢個世界有自由市場呀</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">當年</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">順手殺埋個公營房屋政策</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">明輸暗贏</span><span style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">地主會各大族依然係全港首富</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">你吹咩。</span></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">當年嘅惡性循環、負資產就係咁嚟。而家睇準疫情唔會超過一年</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">乘機反而叫停工地、終止供應。然後減租唔斬倉。於是乎只有極少數炒家離場</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">但係整體樓市企到鑽石咁硬。所謂「等沙士價入貨</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">」</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">變成春夢一場。於是乎預咗係:記得準時返工、繼續供樓。</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">咁你話啦</span><span style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">林鄭仲唔係最大贏家</span></span><span style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">?</span><span style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">反正佢又唔係要靠你港豬啲票嚟做特首嘅。只要面皮夠厚</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">話之你死。而且全家攞晒英國護照</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">鐵達尼沉船都係頭等艙同你拜拜先啦。</span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 18.6667px;">仲有, 而家係林鄭拎住逃生門條鎖匙, 北京出事, 中南海各人, 包括習大大在內, 都要靠香港做出逃後門。因為唔可以直接用私家飛機走人, 只可以香港落地再轉一個 "香港出發" 嘅飛行准證。到第三世界國家再變身上路。先前話三月會炒咗佢換人做特首。而家真係睇怕佢驚你有牙先奇呀。</span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">至於香港人講咗咁耐話要抗爭到底</span><span style="font-family: "fangsong"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 19.9733px;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">又睇下呢樣瘟疫之後</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">又有乜嘢發展囉。</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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Alex Shiuhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02859312955376952283noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7745370028190999330.post-1828730698480730922020-01-28T23:36:00.002-08:002020-01-28T23:36:53.614-08:00中國瘟疫與動亂考<br />
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">類似沙士的瘟疫</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">在中國歷史上並不缺少</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">歷代都有。但實在影響有多大</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">會否造成皇朝傾覆</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">這個問題</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">在</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2020</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">年的春季忽然又冒了出來。</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">最早有系統記載分析的</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">也許算是借黃帝之名而編輯春秋戰國驗方的《黃帝內經》吧</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">而東漢張仲景的《傷寒論》才算是有名有姓</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">詳論季節性疫症的著作。而魏晉又有比較明確的文字</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">提到一場疫症可以死多少人。參考《曹丕</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">與吳質書》</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">提到「昔年疾疫</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">親故多離</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">(</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">罹</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">)</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">其災</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">徐陳應劉</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">一時俱逝。」建安二十二年</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">有記載瘟疫流行</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">建安七子</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">全部都是高門仕族</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">幾乎一次死光。而曹家是王族</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">尚且「親故多離其災」。可見當年的疫疾</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">殺傷力絕對不弱。而張仲景自己在《傷寒論》自序就這樣說明:余宗族素多,向餘二百。建安紀年以來,猶未十稔。其死亡者三分有二,傷寒十居其七。原來張仲景之所以專注分析</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">「</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">傷寒</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">」</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">正正就是這種季節性疫症殺了他的宗族大部份人</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">十年不到</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">二百多人的家族</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">死了三分之二</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">而當中死於傷寒的</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">是十居其七。而張氏家族</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">是高端</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">人口</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">啊</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">也精通醫藥</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">尚且如此</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">一般老百姓景況如何</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">又可能比這個更糟糕。</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">如此看來</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">今時今日所謂致命肺炎</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">應該比不上古代的殺傷力了。</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">不過這種殺傷力</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">最初又似乎和皇朝命運關係不大。也許因為中國自古就有一種「天命」信仰</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">要是皇帝「有道」而天下太平</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">自然也會少瘟疫。而每當「天下無道」戰亂四起</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">才會有瘟疫出現。這個</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">唯心的因果</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">次順</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">似乎是倒過來的。也不奇怪</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">因為中國古代</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">人均壽命本來都不太長</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">三四十歲左右吧,能活到七十歲的</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">算是「古來稀」了。「韭菜」這東西</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">也許是最好的寫照。既然本來就是粗生粗養</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">反正人多</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">。</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">人要是死多了</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">只要有足夠人口存活下來</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">過一陣子</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">也又好像問題不大。</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">至隋唐時期</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">都有記載大型瘟疫。不過都只是遍及部份地區。例如山東、河南等等</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">當時人口比較集中的地區。反而宋朝的記載不多</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">只是與蒙古交戰時期才多記載。元朝比較大型的疫症</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">反而是黑死病。</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">古怪的是明朝。光是崇禎一朝</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">十年之內</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">, </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">竟然有記載大型疫症八起</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">由山西向東橫掃</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">北京城也受災嚴重。也有說法是西闖霸王之所以由西起兵向東挺進拿下北京</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">沿途如摧枯拉朽</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">正是由於有瘟疫開路。至此才有正式說法是傳染病足以覆滅皇朝。</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">明末名醫<u>吳又可</u>著《瘟疫論》</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">正值此時在災區行醫。他所論述的症狀</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">正正就和沙士差不多</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">。此時他才提出:守古法不合新病。而據瘟疫論的分析:病由口鼻而</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">入</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">(</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">呼吸道感染</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">)</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">雖無</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">「病毒」的稱謂</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">但實際就指出病毒性感染的具體徴狀。他稱之為「戾氣」。</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">到了清代</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">又是回復到大約</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">五至十年</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">一場區域性瘟疫的節奏</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">。</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">直至大規模城市建設開始</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">死人的數字才見得嚇人。例如同治二年初</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">
</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">(1863</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">年</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">), </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">上海發生疫症</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">死亡人數超過二萬</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">! </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">連帶傳播到江蘇省其他地方</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">到大約六七月後才渡過高峰期。</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">有沒有留意</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">這個比較準確的時間記錄</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">正好和沙士的周期差不多</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">!<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">而其後滿清皇朝受困擾較多的是鼠疫。香港開埠後</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">也是以鼠疫為主要傳染病。</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">1894</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">年香港鼠疫爆發</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">死亡二千多人</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">三分之一人口逃難</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">。幸好香港</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">有</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">英國先進醫藥專家坐鎮</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">, </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">很快就發展出一套現代化的防疫制度。香港和中國的「瘟疫歷史」才告一刀兩斷。直到</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> well, </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">香港重新成為中國之後囉。</span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">可見</span><span style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">各種大型疫症</span></span><span style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">對於古老而人口龐大的中華帝國而言</span></span><span style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">其實都不會發生覆滅性的影響</span></span><span style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">;</span><span style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">反正人多命賤</span></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">。</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">不過由瘟疫而造成的管理麻煩</span><span style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">, <span lang="ZH-HK">反而更有效解釋帝國的逐步解體</span></span><span style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">正是由瘟疫造成的各地優先自保心態</span></span><span style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">以致中央無力調動各地共同回應各種內憂外患。尤其在中央集權</span></span><span style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">威權控制的社會環境之下</span></span><span style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">一旦帝國中央的管治能力出現失效</span></span><span style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">帝國出現崩潰式解體</span></span><span style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: FangSong; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">也又似乎相當合情合理了。</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<br />Alex Shiuhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02859312955376952283noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7745370028190999330.post-51695712727499275552019-11-16T19:46:00.002-08:002019-11-16T19:46:29.268-08:00實在北京中央政府有幾重視香港區議會?<br />
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">有朋友問起</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">順手寫埋</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">費事每次都要重複講多次</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">- </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">實在北京中央政府有幾重視香港區議會</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<!--[if !supportLists]--><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><span style="mso-list: Ignore;">1.<span style="font: 7.0pt "Times New Roman";"> </span></span></span><!--[endif]--><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">民政事務署每年撥款三至四億俾區議會做「社區活動開支」</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">所謂維穩費</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">其實有好多係香港政府俾</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">、</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">唔係中央俾</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<!--[if !supportLists]--><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><span style="mso-list: Ignore;">2.<span style="font: 7.0pt "Times New Roman";"> </span></span></span><!--[endif]--><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">區議員薪金同埋津貼</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">每年支出二十幾億</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">唔止養起全班議員</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">仲養起埋成個社區嘅政治樁腳</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<!--[if !supportLists]--><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><span style="mso-list: Ignore;">3.<span style="font: 7.0pt "Times New Roman";"> </span></span></span><!--[endif]--><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">配合政府主導公共工程撥款</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">例如元朗一條天橋</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">閒閒地都使你</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">17</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">億</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">; </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">每個區都可以主導工程支出</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">每年十八區起碼「分」咗過百億</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">! </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">但係你要收粽地、拆僭建、起學校、起公園、起公屋</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">.... </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">隨時阻你十年八年</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">; </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">「</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">地主會」都做唔到嘅嘢</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">區議會一力承担</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> - </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">有本事配合政府阻住地球轉呀。</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<!--[if !supportLists]--><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><span style="mso-list: Ignore;">4.<span style="font: 7.0pt "Times New Roman";"> </span></span></span><!--[endif]--><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">非常重要嘅形象同樁腳工程</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">- </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">區議員係「直選產生」</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">每次有乜鬼咨詢</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">就係</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">"</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">民意</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">"; </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">幾百個</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">"</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">民意代表</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">" </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">開會只係循例</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">日日夜夜就</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">搏命做民間外交、主導社區溝通、主辦社區組織、影響業主立案法團</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">(</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">齋計維修工程已經肥死你啦</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">) </span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">.....<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">假如只係為咗</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> "</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">唔好俾佢有認受性</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">" </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">就同區選割蓆</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">甚至仇視參選人</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">中央真係多謝夾唔該囉。因為所有榮光歸於中央丫嘛</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">哈哈哈。</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">而最近為咗撐區選</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">中央會去到幾盡</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<!--[if !supportLists]--><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><span style="mso-list: Ignore;">1.<span style="font: 7.0pt "Times New Roman";"> </span></span></span><!--[endif]--><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">解放軍出營</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">為咗幫手掃街搞親民</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">! </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">仲要入晒陶傑嘅數</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">當正係佢教路</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<!--[if !supportLists]--><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><span style="mso-list: Ignore;">2.<span style="font: 7.0pt "Times New Roman";"> </span></span></span><!--[endif]--><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">地區組織出手</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">發動</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> "</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">街坊清路障</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">", </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">要挽回地區中間民心</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoListParagraphCxSpLast" style="background: white; line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; margin-left: 54.0pt; margin-right: 0cm; margin-top: 0cm; mso-add-space: auto; mso-list: l2 level1 lfo2; text-indent: -18.0pt;">
<!--[if !supportLists]--><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><span style="mso-list: Ignore;">3.<span style="font: 7.0pt "Times New Roman";"> </span></span></span><!--[endif]--><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">曾鈺成咁啱俾外媒訪問</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">將矛盾卸晒俾林鄭</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">甚至將建制派劃分開強硬與開明</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">繼續</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> sell </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">開明建制派俾選民去支持</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><br style="mso-special-character: line-break;" />
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<!--[endif]--><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">至於反送中班示威者</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">把口就話</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">「</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">各自爬山」</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">但係一見到有人搶攻區議會陣地</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">就屌到飛起。咁樣搞法</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">個後果就不難想像:</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<div class="MsoListParagraph" style="background: white; line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 12.0pt; margin-left: 35.7pt; margin-right: 0cm; margin-top: 0cm; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo3; text-indent: -17.85pt;">
<!--[if !supportLists]--><span style="color: #1d2129; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><span style="mso-list: Ignore;">1.<span style="font: 7.0pt "Times New Roman";"> </span></span></span><!--[endif]--><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">過咗區選</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">就會由「民選代表」帶頭掃街</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">(</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">其實係清路障</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">), </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">「我要返工」、「俾番個和諧嘅香港我</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">」</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">…. </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">然後又係帶埋啲七老八十嘅阿伯</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">等你唔敢動粗</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">一次出事</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">死一個阿伯立即全城圍屌</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">等你唔跪低唔得</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">; </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">以得失球嚟計</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">食硬你呀</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoListParagraph" style="background: white; line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 12.0pt; margin-left: 35.7pt; margin-right: 0cm; margin-top: 0cm; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo3; text-indent: -17.85pt;">
<!--[if !supportLists]--><span style="color: #1d2129; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><span style="mso-list: Ignore;">2.<span style="font: 7.0pt "Times New Roman";"> </span></span></span><!--[endif]--><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">對住全世界嘅傳媒大聲講:全港大部份冇上街示威嘅市民</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">其實都係企喺政府嗰邊</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">! </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">示威者唔係「民意代表」</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">! </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">睇下你班所謂「為民請命」嘅傻仔</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">仲有乜嘢光環同認受性</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">全世界都睇你有冇票嘛</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">! <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<!--[if !supportLists]--><span style="color: #1d2129; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><span style="mso-list: Ignore;">3.<span style="font: 7.0pt "Times New Roman";"> </span></span></span><!--[endif]--><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">發動大清算</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">到時各大學校長、中學校長唔就範嘅</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">就日日有街坊嚟指罵</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">直到政府換校長為止。「家教會」有啲乜嘢家長主席</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">大家心照啦</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">假如唔係開槍幾乎打死人</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">大家根本都唔會留意到呀。到時學生同老師冇咗學校保護</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">會發生乜事</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">唔使劃出腸啦啩</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">等瞓街啦你班廢青。「放棄一代年青人」唔止係一句口號嘛。</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<!--[if !supportLists]--><span style="color: #1d2129; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><span style="mso-list: Ignore;">4.<span style="font: 7.0pt "Times New Roman";"> </span></span></span><!--[endif]--><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">發動民心大清洗:「修復警民關係」,到時全城都會見到阿</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">Sir Madam </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">同街坊攬頭攬頸</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">然後啲老人家就做晒和事老</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">「大家都係一家人</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">要守望相助」</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">然後啲廢青繼續去坐監、然後啲發現屍體事件就「唔好再追究」</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">大家「和好如初」。</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">呢個情景</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">你話係唔係好振奮人心呢</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">劇本就係咁寫嘅</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">會否如計劃演出</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">定還是會有突然變化</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">?</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">呢樣就要睇下香港人自己造化囉。條路自己揀</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1d2129; font-family: FangSong; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">仆街唔好喊。</span><span style="color: #1d2129; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: FangSong; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<br />Alex Shiuhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02859312955376952283noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7745370028190999330.post-25832266925422581052019-10-04T22:22:00.000-07:002019-10-05T09:43:09.795-07:00從「反蒙面法」分析香港的攬炒預期<br />
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif;">首先一個最逆向思維的考量:所謂「向歐美學習」是一句廢話</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif;">反而即時會暴露執政者和當權派的詞窮理屈。這個是首先攬炒民心的最根本結果。</span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">歐美政府之所以有「反蒙面法」</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">是建基於政府由人民以民主普選方式授權成立。而大家也可以查一下時事</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">就是外來滲透的宗教極端份子</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">用暴力無差別殺害民主國家的平民</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">所以外國才有反蒙面法。是民主國家的人民授權政府用以自保的手段。反觀香港情況</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">假如要提倡向民主國家學習</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">第一個會被追問的</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">會是:什麼時候香港才有民主普選</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">只要明白香港根本沒有民主普選</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">則所謂「人民自保」這句即時變成空話</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">; </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">要保的只會是另有其人。所謂</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">
</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">no
stake </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">這句鬼拍後尾枕的</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">
</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">Freudian
slip, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">就不證自明了。</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">再看香港的「反蒙面法」針對目標</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">不是殺害平民的恐怖份子</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">而是挑戰政權的平民百姓。因此人民又會反問:假如戴了面罩會被警察實彈射殺</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">那麼是否不戴面罩就不會被實彈射殺</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">結果其實是沒有差別。</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">再一層反思</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">就是「不蒙面的黑幫」公然用刀用棍無差別追殺平民</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">依然是會受到政權包庇</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">那麼這條所謂禁止暴力的特殊法律</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">很明顯也不是針對最暴力殺害平民的黑幫。那麼戴不戴面罩</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">其實也不是重點:重點反而是你是否政權喜歡包庇的黑幫。</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">假如有讀歷史</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">就會明白西方民主社會的由來</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">:</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">其實就是由人民反思要約制君主和惡棍對平民的暴力。或者可以這麼比較準確地說:民心已死、民心萬歲。何解</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">民心是對威權政治死心</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">而終於明白了</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">沒有民主</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">人命就會賤如螻蟻。現在是民心一面倒要求民主自治。港豬演化成暴民</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">令到當權者提心吊膽惶惶不可終日。民可以載舟亦可以覆舟</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">現在這個場景是:一葉孤舟、萬丈深淵、驚濤駭浪。這個</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">
</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">be
water </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">的說法</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">也真夠絕。嚇得政府和當權派要延遲甚至取消選舉。原來反蒙面法首先祭旗被迫扯下的</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">是假民主的偽善面具。於是威權包庇的偽民主代表就攬炒了</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">但不值半點同情。</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">而「有權不露面</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">」</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">這一點</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">也又和西方民主理念是一致</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">那就是</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">secret ballot</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">不記名投票。面對當權者</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">人民有權用選票表決而有權不讓你「抄名</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">」</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">因為當權者肯定會打擊報復</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">令到沒有人可以再反對。同樣道理</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">現在市民上街示威表達不滿</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">為什麼就沒有權不讓你「抄樣</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">」呢</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">?</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">先前</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">8</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">月</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">24</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">日在觀塘的遊行當中</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">, </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">就有「智慧型燈柱</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">」被鋸倒</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">然後零件被查</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">。還不就是因為市民懷疑政府利用中國的容貌識別技術來進行人面監控嘛</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">?</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">假如現在強行立法</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">就是要扯下市民的面罩</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">這個「抄樣」的目的</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">還不是更加昭然若揭嗎</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">?</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">燈柱也會被鋸掉</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">那麼想扯面罩的警察又會有什麼招呼呢</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">?</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">想要暴力降溫</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">, </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">這個扯人面罩的動作看來才是非戒不可吧</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">?<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">至於經濟上的攬炒</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">大家又會以為立了一個反蒙面法會有分別嗎</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">對香港的宏觀經濟最大影響的</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">是中美貿易戰。對於香港能否擁有「有別於中國」的自由貿易地位</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">這個才是重中之中。客觀環境就是美國的《香港關係法》將香港與中國區分開來</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">香港才能享受有別於中國的貿易待遇。有些政治很正確的傻人總是倒果為因</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">硬要說香港的自由貿易地位是中國的施予。那倒不如反問一個最低</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">B</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">的問題:中國也可以恩賜任何一個中國城市做自由貿易呀</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">沒有美國的承認</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">看看又會如何吧</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">?</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">向美國爭取一下《深圳關係法》來試試看</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">尋求香港有別於中國</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">才是香港經濟的唯一生路;要是反過來爭取與中國同一待遇</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">只是自掘墳墓。因此在整個宏觀經濟環境上</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">反蒙面法是毫無幫助的</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">反而是將香港進一步與世界隔離、向中國拉近。試想想看</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">今天你可以用緊急法令</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">
</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">rule
by decree</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">的權力禁止人蒙面</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">明日你同樣可以反黑衫、反唱歌、反上網、反唱衰、反結社、反罷工、反沽空、反對沖、反清貨、反減價、反撤資</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">…… </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">種種質疑就是建基於</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">
</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">rule
by decree </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">的主觀性和不確定性</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">政治主導的法律環境與「法治」根本就是背道而馳。假如要面對和中國大陸一樣的不確定性</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">還會來做生意嗎</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">開玩笑吧</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">?</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">起碼今年萬聖節就搞不成化妝派對了。</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">至於小商戶的生計</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">就更加和反蒙面法完全沾不上邊。黑幫斬人和</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">TG</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">放題才是最大殺傷</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">而最近出現的針對性破壞對某些愛國商號就更加要命。大陸購物團就更加不用提了。經濟轉型就肯定會發生</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">不過做街坊生意的</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">倒有不少老闆表示生意反而更好。至於有了反蒙面法</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">愛國商號的生意是否就會好起來</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">?</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">細看一下零售統計就會更加清晰:香港的零售市道</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">自從</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2019</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">年</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">月起</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">已經一直在萎縮</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">主要原因是貿易戰影響消費預期</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">而同期人民早在下跌。不過基本民生必需</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">例如新鮮食物、麵包、超級市場銷售等等</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">根本不跌反升。</span><a href="https://www.statistics.gov.hk/pub/B10800032019MM08B0100.pdf" name="_ftnref1" style="mso-footnote-id: ftn1;" title=""><span class="MsoFootnoteReference"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><span style="mso-special-character: footnote;"><!--[if !supportFootnotes]--><span class="MsoFootnoteReference"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%;">[1]</span></span><!--[endif]--></span></span></span></a><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">只是大陸購物團的至愛</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">例如首飾、衣履、藥物化妝品等等才插水。但實情是人民幣本身也正在插水</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">而且幅度成正比</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">。其實外國同樣出現陸客荷包縮水的情況</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">難道外國又有反中示威乎</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">?</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">香港零售的真正難題是本地薪金幾乎二十年原地踏步</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">, </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">香港本土消費能力根本有限。經濟好景時</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">香港政府和當權的財閥沒有和香港市民有福同享。如今出了問題</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">又可以找誰去打救</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">?</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">對於小商戶的困景</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">, </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">其實可以問問他們最需要什麼:是「業主減租</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">」。先前因為陸客購物而炒起的舖租</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">什麼時候才可以恢復正常</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? <a href="https://www.rvd.gov.hk/doc/en/statistics/graph1.pdf" name="_ftnref2" style="mso-footnote-id: ftn2;" title=""><span class="MsoFootnoteReference"><span style="mso-special-character: footnote;"><!--[if !supportFootnotes]--><span class="MsoFootnoteReference"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%;">[2]</span></span><!--[endif]--></span></span></a>
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">過去</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">10</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">年</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">零售物業租金升幅是</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">
</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">180%,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">大量街坊小舖被趕絕。出現調整是最自然不過的事情了。反蒙面法可以救香港經濟嗎</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">那倒不如拿這個題目去咨詢美國總統吧。要救零售</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">隨行就</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">市</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">減租就是。既然不能有福同享</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">起碼有難同當也好吧</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">? </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">要是這個也做不到</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">就別怪人民會清算你了。地產霸權攬炒可期</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">, </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">而最近竟然很「慷慨</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">」</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">地</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">有財團帶頭「捐地</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">」了。不過贖罪券是沒有用的。就算是建制派也要急著反口</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">認同要用祭出「土地收回條例</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">」了。</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">當權者的天真設想是反蒙面法一出</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">香港的暴力對抗現象就會停止。到底這個想法有多可信</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">這個才是最根本的問題吧</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">?</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">不過最終極的攬炒</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">是外國終於發現了香港是中國的死穴</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">, </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">這個才是最要命的地方</span><a href="https://www.piie.com/blogs/zhong-wen/wei-shi-yao-zhong-guo-reng-ran-xu-yao-xiang-gang" name="_ftnref3" style="mso-footnote-id: ftn3;" title=""><span class="MsoFootnoteReference"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"><span style="mso-special-character: footnote;"><!--[if !supportFootnotes]--><span class="MsoFootnoteReference"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%;">[3]</span></span><!--[endif]--></span></span></span></a><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">。流入中國的</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">FDI</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">國際直接投資</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">香港穩佔</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">60%,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">這個比例過去幾十年來都沒有下跌過。香港當然不是拿自己的錢出來投資啦</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">這點再看看香港本身的</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">資金流入情況就看得清楚</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">香港一直其實都是金融中介的身份。</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">而中國企業在海外上市融資的地方</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">, </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">首選仍是香港</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">;</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">香港交易所掛牌的企業</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">按市值計</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">主要是中資。而香港股票市場的資金來源</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">, </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">歐美又穩佔</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">60%</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">以上</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">
</span><a href="https://www.hkex.com.hk/-/media/HKEX-Market/News/Research-Reports/HKEX-Surveys/Cash-Market-Transaction-Survey-2018/cmts2018.pdf" name="_ftnref4" style="mso-footnote-id: ftn4;" title=""><span class="MsoFootnoteReference"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><span style="mso-special-character: footnote;"><!--[if !supportFootnotes]--><span class="MsoFootnoteReference"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%;">[4]</span></span><!--[endif]--></span></span></span></a><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">。再看金管局的統計</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">香港金融機構的貸款</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">也是差不多一半流向中國</span><a href="https://hk.finance.appledaily.com/finance/realtime/article/20190908/60018187" name="_ftnref5" style="mso-footnote-id: ftn5;" title=""><span class="MsoFootnoteReference"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><span style="mso-special-character: footnote;"><!--[if !supportFootnotes]--><span class="MsoFootnoteReference"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%;">[5]</span></span><!--[endif]--></span></span></span></a><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">。香港的金融中介角色完全沒有疑問</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">就是中國吸收境外資金的主要渠道。</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">假如香港誓要變成其他中國一樣的城市</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">以上這些金融渠道還可以利用嗎</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">對於</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">rule by decree </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">的風險</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">, </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">當然不是三流分析員可以了解</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">因此在宣佈當日下午</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">恒生指數就以跳樓式下插</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">500</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">點來給各位一試滋味。到底金融投資者信什麼和不信什麼。起碼絕對相信陳茂波連三流分析的水平也沒有。他就恃著是欽點的財政司司長身份</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">很厚面皮的指《基本法》有保障</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">大家不用怕。不過現在最怕缺水的是習大大。中國經濟</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">GDP</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">增速是十年來最低點</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">結構性供求失衡</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">而政府又不能放水支撐以免陷入滯脹困局。而所謂「大膽創新</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">」</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">的「上海自貿區</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">」又已經雜草叢生。說好了的外資捧場</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">只餘下一齣鬧劇由上海市政府去收拾爛攤子。</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">本來和美國看來弩拔劍張的貿易對峙</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">結果又是偷偷</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">9</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">月</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">13</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">號買了</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">60</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">萬噸大豆</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">還要免關稅</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">以解燃眉之急。皆因糧價一漲</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">國內民心總會令到習大大提心吊膽的。而豬肉在國內又變成奢侈品了。糧票又出來了</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">闊別了好幾十年以後</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">現在輪到中國的年輕人認識一下什麼叫「社會主義好」,豬肉漲了三倍價錢</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">沒有辦法了</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">唯有每人憑票限購豬肉二斤</span><a href="https://tw.appledaily.com/new/realtime/20190916/1633748/" name="_ftnref6" style="mso-footnote-id: ftn6;" title=""><span class="MsoFootnoteReference"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><span style="mso-special-character: footnote;"><!--[if !supportFootnotes]--><span class="MsoFootnoteReference"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%;">[6]</span></span><!--[endif]--></span></span></span></a><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">。</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">現在是要急於找錢的時候</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">而港共又自己泡製了一個大難題給習大大</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">中共隨時連吸水活命也有難度了</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">…..</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">噢</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">….</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">那麼請問這個緊急法令又是《基本法》的東西嗎</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">?</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">明明是殖民地幾十年前的鎮壓手段而已。所謂「金融市場好平穩</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">」</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">其實沒有什麼地方比墳場更平穩的了</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">, </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">一路順風吧。很明顯是北京沒有辦法按《基本法》宣佈緊急狀態</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">於是港共政府唯有挖空心思</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">把幾十年前的殖民地惡法也要僵屍復活一樣祭了出台。於是乎所有立法程序都可以繞過了</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">。由於在表面上這一個條例沒有被取締</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">當然按表面是不會涉及越權或者違法等等限制啦。不過肯定要稍後要面對司法覆核</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">也又跑不掉的了。而有趣的是這個殖民地法例</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">與其後</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">1991</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">年通過的《香港人權法案條例》隨時有衝突</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">而後者是有「凌駕性」的</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">可以預見到時法庭又會有一番唇槍舌劍了。</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">不過種種文鬥武鬥也不會減少港人發揮創意的決心。</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">朋友圈中</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">即時就在討論到底那一種信仰是會蒙面的</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">而網上搜查購物也出現了大量「特大型太陽眼鏡</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">/</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">面罩</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">」之類的條目。相信未到萬聖節</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">香港街頭就應該已經非精彩:伊斯蘭教、飛碟教、飛天意粉教、撒旦教</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">….. </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">將會佩戴各式宗教面罩出街。起碼超大型太陽眼鏡和防曬面罩就少不了。</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">而我又問過醫生了。有關「反蒙面」的豁免</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">包括了「心理病」</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">因為即使沒有真實的敏感症</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">但假如有其他諸如強迫症、抑鬱症、恐懼症</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">甚至只是嚴重心理壓力</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">也有需要依賴口罩提供心理安全</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">否則同樣會出現和敏感症一樣的氣喘和窒息現象。</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">講到搞創意</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">香港人本來就靠這個吃飯的</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">不把這個發揮得淋漓盡致才不叫香港人啦。不過這些都只是表徵而已。心底裡的說話才最重要</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">而即使可以迫市民不戴面罩</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">其實也迫不了市民信任政府。</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">單就「香港民意研究所」發表的統計報告顯示</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">特區政府的「信任」趨勢是「一路插水」。</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">1997</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">年</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">7</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">月</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">15</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">日</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">回歸後的參考是:非常不信任是</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">1.8%, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">幾不信任是</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">9.8%; </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">一半一半是</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">22.5%</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">。這個原來是最高水平。</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">到了最近一次採集數據</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, 2019</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">年</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">8</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">月</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">20</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">日:非常不信任是</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">50.8%, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">幾不信任是</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">13.1%; </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">一半一半是</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">7.5%</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">。好配合歌詞「試問誰人未發聲」…也有的</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">「唔知道」的還有</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">1.6%</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">。肯信政府的只有</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">27%, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">不到</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">1/3</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">。</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">說好了的民意逆轉在那裡</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">其實是盲人騎瞎馬</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">夜半臨深池。如何不攬炒</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">祝君好運囉。</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<a href="https://d.docs.live.net/f56d4276355a8008/Documents/%E5%8F%8D%E8%92%99%E6%B0%91%E6%B3%95.docx#_ftnref1" name="_ftn1" style="mso-footnote-id: ftn1;" title=""><span class="MsoFootnoteReference"><span style="mso-special-character: footnote;"><!--[if !supportFootnotes]--><span class="MsoFootnoteReference"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif; font-size: 10.0pt; line-height: 107%;">[1]</span></span><!--[endif]--></span></span></a><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; font-size: 8.0pt;">統計署零售消費報告</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; font-size: 8.0pt;">,</span><span style="font-size: 8.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; font-size: 8.0pt;">2019<span lang="ZH-TW">年</span>8<span lang="ZH-TW">月份</span></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-size: 8.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span style="font-size: 8.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><a href="https://www.statistics.gov.hk/pub/B10800032019MM08B0100.pdf">https://www.statistics.gov.hk/pub/B10800032019MM08B0100.pdf</a>
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<a href="https://d.docs.live.net/f56d4276355a8008/Documents/%E5%8F%8D%E8%92%99%E6%B0%91%E6%B3%95.docx#_ftnref2" name="_ftn2" style="mso-footnote-id: ftn2;" title=""><span class="MsoFootnoteReference"><span style="mso-special-character: footnote;"><!--[if !supportFootnotes]--><span class="MsoFootnoteReference"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif; font-size: 10.0pt; line-height: 107%;">[2]</span></span><!--[endif]--></span></span></a><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; font-size: 8.0pt;">差餉物業估價署</span><span style="font-size: 8.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, 2019</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; font-size: 8.0pt;">年</span><span style="font-size: 8.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">8</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; font-size: 8.0pt;">月份</span><span style="font-size: 8.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; font-size: 8.0pt;">香港物業租金指數報告</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-size: 8.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span style="font-size: 8.0pt;"><a href="https://www.rvd.gov.hk/doc/en/statistics/graph1.pdf"><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">https://www.rvd.gov.hk/doc/en/statistics/graph1.pdf</span></a></span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<a href="https://d.docs.live.net/f56d4276355a8008/Documents/%E5%8F%8D%E8%92%99%E6%B0%91%E6%B3%95.docx#_ftnref3" name="_ftn3" style="mso-footnote-id: ftn3;" title=""><span class="MsoFootnoteReference"><span style="mso-special-character: footnote;"><!--[if !supportFootnotes]--><span class="MsoFootnoteReference"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif; font-size: 10.0pt; line-height: 107%;">[3]</span></span><!--[endif]--></span></span></a><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; font-size: 8.0pt;">《為什麼中國仍然需要香港》</span><span style="font-size: 8.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">Peterson
Institute for International Economics, 2019</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; font-size: 8.0pt;">年</span><span style="font-size: 8.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">7</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; font-size: 8.0pt;">月</span><span style="font-size: 8.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">18</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; font-size: 8.0pt;">日</span><span style="font-size: 8.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span style="font-size: 8.0pt;"><a href="https://www.piie.com/blogs/zhong-wen/wei-shi-yao-zhong-guo-reng-ran-xu-yao-xiang-gang">https://www.piie.com/blogs/zhong-wen/wei-shi-yao-zhong-guo-reng-ran-xu-yao-xiang-gang</a></span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<a href="https://d.docs.live.net/f56d4276355a8008/Documents/%E5%8F%8D%E8%92%99%E6%B0%91%E6%B3%95.docx#_ftnref4" name="_ftn4" style="mso-footnote-id: ftn4;" title=""><span class="MsoFootnoteReference"><span style="mso-special-character: footnote;"><!--[if !supportFootnotes]--><span class="MsoFootnoteReference"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif; font-size: 10.0pt; line-height: 107%;">[4]</span></span><!--[endif]--></span></span></a><span style="font-size: 8.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span style="font-size: 8.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">HKEX , HK Cash Market Transaction Survey 2018 </span><span style="font-size: 8.0pt;"><a href="https://www.hkex.com.hk/-/media/HKEX-Market/News/Research-Reports/HKEX-Surveys/Cash-Market-Transaction-Survey-2018/cmts2018.pdf">https://www.hkex.com.hk/-/media/HKEX-Market/News/Research-Reports/HKEX-Surveys/Cash-Market-Transaction-Survey-2018/cmts2018.pdf</a></span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<a href="https://d.docs.live.net/f56d4276355a8008/Documents/%E5%8F%8D%E8%92%99%E6%B0%91%E6%B3%95.docx#_ftnref5" name="_ftn5" style="mso-footnote-id: ftn5;" title=""><span class="MsoFootnoteReference"><span style="mso-special-character: footnote;"><!--[if !supportFootnotes]--><span class="MsoFootnoteReference"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif; font-size: 10.0pt; line-height: 107%;">[5]</span></span><!--[endif]--></span></span></a><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; font-size: 8.0pt;">蘋果</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; font-size: 8.0pt;">,</span><span style="font-size: 8.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; font-size: 8.0pt;">2019<span lang="ZH-TW">年</span>9<span lang="ZH-TW">月</span>8</span><span style="font-size: 8.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; font-size: 8.0pt;">日</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; font-size: 8.0pt;">,</span><span style="font-size: 8.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; font-size: 8.0pt;">《香港金融業赤化</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; font-size: 8.0pt;">
4<span lang="ZH-TW">萬億貸款「送中」 有銀行近半借予內地》 </span></span><span style="font-size: 8.0pt;"><a href="https://hk.finance.appledaily.com/finance/realtime/article/20190908/60018187"><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">https://hk.finance.appledaily.com/finance/realtime/article/20190908/60018187</span></a></span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<br />Alex Shiuhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02859312955376952283noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7745370028190999330.post-44392010966397390202019-08-09T21:30:00.002-07:002019-10-05T09:45:17.875-07:00「持份者」、「驢子的投票權」以及「中國歷代的流寇問題」<br />
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">時局紛擾、俗務繁忙</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">唯有翻一翻故紙堆</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">找一點寧靜的心靈空間。起碼也要理順一下</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">對這個「持份者」問題的思緒糾結</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">…..<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">原因是昨天看新聞</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">驚聞有人對一些示威者和抗爭者</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">指為</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">- they have
no stake in society. </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">原本我也以為自己年紀大機器壞</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">晨昏顛倒了以致聽錯了或者看錯了什麼</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">….. </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">不過定過神來</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">再看清楚:原汁原味</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">一字不差</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">….. <a href="https://www.scmp.com/news/hong-kong/politics/article/3022180/protest-crisis-worsening-economic-slump-hong-kong-leader" name="_ftnref1" style="mso-footnote-id: ftn1;" title=""><span class="MsoFootnoteReference"><span style="mso-special-character: footnote;"><!--[if !supportFootnotes]--><span class="MsoFootnoteReference"><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%;">[1]</span></span><!--[endif]--></span></span></a>
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">意思是說</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">那些在街上抗爭擾攘的暴民</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">在社會上沒有他們的「份兒」。</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">(</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">看似普通話</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">而實在也只能這樣理解撰稿人的真意思吧</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">)</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">於是乎先回想一下</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">到底何謂</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">
</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">stake?
<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">要翻字典當然可以有很多解釋</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">連「賭注</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">」也算一種。應該不會是指賭注吧</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">? </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">最合理的解釋</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">應該是</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">「持份」</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">亦即現代社會學裡面經常提到的「持份者」</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">stakeholder
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">概念。這個概念又應該如何理解呢</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">首先這個概念可能又是萬惡的通識科老師搞出來的吧</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">?</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">但也不可能沒根沒據的憑空捏造</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">! </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">於是又翻了一翻通識的資料</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">又看一下</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">專門頂心頂肺的香港電台又怎樣在他們的通識平台解釋這個字。</span><a href="http://www.liberalstudies.hk/blog/ls_blog.php?id=2593,%20http://www.liberalstudies.hk/blog/ls_blog.php?id=2521&mother_id=2026" name="_ftnref2" style="mso-footnote-id: ftn2;" title=""><span class="MsoFootnoteReference"><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><span style="mso-special-character: footnote;"><!--[if !supportFootnotes]--><span class="MsoFootnoteReference"><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%;">[2]</span></span><!--[endif]--></span></span></span></a><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">按港台通識網的引述</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">「持份者理論</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">」最先由一批學者撰寫出來</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">, </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">據報是要「為資本主義辯護</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">」</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">…. </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">嘩</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">原來真是非常政治化的用字啊。而所謂辯護</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">是指「資本主義也可以講道理</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">賺錢可以和倫理要求結合</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">而商業決定必須考慮對誰創造或破壞價值、誰會被害又誰會得益。而誰的權利會被促成、誰的價值被實現</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">….</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">」</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">很長的一段的文字</span><span style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">看似社會主義多一點</span></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">。講得簡單一點</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">就是「受影響」的人</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">不止是直接有買賣關係的人</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">; </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">資本主義也必須考慮到其他人。</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">好了</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">假如任何受影響的人也是「持份者」</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">那麼對於在街上抗議甚至抗爭的市民</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">他們又是不是某些社會政策受到影響的人呢</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">推行政策的人</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">又可否稱他們「</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">no stake</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">」呢</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">這種講法</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">會否在邏輯上可以稱之為「自相矛盾」呢</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">還是中國的邏輯博大精深、不是一般邏輯所能理解呢</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">面對這種邏輯刁難</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">又想起古人的刁難也一樣的令人苦惱。話說《蘇小妹三難新郎》有一節講到新郎哥要考過對聯合格才能入新房。明明是完了婚</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">這個小妹還要扭計刁難</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">?</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">也真比港女有過之而無不及。也還好這個公子多情的秦少游也算是多才匹配得上。小妹上聯是「閉門推開窗前月」</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">公子對下聯是「投石沖開水底天」。有念及此</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">這個邏輯問題就有點茅塞頓開了。人家開開心心洞房去</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">我就起碼大被蒙頭好安睡。</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">試想想</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">你往池塘裡丟下一塊石頭</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">你能否抱怨怎麼池水會起了漣漪</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">或者我明明只是在池塘的南面丟石頭</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">幹嘛漣漪要擾攘到池塘北面的荷花</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">這些漣漪也太心腸歹毒了吧</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">池塘北面的荷花受影響肯定不關我事云云。</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">其實稍為對中國歷史和哲學有點涉獵的</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">應該都明白這個道理</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">中國人一早也就知道的。老莊就是講「天地與我並生,萬物與我為一」就是這個道理嘛。天地之間</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">萬物生生相息、互為影響。正如現時流行「走塑」</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">膠之於我</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">可取可棄</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">; </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">一手拋掉</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">之後又與我何干</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">為什麼非要環保走塑不可</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">北極的白熊沒飯吃、南極的企鵝下不了蛋、又與我何干</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">為什麼我要為一隻不知幾千萬里以外的畜牲損害了我賣膠用膠的經濟自由</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">不過看看《孟子。梁惠王上》有云:庖有肥肉</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">廐有肥馬</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">民有飢色、野有餓殍</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">此率獸而食人也</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">!</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">獸相食</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">且人惡之</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">為民父母</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">行政不免於率獸而食人</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">惡在其為民父母也。</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">你看</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">原來孟子也很暴民的呀。</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">什麼環保、什麼公義</span><span style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? <span lang="ZH-TW">能當飯吃嗎</span>?</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">錢存了在政府庫房</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">要掘洞也好、填海也好</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">都是行政主導</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">關你蟻民什麼事</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">你自己搵唔到食就自己去餓死</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">誰到你認為自己有</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">stake? <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">又或者</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">立法權在我一手包辦</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">你喜歡也好、不喜歡也好,總之我夠票就能立法</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">(</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">至於</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">DQ </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">你多少人令你不夠票這是題外話</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">)</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">。</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">再或者</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">你同意又好、不同意又好,總之我就讓北大人認為可以抓誰就抓誰,</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">送</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">中</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">北上那是你自作自受,本地法庭不會管你死活。</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">其實這種境況</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">又算不算「行政不免率獸而食人」</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">而既然「人且惡之</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">」,這種「為政不免</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">」的什麼東西</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">又算不算是禽獸不如呢</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">那些蟻民</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">既然不是持份者</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">只算是「外物」吧</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">這種「視人命如外物」的思維方式</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">其實西方民主社會也一樣曾經有過。不過要強調是「曾經」</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">因為人的思想會進化</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">到了明白這種「排除他者」和「某些人不可視為持份者」的想法有多憨居之後</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">…. (</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">潮語講法是</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">話你憨鳩怕你嬲</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">), </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">自然就糾正了過來。</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">話說美國立國之初</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">原則上是人人平等</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">所有公民都應該有投票權的。不過當時就有一種講法</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">指沒有財產和沒有交稅的人</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">根本對社會沒有貢獻</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">; </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">既然沒有貢獻</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">就不應該有投票的權利云云。這個講法</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">和「今上</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">」</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">所指</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">「連稅都冇交過的廢青」可謂心有靈犀一點通吧</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">。</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">不過此說又是由凡事包拗頸的富蘭克林出來突破盲腸了</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">
</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">(</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">可能這個人就是傳說中的外國勢力</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">)</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">。他的陳詞也很簡單:</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">
</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">今天一個人有頭公驢,有財產</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">於是他有權投票;但驢子在下次選舉前死亡。與此同時,他本人變得更有經驗,對政府原則的瞭解以及對人生的認識更廣博,因此更能勝任選舉當權者</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">
</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">-
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">然而驢子死了,他不能投票。各位先生,請告訴我,選舉權屬於誰?屬於這個人,還是屬於這頭驢?</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">誰是持份者</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">在某些人看來</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">原來</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">the ass has stake, the man has none. </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">點到你唔嬲嬲豬呢</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">把人排除在「持份者」以外</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">這種所謂為政者</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">其實就只算是驢子的同類吧。</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">今時今日</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">為什麼西方民主社會</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">都很忌憚把人排斥為並無持份的「他者」</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">原因也是很簡單的:假如一個社會可以容許把「少部份人」</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">a small
minority of people <sup>(</sup></span><sup><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">同註</span></sup><sup><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">1)</span></sup><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">標籤為「他者」</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">請問到了最後</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">誰人不是「他者」</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">這個血的教訓最後由德國牧師尼莫拉</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">1945</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">年在美國波士頓豎起了《大屠殺紀念碑》來銘記:</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="text-align: center;">
<span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: red; font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">起初他們追殺共產主義者,</span><span style="color: red; font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><br />
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: red; font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">因為我不是共產主義者,我不說話;</span><span style="color: red; font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><br />
<br />
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: red; font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">接著他們追殺猶太人,</span><span style="color: red; font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><br />
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: red; font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">因為我不是猶太人,我不說話;</span><span style="color: red; font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="text-align: center;">
<span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: red; font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">後來他們追殺工會成員,</span><span style="color: red; font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><br />
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: red; font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">因為我不是工會成員,我繼續不說話;</span><span style="color: red; font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><br />
<br />
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: red; font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">此後他們追殺天主教徒,</span><span style="color: red; font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><br />
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: red; font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">因為我不是天主教徒,我還是不說話;</span><span style="color: red; font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><br />
<br />
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: red; font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">最後,他們奔向我來,</span><span style="color: red; font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><br />
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: red; font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">再也沒有人站起來為我說話了。</span><span style="color: red; font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">明乎此理</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">就知道為什麼西方文明社會都講求「政治制衡」、執意不讓當政者獨攬大權。而社會上各種不同意見</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">亦即異見份子</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">也必須要予以高度包容</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">確保開放對話。對於怒而反對甚至起而反抗的異見者</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">都只能訴諸公開辯論</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">、</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">獨立調查</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">、</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">和公平投票來解決紛爭</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">。正正就是符合了老莊孔孟的思想而已。假如不斷將社會中的異見份子分簡化為「他者」甚至貶稱為</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">「</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">蟑螂</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">」</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">不當是人來看待、摒棄在「持份者」之外</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">那麼這種社會</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">早晚只會淪為獨裁者的天下。</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">此時又有一些專事抬轎為專業的所謂學者出來耍太極</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">謂「惡法也是法」</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">而且所謂「送中</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">」</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">這回事</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">根本對</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">
</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">99.99%
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">的人沒有影響云云。</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">噢</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">惡法也是法</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">其實狗屁也是屁吧</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">?</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">噴什麼要讓人掩鼻而過</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">是那套叫「法術勢」的東西</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">、</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">而不是現今普世通行的「人權法治」呀。</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">那</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">0.01%</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">的人就不是人嗎</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">結果還不又是率獸食人</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">《狂人日記》講被吃的是一個孩子還是多少個孩子</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">…. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">這個是重點嗎</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">或者這些學者只是慶幸「總之不是自己的孩子」而已。</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">而講到獨裁者的終局</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">最後都難免要講到中國歷代政治經驗總結。就是「為何每朝末代都是流寇横行」</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? <o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">金觀濤在《興盛與危機》一書中是這樣講的:人身依附關係。</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">當權者和他們身邊的權力系統逐潮壟斷了一切資源和話語權</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">亦即人身依附關係取代了正常社會關係</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">; </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">社會大多數人就最終會淪為被排斥於社會之外的「他者」。換言之</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">就是「誰大誰惡誰正確」。你不聽話</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">我就抄你全家、誅你九族</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">! </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">到了明朝</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">就更加發明了「誅十族」這種屠殺滅族的維穏方式。而假如「一人犯上就會十族連坐」</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">那麼請問按這個幾何級數的牽連方程式</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">乘上二三十年的複合增長率</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">將會發生什麼事</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">就是普天之下</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">莫非流寇</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">! <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">這個千古奇問:為什麼流寇總是越殺越多、最終導</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">致</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">皇朝滅亡</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">其實有一部電影也有很深刻的訴說過呀:《大明劫》。先前我的電影網誌也有提過的。當中的明句是:這許多流寇</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">當初都不是大明的子民嗎</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">為政者只重馭世之術,輕經世之道,失敗是早晚的事。</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">何謂「馭世之術」</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">就是一味以為把反對的聲音打壓下去就天下太平</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">、</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">「撫剿並用」就以為天下歸</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">心</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">。</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">結果是李自成攻破北京</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">、</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">好打得兼大有為的崇偵皇帝跑去煤山上吊。</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">流寇遍天下</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">正正就是當權者那種「順我者生、逆我者亡」心態所必然演變而成的結果。「普世價</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">值</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">」</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">與「唯我獨尊</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">」</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">的分別</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">,真的是那麼難理解嗎</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">忠言逆耳、豺狼當道、仁義不施、民怨四起。這和亡國前夕又有何分別了</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">此時來講「鎮壓和派糖」</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">又算是「撫剿並用」</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">自然又比起「馭世之術」更加等而下之了。</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">….. </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">或者歷史唯一的教訓</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; mso-ascii-font-family: "Book Antiqua"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: "Book Antiqua";">就是我們從來都沒有汲取教訓。</span><span style="font-family: "book antiqua" , serif; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<a href="file:///D:/backup%20hand%20carry%2019%20oct%202018/personal/%E7%A4%BE%E6%9C%83%E6%8C%81%E4%BB%BD%E8%80%85.docx#_ftnref1" name="_ftn1" style="mso-footnote-id: ftn1;" title=""><span class="MsoFootnoteReference"><span style="mso-special-character: footnote;"><!--[if !supportFootnotes]--><span class="MsoFootnoteReference"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif; font-size: 10.0pt; line-height: 107%;">[1]</span></span><!--[endif]--></span></span></a> <span style="font-size: 8.0pt;"><a href="https://www.scmp.com/news/hong-kong/politics/article/3022180/protest-crisis-worsening-economic-slump-hong-kong-leader">https://www.scmp.com/news/hong-kong/politics/article/3022180/protest-crisis-worsening-economic-slump-hong-kong-leader</a></span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<a href="file:///D:/backup%20hand%20carry%2019%20oct%202018/personal/%E7%A4%BE%E6%9C%83%E6%8C%81%E4%BB%BD%E8%80%85.docx#_ftnref2" name="_ftn2" style="mso-footnote-id: ftn2;" title=""><span class="MsoFootnoteReference"><span style="mso-special-character: footnote;"><!--[if !supportFootnotes]--><span class="MsoFootnoteReference"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif; font-size: 10.0pt; line-height: 107%;">[2]</span></span><!--[endif]--></span></span></a> <span style="font-size: 8.0pt;"><a href="http://www.liberalstudies.hk/blog/ls_blog.php?id=2593">http://www.liberalstudies.hk/blog/ls_blog.php?id=2593</a></span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; font-size: 8.0pt;">,</span><span style="font-size: 8.0pt;"> <a href="http://www.liberalstudies.hk/blog/ls_blog.php?id=2521&mother_id=2026">http://www.liberalstudies.hk/blog/ls_blog.php?id=2521&mother_id=2026</a></span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<br />Alex Shiuhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02859312955376952283noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7745370028190999330.post-15436209866752537712019-07-28T00:50:00.002-07:002019-07-28T06:10:16.154-07:00中共為什麼重用何君堯?<br />
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">中共揀代理人嘛</span><span style="line-height: 107%;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">自有其原因</span><span style="line-height: 107%;">,</span><span style="line-height: 107%;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">說到底</span><span style="line-height: 107%;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">都是一個「衡工量值」的工具選擇</span><span style="line-height: 107%;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">不需要沁太多個人情緒在這個話題上。</span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">先由出身談起。</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">何君堯是新界屯門良田村原居民。父親何新榮曾擔任邊區警員</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">其後參與港英屯門開發時期的「收地」工作</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">協助原居民與地產商合作。有參與的項目包括新鴻基的加州花園和加州豪園</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">並有份創辦慈善機構《仁愛堂》</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">為新界的原居民和新增人口提供醫療和教育服務、補充政府服務的不足。何新榮亦因此於八十年代獲推薦接受英女皇的授勳。換言之</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">何家當年</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">為港英政府以及地產豪門「開發新界有功</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">」</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">亦由於斡旋得力</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">在鄉里間甚有影響力。</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">可見</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">何君堯的出身</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">其實早就決定了他的發展定位</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">。而何君堯和新界很多原居民一樣</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">很早就去英國讀書</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">也很自然地</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">選擇了法律這個行業。原居民的思想其實真是直接繼承大清國的嘛。所謂學而優則仕</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">盡量就挑一些「高尚</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">」</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">的專業來安身立命。在殖民地時代</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">當英國人的官還有點名不正言不順</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">因此「仕途</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">」這回事</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">最接近當官的的就是當律師</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">;</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">尤其是原居民都仍然忌諱「生不入官門、死不入地獄</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">」</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">而正好律師就是合適的專業中介</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">而且何家也的確是以這種中介代理</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">人的地位來發家的。</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">這種背景</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">, </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">既是「專業</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">」</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">又是建制,更加是天然政治代理人的材料。</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">至於正式晉身「政界</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">」</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">還得要留意帶他「入行」的人物:律師會前會長葉天養。</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">葉天養本身也是新界原居民</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">並於七十年代出任鄉議局的發言人</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">一直活躍於丁屋交易。</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">1989</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">至</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">1992</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">年期間出任《香港律師會》會長,亦出任城規會委員</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">有份參與新界土地項目發展工作。何君堯由葉天養在</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">1995</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">年邀請加入律師會「主要負責大陸事務」,至</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2005</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">年</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">鑑於「開拓大陸市場」有功</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">獲選出任副會長職位。至</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2008</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">年</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">何君堯正式「從政」</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">參與立法會功能組別選舉</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">挑戰吳靄儀。雖然挑戰落敗</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">但當中的象徵意義就非常重大。而這次參選</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">就更加確定他作為中共代理人的堅實身份。</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">大家必須要記得</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
2003</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">年沙士之後</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">香港爆發了史無前例的「自救」運動</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">而「七一遊行」從此變成了固定的反政府活動。其後的區議會選舉和立法會選舉都出現破記錄的投票率</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">民主派勢態大勇</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">;</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">再加上工商專業由於七一效應轉為傾向與普選靠攏</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">例如由自由黨取得立法會共</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">10</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">個議席</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">與民建聯齊頭;民主黨雖然損失了兩個議席下跌至</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">9</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">席</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">但就取得了專業界別的重大突破。尤其是法律界冒出了「四十五條關注組」的新星、以及由「獨立專業」人士的成功當選</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">「泛民」總共拿下了</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">18</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">個地區直選議席</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">比建制派的</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">12</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">個要多。建制派只能力保功能組別</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">但當中又面對自由黨的不穩定性,以及譚香文擊敗陳茂波拿下了會計界議席、醫學界又落入泛民郭家麒手上</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">;
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">區議會組別就更加出人意表</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">由於民建聯老大葉國謙在早前的區議會選舉被泛民何秀蘭擊敗、失掉了參選資格</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">要靠老人家劉皇發出動才擊敗民主黨的鄺國全。</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">可見何君堯此時出來挑戰吳靄儀</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">明顯是「臨危受命」的重要選擇</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">也是中共試練政治人選的機遇。</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">自此以後</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">何君堯的政治表現就更加令到北大人龍顏大悅。</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2009</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">年劉皇發替中共和港府立下選戰功勞之後</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">被任命為行政會議成員</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">希望可以借助他的人脈</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">做好新界的「政通人和</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">」工作。而當下的重要</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">任務</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">就是替高鐵項目完成徵地的工作。不過劉皇發一向都是極為圓滑的和事老</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">在港英年代雖然作用甚大</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">但改朝換代之後</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">他那種和氣生財的手段再也滿足不了新時代的節奏了。</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2010</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">年發生菜園村事件</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">香港面對另外一種史無前例的政治挑戰</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">就是一種全新演譯的「香港本土生活方式</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">」</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">!</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">以前農民無不渴望政府收地</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">好早點收錢脫離耕田的生活</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">正好就是中共那一種「發展就是硬道理</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">」</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">的心態</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">;</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">而香港商界也莫不如此</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">可謂與中共同氣連枝、反正利益均沾。不過菜園村事件</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">卻反映出另一種香港的本土意識</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">就是「發展不是一切」於是乎劉皇發那一套說之情誘之以利的手段再也不管用</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">!</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">這時大家要留意一下啦:</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2011</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">年</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">何君堯出手</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">策動「倒皇</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">」。早於</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2008</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">年落選後</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">何君堯立即轉入屯門鄉事委員會</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">打穩鄉事人脈。到劉皇發面對菜園村無功而還、而高鐵又隨時被截的情況下</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">何君堯再一次臨危受命</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">推動鄉委會修改會章「禁止任何人連任三屆主席」</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">;
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">此舉以他作為律師的知識加上北京的推波助瀾</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">結果竟然拉下了數十年資歷的新界王劉皇發</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">取代成為屯門鄉委會主席。菜園村下場如何</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">大家有目共睹。而高鐵就此可以順利開展</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">!
<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">作為力保菜園村的朱凱迪</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">他的名句「官商鄉黑</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">」即由此時釀成。</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">其後乘勝追擊</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">促成《新界關注大聯盟》與劉皇發為首的傳統保守鄉事派分庭抗禮</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">被稱為「激進鄉事派」。</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">而何君堯亦成功在</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2011</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">年出任了律師會會長。此時的何君堯</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">其實已經是中共旌下紅得發紫的「既紅且專、更有組織基礎</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">」</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">的人物了。</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">到了「佔中</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">」</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">期間</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">又再一次被委以重任。</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2014</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">年佔中之前</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">北京發下來</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">831</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">決議和《一國兩制白皮書》為政改「定調」。律師會此時由林新強出任會長</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">出面「代為支持」</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">揭起了律師會倒戈事件。結果史無前例地</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">在</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2014</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">年被召開特別會員大會</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">通過不信任動議而被迫辭職。佔中前哨戰打響了一個重頭前戲。不過何君堯此時己卸任會長</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">正在全力支援北京定下的政改框架。何的戰線亦正式由專業組織、鄉事組織、正式轉為「群眾路線」。何伙同前民政事務局局長藍鴻震</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">發起「保衛中環」運動,宣傳「反佔中、保飯碗」,更加全力配合梁振英</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">於</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2014</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">年</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">9</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">月</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">26</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">日</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">成功申請到「佔中禁制令」</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">令到兩日之後</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">梁振英有法理基礎進行發射催淚彈的清場行動</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">! </span><br />
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">律師會的地盤雖然暫時失利</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">不過群眾路線就越走越順。</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2016</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">年</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">佔中後的立法會選舉</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">泛民以為又可以像</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">03</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">之後的形勢一樣翻盤</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">但何君堯出戰新西選區</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">協同建制派力挫「飯民四老」:李卓人、何俊仁、李永達、馮檢基</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">!
<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">戰果由何君堯收割</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">從此趾高氣揚進入立法會。</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">不過事情還沒有完。律師會作為長期的專業界別地盤</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">北京絕對不會罷休。鏡頭一轉</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">來到</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2018</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">年:律師會理事選舉。而事前何君堯又成功動律師會的樁腳</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">採用群眾路線的手段</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">由律師行老細親自「洗樓」向屬下律師拿「授權票」</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">!
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">擺明是霸王硬上弓。結果何君堯的推薦名單</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">全部四人順利高票當選。沒有人想像過</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">對專業人士也可以像新界選村代表一樣的手段來對付</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">不過他就是敢這樣做。</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">有以上成績表</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">假如你是中共</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; line-height: 107%;">你會不重用他嗎</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">?
<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<br />Alex Shiuhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02859312955376952283noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7745370028190999330.post-8648956309751308602019-07-24T10:15:00.001-07:002019-07-24T16:14:40.630-07:00「無用之用」與「香港實在有什麼用」?<br />
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<span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif;">向香港連登致敬!</span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">「無用之用」語出《莊子》《逍遙遊》。哲學這回事</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">好像和時局政論沒有什麼關係</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">也許</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">這種夜闌人靜時的胡謅</span>,
<span lang="ZH-TW">也算是無用之用的一種吧。正如先前中共也有人講過:香港是一本難以讀懂的書。</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">既然讀不懂</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">就任他丟放一邊吧</span></span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">也急不來一時三刻要有什麼管得著還是管不著。總之有用就是嘛。香港的「五十年不變」其實不是什麼看得精準的決定,倒有更大可能,是真正聰明的人才明白:不懂就別亂來。</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">只可惜,聰明人多數都謙卑禮讓放手不管;反而是自作聰明的人,才會犯上小學雞的錯誤, 磨拳擦掌、很自信地以為自己一定能人所不能。</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">而最近又聽到了</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">久違了的口號:香港只有幾百萬人</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">即使兩三百萬人不高興又如何</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">?</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">天朝有十四億人</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">香港算什麼</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">?</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">噢</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">是這樣嗎</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? <span lang="ZH-TW">所以中共可以隨時派出軍隊來香港接管和「平亂」了</span></span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">對吧</span></span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">? <span lang="ZH-HK">新疆、西藏、蒙古,就是這麼處理掉的呀。</span></span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">那麼為什麼中共對香港的處理方式</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">和對大西北又完全不一樣呢</span>? <span lang="ZH-TW">要是這個說法講得過去</span></span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">自從中共</span>1949<span lang="ZH-TW">年建政以來</span></span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">這個中港人口比例有改變過嗎</span>? <span lang="ZH-TW">沒有呀。疆藏蒙的幅員那麼大</span></span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">中共軍隊都早就踩平了,那又為什麼幾十年來</span></span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">香港這個彈丸之地</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">還是這個老模樣呢</span>? <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW">是中共特別網開一面嗎</span>? <span lang="ZH-TW">大躍進活生生餓死幾千萬人也可以眼皮也不眨一下</span>, <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW">區區一個小地方</span></span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">、才幾百萬人,死光也算個屁吧</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">?</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">於是從這裡</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">腦子裡就回響起一段很久遠之前的呢喃</span></span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">… <span lang="ZH-TW">無用之用。</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">有些東西看來起沒有什麼有用的地方,但偏偏就應驗了一個也相當唯物的邏輯:存在</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">就必然有它的真理。而香港</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">也肯定是對中共有用</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">中共才會用這種形式</span></span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">…</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">亦即所謂「一國兩制」</span></span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">的表面形式,</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">來讓香港和中國都「相安無事」地繼續存在。這個也是當初「河水不犯井水」的原則。</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">正如當年毛澤東對周恩來的最高指示一樣,對香港的政策,是:長期打算、充分利用。這個「用」字,正正就是所謂「無用之用」。老毛是熟讀中國古書的,他不可能看不透這一點。反之,周恩來是留學德國的,他倒未必全然心領神會,但起碼也踏實地維持了這個政策。而往後,鄧小平才又再透露多了一點點</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">而這一點點</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">也側面地反映了香港實在作用有多大,大得連鄧小平這個改革開放總設計師</span>,
<span lang="ZH-TW">也要來抄襲香港的一套。他可真的老實不客氣,對港政策、和改革開放政策是一致的,就是「在內地多造幾個香港」。</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">背景是這樣的:</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">鄧小平在一九八八年六月三日會見「九十年代的中國與世界」國際會議全體與會者時說:「對香港的政策,我們承諾了一九九七年以後五十年不變,這個承諾是鄭重的。為甚麼說五十年不變?這是有根據的,不只是為了安定香港的人心,而是考慮到香港的繁榮和穩定同中國的發展戰略有着密切的關聯。中國的發展戰略需要時間,除了這個世紀的十二年以外,下個世紀還要五十年,那麼五十年怎麼能變呢?現在有一個香港,我們在內地還要造幾個『香港』,就是說,為了實現我們的發展戰略目標,要更加開放。」</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">1988<span lang="ZH-TW">年</span>….<span lang="ZH-TW">當時《中英聯合聲明》都簽好了,而天安門還未出事,改革開放似乎一切順風順水,於是他老人家也就很有自信和很放心地,把他對香港的終極考慮都說得出來了。反過來看,中共有沒有說過</span></span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,要多造幾個新疆、西藏、蒙古出來呢</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">?</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">沒有吧。香港的用處有多大,不證自明。 </span></span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">而其後,即使是天安門出了大事</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,中共才險死還生之後,鄧小平又再講出一些很有意思的話來。背景是:</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">1990<span lang="ZH-TW">年</span>1<span lang="ZH-TW">月</span>18<span lang="ZH-TW">日</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">在人民大會堂會見香港首富李嘉誠。當時的總結</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">由鄧親自這樣說出來的:</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">[<span lang="ZH-TW">香港</span>] <span lang="ZH-TW">不會變、不可能變。不是說短期不變,是長期不變,這個道理我過去講了多少次,就是說五十年不變,五十年之後更沒有變的道理。</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">他的想法,是香港「回歸」中國之後,只要中國的改革開放繼續走下去</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,到時五十年後可以和香港「完全銜接</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">」,所以香港沒有改變的必要。由此看來,要變的是中國,而變的方向,是要變成香港。</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">而幾十年後,他的話又再次不證自明了。中國的確抄襲得很快,香港有很多硬件都抄走了。而這些硬件,甚至反過來比香港本來的版本</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,好像又更進步了。例如工業生產、運輸物流、甚至住屋條件、交通基建、通訊設施、電子交易等等。這些都不是長他人志氣的客觀事實了。</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">但即使如此,香港仍然是一本中共讀不懂的書,而仍有很多東西,不留意的時候,是大家也沒有發覺,其實中國是抄不過去的。</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">很多年前,在「佔領中環</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">」還未發生之時,我就已經寫過一系列的文章,說明中共很忌憚的一些事,就是在金融上,中國是靠香港、而不是香港靠中國。因此當時我已經斷言,中共只能拖拉著把佔中一事磨蹭過去,而不可能靠中國內地一樣的</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">武力鎮壓來「速戰速決</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">」。這個故事,也又不用重提了。文章還在,大家可以自己再次細看。</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">而即使佔中已經過去了這麼長的時間,而中共又再揚言「大國崛起」要大搞金融創新。但再看看數字</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">….. <span lang="ZH-TW">其實又沒有什麼根本的格局改變噢。</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">中國外來的國際直接投資,香港仍舊穩佔七成,中國企業仍是大排長龍來香港掛牌上市,上市以後又是在香港併命發債來供養國內的母企。甚至連銀行貸款、中國的對外負債,香港仍穩佔極大的比例。</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">於是乎從這些客觀數據</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">又只能得出相同的結論:即使今次香港變本加厲地排斥中國、中國仍不能把香港剷平,好像對疆藏蒙一樣封鎖起來「關門打狗」的清算掉。</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">因為如此一來,先死的是中共的經濟。而今時今日</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,世界又已出現巨變。美國已經不像八十年代一樣,要拉攏中國來抗衡蘇聯</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">;蘇聯早在</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">90<span lang="ZH-TW">年代消失了、而且再也恢復不了當年的世界霸權地位。而美國以及歐洲,也不像九十年代一樣,要借助中國的人力和市場,來替自己的經濟找出路。美國已經完成「再工業化</span></span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">」</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">甚至已形成能源自主、成為能源淨輸出國。</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">中國此時,正在一個要命的關口掙扎。所謂「大國崛起」只是黑夜嘯行一般的自我壯膽而已。中國面對的是工業轉型、能源轉型以及最難搞的市場轉型。用中共自己的說法</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">是要在「未富先老」之前,擺脫對人口紅利的依賴,跳出「中等收入陷阱」來實現經濟自主。而在這種經濟轉型的要命關頭,美國選出了一個特朗普總統,像耍流氓一樣和中國併命搞貿易戰爭,甚至不惜搗亂全球科技產業鏈也要把中國的科技發展鎮壓下來。</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">可以想像</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">在這種生死攸關的國際鬥爭情況下,中共會冒險把香港變成內地嗎</span>? <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW">中共肯定只會死得更慘。</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">也說過了,美帝不是真的想中國死掉,而是要中國變成一個可控和安全的經濟體。因此才又證明老鄧當年和美帝周旋的高明之處,正正就是「韜光養晦」悶聲發財。才有三十年的國力累積,可以供習大帝用來揮霍他的所謂大國崛起。</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">如今可說是一子錯滿盤皆落索。中共竟然在香港這個小池塘踩入水深火熱的泥沼</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">! <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW">香港社會的超人靭力</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">今次又再和上次</span>2003<span lang="ZH-TW">年的沙士一樣,展示出驚人的能耐。而這一切,都竟然很意外地,在一個看起來不甚起眼的《逃犯條例》修訂案所衍生出來。也是正當港共政府以為一切都在掌握之中、香港人也沒有什麼重大理由的情況下突然爆發出來。香港實在是一本難看懂的書嘛。</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">不過在這場中港角力的「反送中</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif;">」</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif;">大戰之中</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">有一場小戰役</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">倒是留意和報導的人不多。但在我看來、甚至在中共看來,才是極為恐怖的敗陣。</span></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">假如網上傳言沒有錯的話,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">(<span lang="ZH-TW">起碼香港</span>01<span lang="ZH-TW">也有報導</span>) <span lang="ZH-TW">中共</span></span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">在</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2019<span lang="ZH-TW">年</span>7<span lang="ZH-TW">月</span>22<span lang="ZH-TW">日,亦即中聯辦被圍堵和擲雞蛋之後的第二天,開始發動網上攻勢。號稱全球最大的「中國網軍」主體《帝吧》開始跨牆對人權陣線和香港民族陣線的面書專頁進行「洗版」,企圖癱瘓這些網站。</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">在中共眼中</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">香港的示威者</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">就是由這些網站進行煽動和協調的。《帝吧》一向戰績彪炳,號稱「帝吧出征、寸草不生」。在此初嘗甜頭,而香港各網站立即響起警號。帝吧乘勝追擊,揚言要在</span>23<span lang="ZH-TW">號</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">把香港最主要的本土大營《連登》也要炸掉。</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">但大出全世界的意料之外,在展開攻擊的同時,帝吧的主要人員包括所有管理人在內,都被連登「光速起底」:連銀行餘額、支付記錄、學業成績等等,都全部連根拔起</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">! <span lang="ZH-TW">連登據報甚至替帝吧的人員登記了參軍申請、把宗教信仰改成了伊斯蘭</span>! <span lang="ZH-TW">總之各種惡搞都有。帝吧面對連登反攻,竟然全無還擊能力,即時宣布「活動落幕」,更加在</span>24<span lang="ZH-TW">號,宣布「解散」</span>! <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">帝吧自為解釋,是「因為大軍被滲透得太厲害</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">想重組一個五千人的精銳群組」。不過實情是,解散了就沒有再重組</span>….<span lang="ZH-TW">帝吧本身被連登攻擊得自己才是寸草不生</span>!<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">連登的解釋其實很簡單,就是看準了中國基本上是全無私穩可言,而網上登記又強迫要「實名制」,因此只要找到一條線索,當事人所有資料就變成無所遁形</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">! <span lang="ZH-TW">要反制這些所謂網軍,簡直易如反掌。號稱全球最勁的網軍</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">就這樣被一班香港本土科技無名士、甚至可謂廢青、宅男、IT狗..... 亦即中共眼中的無用之人 (亦所以攻擊放到美帝目標之後)..... 殺個片甲不留。</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">此事之所以是中共的一大警號,並不在於「出師大敗</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">」這麼簡單,而是背後所揭示的中共社會組織本質。</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">假如有看過<u>金觀濤</u>所著的《興盛與危機》</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">看過他分析中國社會的「脆性結構本質</span></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">」就會明白是什麼一回事。中國的政府</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">一向都以剷平民間組織、進行從上而下的「強控制」手段來確保政權不會受到任何有組織力量的挑戰。亦正因如此,社會組織其實根本沒有自然融合的條件,只要中央強控制喪失組織功能,整個社會就會如散沙一盤地崩潰</span>!
<span lang="ZH-TW">帝吧解體,其實正正反映了這個死穴</span></span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">!</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">試試想像一下:像中共對社會監控得如此全面深入,如果中央控制室不再是
</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">CCP(<span lang="ZH-TW">中共</span></span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">) <span lang="ZH-HK">操作、</span></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">而變成 </span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">CIA (<span lang="ZH-TW">美國中情局</span>), <span lang="ZH-TW">可以想像會發生甚麼事嗎</span>? <span lang="ZH-TW">假如人面識別系統和社會信用系統加起來使用</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">足以令到「失信人口」連買車票也不可能,到時中共失勢,中共眾人要逃命的話,有可能嗎</span>?
<span lang="ZH-TW">正如商鞅變法的下場一樣,還不一樣是作法自弊嗎</span>? <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">可見「帝吧現象」</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">是中共的組織方式</span></span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">在「能運作」與「完全潰散」之間,根本沒有容中餘地</span>! <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">反而香港這種表面上混沌不堪的社會模式,才是堅靭不拔、活力十足的文明榜樣。足見英國人的政治智慧,能把中國人和英國人最好的社會組織能力有機地融合在一起。亦再一次證明,鄧小平才是真知灼見:是中國要學香港、而不是香港要學中國。不過起碼鄧小平是拿獎學金</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">和我一樣留學法國的,這本書雖然難讀</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">但起碼不會亂來。小學雞嘛,學不來的了,算了罷。</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p> 無用之用, 大矣哉。</o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p><br /></o:p></span></div>
Alex Shiuhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02859312955376952283noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7745370028190999330.post-71529588531406788322019-06-30T17:39:00.002-07:002019-06-30T17:39:52.740-07:002019年區議會選舉要注意<br />
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">區議會包含極大資源</span><span style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">一向都是建制派的根基所在</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">絕對不是什麼蛇齋餅糉那麼簡單的</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">政府每年都幾十億支出。光是</span>2018<span lang="ZH-TW">年分給區議搞無聊工程的撥款就有</span>18<span lang="ZH-TW">億。要養活從政人員</span></span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">、提供實體基地、凝聚社區力量、監察政策資訊</span><span style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">難道這些都不是兵家必爭嗎</span><span style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">好耐好耐之前</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">已經分析過</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">區議會選舉每個選區都劃得好細</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">選民人數有限</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">而每區勝出</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">都不外一千幾百票。為說明這個現象</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">將</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2015</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">年區選資料再分析一次</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">確保大家認真看待。</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">原始數據在政府網站有提供的</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">是公開資料</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">大家可以參考。</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: 8.0pt; line-height: 107%;"><a href="https://www.elections.gov.hk/dc2015/chi/results_hk.html?1561936128939">https://www.elections.gov.hk/dc2015/chi/results_hk.html?1561936128939</a></span><span style="font-size: 8.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">當日</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">431</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">個民選議席之中</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">竟然還有</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">68</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">席是「自動當選」。部份地區例如鄉村</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">這點我明白</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">不過在大型屋苑或者城市民居也是如此</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">那就有點離譜了。或者</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2015</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">年當時大家仍不相信選民肯揀</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">於是乎出現爆冷情況</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">這點就要提提大家了。例如號稱老樹盤根的鍾樹根</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">就在長期沒有對手的漁灣區</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">慘敗在新丁徐子見手上。</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">另一種情況</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">是當時的民主派沒有協調好選區的問題。最明顯的莫如何君堯「勝出</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">」的樂翠區</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">竟然有</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">6</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">個人參選。即使撇除掉二百多票的「其他人</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">」</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">光是何俊仁鬥鄭松泰</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">就已經是死症無疑。結果是何君堯得</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2,103</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">票、何俊仁得</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">1,736</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">票、鄭松泰得</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">391</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">票;何君堯比何俊仁多</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">277</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">票</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">勝出。</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">同樣慘況在其後的立法會選舉重複出現</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">結果是何君堯以三萬多票</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">一舉殲滅老飯民頭目三人十萬票。後果不是飯民大團結</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">而是泛民內部割蓆怪罪後生仔鎅票。</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">以致後來在補選一事上</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">演變成老鬼鬥新丁</span><span style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">最終民心渙散</span>,
<span lang="ZH-TW">飯民連總得票也比建制派比了下去。</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: 8.0pt; line-height: 107%;"><a href="https://www.gld.gov.hk/egazette/pdf/20162036/cgn201620365110.pdf">https://www.gld.gov.hk/egazette/pdf/20162036/cgn201620365110.pdf</a><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">到底在選舉一事上</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">大家又汲取了什麼教訓</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">好難講呀。總</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">之</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">大家唔該睇住條數</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">做人</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">啦。</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2015</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">年區議會選舉</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">以勝出候選人得票比下一位最高得票候選人來計算</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">差距分析如下:</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">最高:</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><span style="mso-tab-count: 1;"> </span>3,009</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">票</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">(</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">健明區</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">)<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">最低:</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><span style="mso-tab-count: 1;"> </span>3 </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">票</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">(</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">華富南</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">)<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">平均:</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><span style="mso-tab-count: 1;"> </span>835</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">票</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">眾數:</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><span style="mso-tab-count: 1;"> </span>335</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">票</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">中位數:</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><span style="mso-tab-count: 1;"> </span>698</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">票</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">投票率雖然高</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">超過</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">50%, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">不過假如每區多找一千幾百個街坊投票是不是這麼難</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">?</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">還是真係「投唔落手」就唔肯去投</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">或者可以咁樣諗:投唔落手都要投。因為通常唔投票嘅後果</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">就係有啲見到都想嘔嘅妖物會勝出。</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">另外要留意</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">就係自從有</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">DQ </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">呢種手段之後</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">好多企前線的反對派被針對</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">對於如何揀人出選</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">要留意了</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">。上一次都睇到</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">最成功的是「素人</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">」</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">。而我一向都反對所謂「快樂抗爭</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">」</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">因為抗爭從來也不快樂、快樂就不用抗爭。為了一點掌聲而在宣誓儀式中玩嘢</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">送咗個議席俾對家</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">對於這種玩法</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">是抵玩還是唔抵玩</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">大家自己衡量一下啦。</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">這種老飯民的</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">DNA </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">是有歷史原因的</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">- </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">他們都是街頭壓力團體出身</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">從來都沒有坐入議會</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">、</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">做爭權奪利的心思;資源都是來自街頭募捐</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">因此才會有「賣藥」一類的慣性表演行為。</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">明白到進化論是什麼一回事就最好</span><span style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">冰河時期</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">物種演變是非常自然的事吧。以現今的科技</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">光是眾籌和網上分工創作</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">已經可以一日之內</span></span><span style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: KaiTi; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">完成全球媒體文宣工程啦。為乜仲要玩雜耍</span>?</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="EN-US" style="mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<br />Alex Shiuhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02859312955376952283noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7745370028190999330.post-10011179135832774062019-06-29T19:44:00.002-07:002019-06-29T19:44:09.349-07:00侵侵在G20打什麼牌?<br />
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">侵侵最鍾意玩「估你唔到」,今次一樣而已。</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">表面上看來</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">中美貿易衝突好像一下緩和了</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">習大大提出三個前題條件都好像兌現了</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">;</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">而且侵侵在事前又制止了副手就香港示威發言</span>, <span lang="ZH-HK">開會期間又沒有提到香港</span></span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">因此</span></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">是中國又成大贏家吧</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">?</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif;">發夢冇咁早。得其所哉的是侵侵。</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-font-family: DengXian; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">首先看看習大大去開會談判的前題是什麼</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif;">主要就是那三點要求吧:</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-font-family: DengXian; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<!--[if !supportLists]--><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU;"><span style="mso-list: Ignore;">1.<span style="font: 7.0pt "Times New Roman";">
</span></span></span><!--[endif]--><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif;">解除所有對華為的禁令</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-font-family: DengXian; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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</span></span></span><!--[endif]--><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif;">撤銷對華輸美貨美的懲罰性關稅</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-font-family: DengXian; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<!--[if !supportLists]--><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU;"><span style="mso-list: Ignore;">3.<span style="font: 7.0pt "Times New Roman";">
</span></span></span><!--[endif]--><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">停止要求中國擴大購入美國貨</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-font-family: DengXian; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast;"> </span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif;">不能比中方</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">12</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif;">月所承諾的更多。</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-font-family: DengXian; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">首先是對華為</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">其實禁令只是「暫緩」而沒有取消</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">侵侵還會稍後視乎中方的回應行動才再作決定。而這點又關乎到第</span>3<span lang="ZH-TW">點要求</span></span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">就是侵侵早就準備好貨物清單</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">中國要是到時不乖乖找數</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">大棒還是可以繼續打下來的。情況一如對伊朗</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">那管你聯合國決議什麼</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">石油要禁就禁、洗黑錢要打就打。即使全世界都不爽</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">侵侵早有明言:他只對美國選民負責。</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">而且各位要留意</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">其實習大大的所謂「底線」</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">都是止於</span>12<span lang="ZH-TW">月的談判條件</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">換言之</span></span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">從「以進為退」的角度看</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">侵侵今次已完全拿下去年</span>12<span lang="ZH-TW">月中方所謂的不能接受條件了,包括當時已實施的新增關稅</span></span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">;</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">習大大只是不接受侵侵所威脅的「進一步懲罰」。當中只差沒有說明</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">最為關鍵的「調查權力」如何處置而已。</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">因此侵侵後續還有很多牌在手</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">不過責任就落了在習大大身上 </span>– <span lang="ZH-TW">請你用現金來說服我。因此侵侵會後又無端端大發偉論</span></span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">謂習大大是中國的偉大領袖云云。正一廣東人話齋:一啖砂糖一啖屎。玩死。</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">之前也有提過</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">美國佬不是真的想中國爆炸</span></span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">因為一個廢墟沒有什麼價值。美國佬要的是一個聽話的中國。看來</span></span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">習大大現在也頗聽話了。起碼都交足戲。</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">至於人權問題</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">這點也早提過</span></span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">經濟問題容易解決</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">也不太涉及政治制裁</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">因此人權牌在經濟議題上</span></span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">作用不大、出了手反而難收回。不過也要留意侵侵的「留有一手」安排</span>,
<span lang="ZH-TW">就是先前副手準備的講稿</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">也又只是暫緩而不是撤回。而國會兩院都已經在摩拳擦掌</span>,
<span lang="ZH-TW">準備在人權問題上對中國</span></span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">大做文章。而小日本竟然是第一個開口打香港牌的</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">有點意外吧</span>? <span lang="ZH-HK">也不算</span></span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">小日本要是沒有和侵侵打過招呼</span></span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">難道想</span></span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">G20</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">開不成會嗎</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">?</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">因此這個小動作其實是大動作</span></span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">就是門口一張紅地氈</span></span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">內進發財</span></span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">其餘大家可以心照不宣了</span></span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">要提也可、不提也可</span></span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">反正在門口已有通告。要是談得不好</span></span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">也不要謂沒有預先通知了。</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">侵侵的留有一手</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">反而變成進可攻退可守。要是習大大乖乖聽話</span></span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">那麼貿易談判的好處侵侵就全收割</span></span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">到時變了侵侵在美國替習大大斡旋。要是習大大不聽話</span></span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">到時侵侵只要闊佬懶理</span></span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">中國的麻煩更大。誰更靠誰</span></span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">?</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">不是很明顯嗎</span>? <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<br />Alex Shiuhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02859312955376952283noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7745370028190999330.post-65578617494190359092019-06-21T22:16:00.002-07:002019-06-21T22:16:34.959-07:00圍堵警總是一著極錯的棋<br />
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">看罷黃之鋒吹雞圍警總</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">深嘆香港何止沒有政治人才</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">連戰鬥人才也沒有</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> ..... </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">兩邊都是。只是香港人理性守法</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">才沒闖出大禍來</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">算是萬幸。</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">621 </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">圍警總一役</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">表面上看來一切和平</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">不過背後深埋禍心</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">實在又何必呢</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><br style="mso-special-character: line-break;" />
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">先講警察本身招來此</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> "</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">剃眼眉</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">"
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">的報復行為</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">絕對是政治問題</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">也是戰鬥思維的問題。只能用惡果自嘗來形容。</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><br style="mso-special-character: line-break;" />
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<span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">612</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">那天</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">本來沒有擴大武力清場的必要。因為在下午三時後</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">要求行動升級的示威者只集中在立法會大樓</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">而且武力有限</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">其他人又不是一起來衝擊</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">警隊武力防衛</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">無可厚非。但一聲令下</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">竟然就要全個金鐘清場</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">連帶中信外面的和平示威區也被四面夾擊</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">險釀慘案</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">此事又是誰人的意思</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">吳子兵法有教落:「凡兵之起者有五</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">..... </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">一曰義兵。五者之數</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">各有其道</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">義必以禮服</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">」</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">。正所謂</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">合法殺人解決不了政治問題</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">應對義兵必須要以禮相待</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">現在明白古人用兵的思考深度沒有</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">因此和平示威佔大部份的市民</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">首先就不服</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">在其後召集二百萬人</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">616<span lang="ZH-TW">再示威</span></span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">卒之迫使政府停止修法。此事不止施政目的前功盡廢</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">更引發建制派之間互相推卸割蓆</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">為保選票</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">各自發揮跳船功夫。此可謂一子錯</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">滿盤皆落索。事已至此</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">高官們竟然將責任全部往前線警員推卸</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">警隊怨氣難消</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">已經亳無懸念。建制派分裂、強硬立法不再</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">連帶警員鬥志消散</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">停止濫捕</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">其實反對派是極好形勢才對。</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><br style="mso-special-character: line-break;" />
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">不過到了</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">621 </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">那天</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">情況又出現變化了。本來示威就是要迫使政府作出政治表態</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">完全不關警隊的事。而事實上</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">警察已按指示</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">不打算進行任何武力清場行動</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">也只是袖手旁觀。</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">從政治上的判斷來看</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">政治問題</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">終須要政治解決</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">已經是大獲全勝。而要剃眼眉也好</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">警察受制不能出手</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">不一樣是繼續受氣嗎</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">還可以怎樣</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">況且國際調查接踵而來</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">違法濫捕</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">也必然會受到追究。律政司雖然無法宣之於口</span>,
<span lang="ZH-TW">但 </span>offer no evidence <span lang="ZH-TW">作為 </span>plea bargain,
<span lang="ZH-TW">此事又可以請教打慣官司的大狀呀</span>!<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span><span lang="ZH-TW">此等政治手段大可以和律政司閉門商議</span></span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">不必鬧大嘛。 警隊的麻煩本來就沒完沒了</span></span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">又何必再踩一腳</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><br style="mso-special-character: line-break;" />
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">意料不到的是</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">黃之鋒忽然搶咪呼籲示威群眾由政總走去圍警總。這就麻煩了。既然已經可以直接對特首施壓</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">又何必去找副手</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">可以去找副手施壓</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">又何必去找前線的卒仔</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">講到底</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">這種施壓根本就等同找卒仔出氣</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">既解決不了問題</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">也沒有增加談判籌碼</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">算是怎樣的一著棋</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">最終只是導致警隊與平民仇怨加深</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">而並無任何分化瓦解的政治效果。正如政府向民間施壓</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">民間結成更緊密同盟一樣。反過來看</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">警隊被迫同舟共濟更團結</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">又何嘗不是一樣</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">此謂之政治水平問題。</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><br style="mso-special-character: line-break;" />
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">再看戰鬥思維。警總裡面</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">也有文職婦孺</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">並非全部都是防暴隊</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">; </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">而作為治安機構的一個綜合體</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">功能繁多</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">的確不宜圍攻。因此發動圍堵之前</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">實在進迫的一方</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">有沒有考慮過此事的社會和政治後果</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">這個就是政治水平問題啊。</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><br style="mso-special-character: line-break;" />
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<div class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">更加在圍堵過程當中</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">犯下兵家大忌</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> - </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">沒有考慮</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> "</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">圍師必闕</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">" </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">這一個戰鬥選項</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">! <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><br style="mso-special-character: line-break;" />
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">何解</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">就是圍城也得要放一條生路</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">。</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><br style="mso-special-character: line-break;" />
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">留一條生路的效果</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">除了送水送飯等人道物資不會被截斷之外</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">更可讓老弱婦孺先行撤退</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">這個可不止光環這麼簡單</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">而是最起碼的人道條件</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">! </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">示威群眾一直高舉道德旗幟</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">這一種反人道的圍堵方式</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">算是自摑乎</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">最明顯的場景</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">是正當談判專家出場的時候</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">示威者本來可以名正言順提出訴求以及開出「圍堵條件」,但換來只是黃之鋒帶頭的一陣噓聲</span>,
<span lang="ZH-TW">結果政治談判無從進行。這算是什麼打法</span>? <span lang="ZH-TW">兩陣交兵尚且不斬來使呀。</span></span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><br style="mso-special-character: line-break;" />
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">而留一條路的打法</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">心理上也對被圍困者造成更大分化和壓力</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">因為需要考慮是和是戰、誰去誰留等問題。反之一味圍堵</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">被圍者沒有選擇</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">結果全部變成一種團結立場</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">死未</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">.....<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">而此事更留下另一個心魔</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">就是警隊上一致認為</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">政府收回修法成命才是大錯</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">...... </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">政府口講大和解</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">固之然口是心非</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">才變成割裂的惡果;但口講正義</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">而並非以仁義待人</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">又何嘗不是倒行逆施</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">而主動埋下互相復仇的種子</span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">又算是什麼一種手段</span>? </span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "inherit",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<br />Alex Shiuhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02859312955376952283noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7745370028190999330.post-19458913466190640492019-06-12T10:42:00.002-07:002019-06-12T10:42:44.390-07:00搞乜鬼趕班廢青去佔領中環?<br />
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<span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif;"><o:p> </o:p></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">老實講</span><span style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">所謂佔中九子真的很廢</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">因為當年根本沒有辦法佔領中環</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">結果只能在金鐘勉強交個差就算</span>, </span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">那當然是不可能成功啦。</span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">而先提舊事:</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2014<span lang="ZH-TW">年佔中正式發動之前</span></span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">我已經詳細分析過,佔領中環:在技術上是不可能的事。因為中環實在太大、大多街道和接駁通道</span>, </span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif;">根本很難有足夠人力去作出有意義的佔領行為。所以佔中最終無功而還</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif;"> <span lang="ZH-CN">實屬正常到不得了。</span></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">當中的詳細分析</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-font-family: DengXian; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">可以參考我的說明
</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">(<span lang="ZH-TW">有地圖講解的呀</span>)<span lang="ZH-TW">:</span>2014<span lang="ZH-TW">年</span>6<span lang="ZH-TW">月</span>7<span lang="ZH-TW">日《佔領中環:技術上不可行》</span></span><span style="font-size: 8.0pt; line-height: 107%;"><a href="https://alexstshiu.blogspot.com/2014/06/blog-post_4625.html"><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">https://alexstshiu.blogspot.com/2014/06/blog-post_4625.html</span></a></span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-fareast-font-family: DengXian; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">不過今時今日假如大家反過來看</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">又會出現另一個「奇景</span></span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">」,而這個也是我題目所問的:搞乜鬼</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">?</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">因為既然中環很大、又是立體交通佈局、而且有很多四通八達的小路可以穿梭游走</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">……<span lang="ZH-HK">那麼把廢青們被趕進去之後</span></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,可以如何捉返出來</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">?</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW">況且舊區舊樓</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">很多根本沒有裝什麼天眼之類的設備呀。這和放虎歸山差不多了吧</span></span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">?</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">此奇景正好脗合廣州人一句名言:捉蟲</span>! (<span lang="ZH-TW">全句其實是「捉蟲入屎忽」</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">唔使解畫啦</span>) <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">廢青們如果向海傍方向走的話</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">最終就要背水而戰</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">並無後路</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">除非有船接應</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">否則是死路一條。不過假如向山上方走向的話</span>,
<span lang="ZH-TW">那又完全不同光景了。當年孫中山等人的秘密會社就是設在港大附近的舊區</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">現在大家明白國父的心思細密吧</span></span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">?</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">朝廷鷹犬要抓人實在不易嘛。還可以就近跑上港大這個「反清四大寇」的老巢:香港大學</span></span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">!</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">而山後的小徑</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">上可以通太平山</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">横可以向西直達摩星嶺、向東直達黃泥涌</span>…
<span lang="ZH-TW">還要是四處保育良好的山林野嶺</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">城中少見噢。 要抓人</span>? <span lang="ZH-TW">真是談何容易。</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">不過當然現在設備精良的香港警察要佈防設崗的話</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">也不是沒有可能。不過正如我先前的分析</span>(<span lang="ZH-TW">不信的話請隨便自己核對地圖</span>), <span lang="ZH-TW">要在中環所有路口設崗</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">實在是一件不可能任務嘛</span>! <span lang="ZH-TW">不信的話</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">即管找街坊來研究一下
</span>(<span lang="ZH-TW">而現在更加多了「社區導賞」這個營生玩意</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">相信總有「地胆」可以提供一下令人頭腦清醒過來的良言</span></span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">。由中環向西延伸</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">一直到堅尼地城</span></span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">全部都是百年舊區的横街小巷。而且又是老舊房屋</span></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">、</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">商住不分</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">, <span lang="ZH-HK">更又有各式雜貨商店和貨倉</span></span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">要搜也不可能呀。廢青們只要在轉角一躲,換掉身上的「裝備</span></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">」</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">白丁一名</span></span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">要搜又如何</span></span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">?</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">唔可以去港大溫書探同學、或者兼職討生活嗎</span></span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">?</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">路過都唔得</span></span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">?</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">拎住一本「舊城趣味遊</span></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">」唔通你告我遊蕩</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">?
<span lang="ZH-TW">各位自己執生啦。以前港大的私人宿舍例如《紫霞閣》之流</span>…. (<span lang="ZH-TW">唔好俾個名呃到你</span>,
<span lang="ZH-TW">實情係超級籠屋</span>!) <span lang="ZH-TW">假如還在舊區存在的話</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">求其開放出來做防空洞</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">警察又奈之如何</span>? <span lang="ZH-TW">私人地方唔俾開 </span>party <span lang="ZH-TW">乎</span></span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">?</span><span style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">至於警察們如果真的下了死決心、要把廢青們在中環</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">(</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">一直到堅尼地城</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">) </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">一網打盡</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">那麼佔中九子就要叩頭感激也來不及了</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">因為當年他們就是要堵塞中環這個國際金融和商業中心</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">來迫使政府就範談判嘛。只不過</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">由警察出手封鎖中環的話</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">….. </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">各位中環街坊冇仇報呀</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">! <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">試想像一下:在金鐘政總這些空曠地方放催淚彈</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">那當然只有廢青們受害啦。不過試試在國金中心放催淚彈吖</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">金管局多得你唔少呀</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">! </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">假如中環真係出事</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">咁我就要趁手買定期指做空軍沽神啦。香港金融中心地位</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">世界排名第三、市值排名第七</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">(</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">亞洲排第三</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">), </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">有什麼風吹草動</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">世界金融危機都有份。</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">上一次佔中</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">, </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">其實金融界早就有指示</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">安排好晒應變措施</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">包括在其他營運中心操作而不需要在中環上班之類的。可見政府不可能沒有想過這層風險吧</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">? <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">不過既然有想過</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">…</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">..</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">又真係搞乜鬼要趕班廢青入中環</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">?</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">耐人尋味噢</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">….<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">一係除非係咁</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">– </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">迫使廢青圍堵西環中聯辦</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">到時解放軍就順理成章可以出動</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">是否這個意思呀</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; line-height: 107%; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">唔明呀。</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<br />Alex Shiuhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02859312955376952283noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7745370028190999330.post-54340794381486417072019-06-01T19:22:00.000-07:002019-06-01T19:22:45.179-07:00續大東亞戰爭:從「文明衝突」看國際大勢的「大陸漂移」軌跡<br />
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">整場大東亞戰爭</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">其實都有一定的軌跡可尋。先前文章都提出「地殼變動」這個概念來分析國際大勢。今次從六四事件三十週年的某些現象</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">再來說明一下由此呈現的國際政治「大陸漂移」軌跡。</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">昨日在</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">F</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">B </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">提到</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">六四這件事</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">為什麼台灣今年特別熱鬧</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">隨即有很多回應</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">都說是我搞錯</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">台灣一直都有悼念活動云云。</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">首先要搞清楚</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">我不是說台灣從來不理六四</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">我是說「今年特別熱鬧」。而尤其是挑動到中共神經線</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">是謂「台獨組織也來悼念六四」</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">於是又來反問到底台灣人是不是中國人云云。這些就是我提及的「地殼變動過程之中不斷出現的地震海嘯」。</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">我的意見是:當年有人把六四定性為「中國人的愛國運動」</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">絕對是政治手段上極為高明的「弭敵之計」。因為要是中國人自家內部的事,外人不得干涉。這一招和國共內戰時期的手段是一模一樣的。比較韓戰</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">明明就是蘇聯撐腰打的代理人戰爭</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">不過南北韓既有聯合國分治決議在先</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">那麼就變成不是內戰、而是侵略戰爭。國共內戰和韓戰的結局是完全不一樣的。這個就是國際法之下</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">內戰與侵略的分別。</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">這一個觀點上的轉變</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">也不止是我看得出來</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">就是台灣本身的媒體</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">也能察覺得出來。例如台灣《經濟日報》的網上報導</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">也是用「從民族情懷轉向捍衛人權」來作標題。</span><span style="font-size: 8.0pt; line-height: 107%;"><a href="https://money.udn.com/money/story/5603/3800404">https://money.udn.com/money/story/5603/3800404</a><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">這個轉變</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">文章是這樣交代的,引述《華人民主書院》董事主席<u>曾建元</u>表示:</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2000</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">年首次政黨輪替後,本土意識抬頭,「大中國」國族認同感在台灣漸漸流失;但中共經濟實力也在這段時期崛起,過去聲援六四的統派人士漸漸朝北京當局靠攏,這一度使得「六四議題」在台灣乏人問津。</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">所謂「台獨也來搞六四」</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">說穿了</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">就是中共最怕的一件事:六四被認定為國際人權問題而不是中國的內政問題。這點正正就是「文明衝突」的論點。</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">其實全世界也是大概這個模樣。只是香港之前本來就沒有所謂「統獨」的路線問題</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">而竟然也在本土運動之後出現了。而也是由於統獨的路線問題</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">香港的悼念活動</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">史無前例地出現了「學聯退席」的情況。當時就開始挑出了這樣一個路線矛盾:到底六四是不是一場「愛國運動」</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">心水清的</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">應該還記得</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">《天安門母親》<u>丁子霖</u></span><u><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span></u><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">也被「擺了上枱」、甚至被支聯會的發言人揶揄為「斯德哥爾摩症候群</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">」之類的。時維</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2013</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">年</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">正正就是「佔領中環</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">」</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">前一年的敏感時刻。香港的統獨路線之爭</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">也是由那個時點逐漸被推上高潮。</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">因此六四的「定性</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">」</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">問題</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">絕對不是一宗小事</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">而是一宗國際大事。從這個角度去看</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">才能理解國際社會和輿論這幾十年來</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">, </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">到底是循什麼軌跡變化的。而剛好隨著各國三十年大限的</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">「解密」時間</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">六四這個問題</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">來一個「大變身」也又是正常得不得了的事情了。各種高清復修、現場錄像等等</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "PMingLiU",serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">你又真的以為純屬巧合乎</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">?</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p> </o:p></span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">更又非常巧合地</span>, <span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">美國正在找中美鬥爭的「意識形態</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">」支持點。隨即中美經濟衝突也逐漸被定性為「文明衝突」了。也又正好</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">六四的當事之一:王丹</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">也發表了同樣的言論</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">謂「中美不是文明的衝突,中美競爭代表的是中共對文明的挑戰」。</span><span style="font-size: 8pt; line-height: 107%;">(</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif; font-size: 8pt; line-height: 107%;">見《香港</span><span style="font-size: 8pt; line-height: 107%;">01</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif; font-size: 8pt; line-height: 107%;">》報導:【六四三十】王丹:六四</span><span style="font-size: 8pt; line-height: 107%;">30</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif; font-size: 8pt; line-height: 107%;">年,不應只有政治、還有文化思考</span><span style="font-size: 8pt; line-height: 107%;">, 2019</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif; font-size: 8pt; line-height: 107%;">年</span><span style="font-size: 8pt; line-height: 107%;">5</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif; font-size: 8pt; line-height: 107%;">月</span><span style="font-size: 8pt; line-height: 107%;">29</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif; font-size: 8pt; line-height: 107%;">日</span><span style="font-size: 8pt; line-height: 107%;">)</span></div>
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<span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p> </o:p></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">可見美國現在打的人權牌</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">背後的確是一套文明衝突論的背景。不過不再是什麼文明優劣論</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">那是十九世紀的事了</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">各位小學雞請記得溫書啦。美國現在講的文明衝突論</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">是建基於《人權宣言</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">》那一套呀。還不又是回歸到「普世價值</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">」</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">這件事嘛。</span></div>
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<span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p> </o:p></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">就即使退一萬步</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">假設是美國佬搞的小詭計</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">又應如何理解它的影響</span>?</div>
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<span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p> </o:p></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">侵侵的主要聽眾其實不是中共噢</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">因為反正中共就不會理你</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">中國是禁止翻牆的</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">講了也不會聽得到;而且中國全民向錢看</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">管你什麼人權不人權。不過這個定性</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">對歐美各地的親中勢力就大有影響了。這個才是重點嘛。須知各地的親中勢力</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">都以所謂「開明左傾」為光環的。如今侵侵打出人權牌</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">要各地左膠對中國的人權問題選邊站</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">左膠們可以怎麼辦</span>? <span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">而也又是剛剛好</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">德國接收了港獨份子做「人權難民」</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">正中親中左膠的死穴。</span></div>
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<span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p> </o:p></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">很明顯</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">侵侵開出的條件是:親中與人權二擇其一。同樣地</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">香港這邊的兩難是:愛國與人權二擇其一。地殼裂開了兩個板塊</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">你想站到那一邊</span>?</div>
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<span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p> </o:p></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">這種</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">板塊</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">崩裂的地震後果如何不得而知</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">不過香港最先要被震出歷史舞台的</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">應該是支聯會了:因為兩邊都不是人。這個推斷沒有什麼主觀感情成份</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">純粹從客觀科學分析的結論而已。</span></div>
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<span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p> </o:p></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">而又很明顯</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">香港的年青人反而是對這種國際大勢最為清醒和前瞻的</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">請各位真的不要再用廢青來形容了</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">。先前<u>練乙錚</u>先生被評為死硬派</span>, <span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">老是站在年青人那一邊</span>, <span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">看來他也沒有選錯邊</span>, <span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">這是從一個很簡單的生物學角度來理解的:物種的存活</span>, <span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">就是要看那一個選項的存活率要相對高一些。有些時候</span>, <span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">「主流</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">」</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">不一定是最安全的</span>, <span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">很久以前</span>, <span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">做一條恐龍才是主流呀。</span></div>
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<span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"><o:p> </o:p></span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">至於抱殘守缺的</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">支聯會將來如何定位</span>? <span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">要看他們自己的抉擇啦。起碼今年獲邀出席《奧斯陸人權論壇》的是何韻詩</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">而她的主題是「我們不是中國人</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: PMingLiU, serif;">」。奈何</span>?</div>
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<br />Alex Shiuhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02859312955376952283noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7745370028190999330.post-50610063926599243452019-05-19T20:33:00.002-07:002019-05-19T21:03:53.368-07:00大東亞戰爭下篇:文明衝突論的前身今生<br />
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">又見中共習大帝在海外演講的趣事。</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">正值中美貿易大戰正在開展之時</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">習大帝在《亞洲文明對話大會》上致詞</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">其中見他講到「文明本無衝突」</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">先是呆了一陣</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">繼而笑個人仰馬翻。</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">當年三寶太監下西洋</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">宣揚天朝德威的時候</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">對南蠻是什麼態度</span>? <span lang="ZH-TW">還不一樣是出動海軍陸戰隊</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">介入東亞各地的內戰</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">大封藩屬;還把「不服天威」的諸國首領生擒、押解回南京受降的嗎</span>? <span lang="ZH-TW">要是真的文明平等</span>,
<span lang="ZH-TW">就應該學習當年的天子會盟</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">而不是「賜人冠帶」吧</span>? <span lang="ZH-TW">這個「賜」字</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">又當作何解</span>? 撇不開中華上國的思維吧? <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif;">話說回來,上次提及日本人戰後寫出的《大東亞戰爭肯定論》</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif;">,</span> <span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif;">雖云是右翼極端</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">但分析沒錯</span></span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif;">:</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif;">當年所謂日本發動的太平洋戰爭</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">其實也只是東西文明衝突下的其中一場戰役而已。東亞所面對的「大東亞戰爭」</span>,
1945<span lang="ZH-TW">年的日本投降只是日本的終章</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">不是這場戰爭的終章。而背景正正就是由明朝開始</span>,
<span lang="ZH-TW">中國通過海軍力量</span>(<span lang="ZH-TW">繼而包括後來被滿清通過不平等貿易安排</span>),<span lang="ZH-TW">所建立的一場東亞國際秩序,被西方列強在十九世紀正式挑戰推翻所引發。</span></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">其實太平洋戰爭之後</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">還有極大規模的韓戰和越戰</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">中途還有大量的「反殖戰爭」</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">包括印尼的獨立戰爭</span>(1945-1949)<span lang="ZH-TW">等等。印尼獨立戰爭的特別地方</span></span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">是印尼的反日軍隊趁日本投降</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">不等盟軍回朝就自行宣佈獨立</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">搞得盟軍尷尬萬分</span></span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">結果「和平解放」變成前宗主國荷蘭對印尼土著的血腥鎮壓。同樣情況也出現在越南</span>,
<span lang="ZH-TW">由胡志明統領的越共部隊不等法國支持的政府恢復就在</span>1945<span lang="ZH-TW">年自行建政。越南分裂為共產的北越和依托英美法的南越。從此戰火就一直無法停止</span>,
<span lang="ZH-TW">尤其後來演變成「代理</span></span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">人戰爭</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">」</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">冷戰殺到</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">結果戰事一直打到 </span>1975<span lang="ZH-TW">年美國徹出為止。</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">韓戰同樣都是由獨立戰爭演變為代理人戰爭</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, 1950<span lang="ZH-TW">年由北朝鮮借蘇聯軍力向美國支持的南韓發動侵略而爆發。北朝鮮到今時今日仍未結束對峙。不過越南反而在</span>1995<span lang="ZH-TW">年後與「世仇</span></span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">」</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">美國進行「關係正常化</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">」</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">這種轉變才是值得細心留意。</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">我之所以用「地殼變動</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">」</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">來做分析就是這個原因嘛。東西雙方由對抗演變成合作</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">不是一朝一夕的事呀。這場東亞的</span></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">「戰爭與和平」</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">漫長演變可以從《東盟</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">》</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">ASEAN</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">的建構得到多一點啟示:東盟最初是由「恐共」的東南亞國家所發起</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">尤其在</span></span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">20</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">世紀</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">70</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">年代</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">, <span lang="ZH-HK">由美國推動的</span></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">「貿易自由」帶動。通過經濟誘因</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">促成大東亞的穩定作為對共產冷戰的抗衡。而尤其名顯的成績</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">是創造了</span></span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">「亞洲四小龍</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">」</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">的神話</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">讓東亞各國「作出明智選擇</span></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">」。而香港的所謂國際地位</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">其實也和這場大東亞戰爭密不可分。所謂有自由, 有經濟, 但可以沒有民主, 就是那個冷戰年代的產物啦。</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">當初東盟推出的時候</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">還有不少後遺症</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">包括西方國家被指支持各種軍事獨裁者</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">以反民主</span>(<span lang="ZH-TW">其實是反共</span></span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">)</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">的強權經濟作為重建社會的主導</span>; <span lang="ZH-TW">大家看看南韓、南越、菲律賓、馬來西亞、印尼等等國家</span>,
<span lang="ZH-TW">當時幾乎無一例外。</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">而亞洲的「民主化</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">」</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">浪潮之所以最終能到來</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">主要是因為民族主義者放棄了親共立場</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">到了</span>80<span lang="ZH-TW">年代後期才被美國為首的西方列強所接納。可見共黨份子在東南亞民族主義和獨立運動之中借力共產國際的外力來謀求去殖化</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">才是東亞各國的民主和現代化進程最大的障礙。</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">這場「經濟戰」的成果就明顯看得出</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">當年日本所推動的「大東亞共榮」其實沒有搞錯</span></span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">只是錯在日本以為需要通過武力來完成</span></span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">美國佬就用經濟來完成,可惜被迫按冷戰形勢而採取反民主手段被拖延。</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">最先改變這種形勢是菲律賓的民主運動
</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">(<span lang="ZH-TW">人民力量運動</span>. 1986), <span lang="ZH-TW">正式確定後來被稱為「顔色革命」樣版。其後隨著蘇聯解體、國際共產主義陣線瓦解</span>,<span lang="ZH-TW">越南</span>(1995)<span lang="ZH-TW">、老撾</span>/<span lang="ZH-TW">緬甸</span></span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">(</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">1997)</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">、柬埔寨</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">(1999) </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">等原本反美的陣營加入</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">東盟加上</span>A</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">PEC</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">(</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">亞太經合組織</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">)</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">以及後來的</span></span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">TPP (</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">跨太平洋夥伴協定</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">)</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">等等</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">都指向同一個走勢</span></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">:</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">就是「大東亞戰爭</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">」的軌跡其實和日本戰後的情況差不多</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">亦即通過放棄武力對抗</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">轉而尋求通過與西方國家的和平合作</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">來重新建構一種可以接受的國際秩序。</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">可見某些國家仍然抱著十九世紀的世界觀來看廿一世紀的情況</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">是多麼神奇的一件事</span>!<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">(<span lang="ZH-TW">未完</span></span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">待續</span>)<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<br />Alex Shiuhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02859312955376952283noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7745370028190999330.post-20682387386169827092019-05-17T22:13:00.003-07:002019-05-17T22:47:28.139-07:00中共和美國的貿易戰其實兩邊都打得太遲 (二)<br />
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif;">上文講到美國動手</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif;">其實先機已失</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif;">因為中共早已在總量上坐大</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif;">要推倒重來</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif;">談何容易</span>? <span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif;">因此我的比喻也只能講是「地殼變動」</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif;">到底要地殼漂移多久才會變成「合久必分</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif;">」</span>, <span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif;">有點長遠得望不見邊際。正如之前也講過:改革開放</span>, <span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif;">是以數十年計的</span>, <span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif;">反改革開放</span>, <span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif;">應該也會是差不多的速度。因此以地殼動來形容</span>, <span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif;">相對合理。</span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">今次講講</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">中共本身要動手和美國打貿易戰</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">其實也是太遲。美國總量其實沒大改變。嚴重改變了的</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">是兩國之間的經濟構成關系。首先可以來個「熱點探索</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">」</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">就看看「華為」的佈局問題。</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">華為基本上已經是「全球冠軍」這個一點不假。例如:</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">以無線基地台產品來說,華為拿下全球市占率近</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">3</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">成,已是全球銷售冠軍,在光纖網路</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">PON</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">產品部分,華為市占率</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">42%</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">,同樣也是市場第一;而手機產品則是</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2014</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">年之後急起直追,不僅生產</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">HUAWEI</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">品牌手機,也推出子品牌榮耀,兩款系列在全球拿下亮眼銷售成績,手機產品全球市占率也已來到第二。</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; font-size: 8.0pt; line-height: 107%;">《因應禁令 華為探詢核心供應鏈移轉中國生產意願》 </span><span style="font-size: 8.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><a href="https://udn.com/news/story/7240/3622784">https://udn.com/news/story/7240/3622784</a></span><span style="font-size: 8.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"><o:p> </o:p></span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif;">不過這個「外向型</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif;">」</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif;">的所謂全球冠軍</span>, <span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif;">仍有一個重要後腿被拖著</span>, <span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif;">那就是「零部份供應</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif;">」也同時是高度依賴國際市場的。連《文匯報》也絕不諱言這種情況</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif;">其中又以美國佔第二大供應來源最為矚目:</span></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjjIwxpcLJgLPNQLnsZg4ZU_6Js4gunU4SbZmX75OJKZwkXAOLrJhNtq-KC2C71BrcUDci5rFQZo4t5xvByZuEqHwCaDMQNOOncgENMd7MrSJWQ-HrrLsZZhNdEmXvURvO4O3vru-eQBWbZ/s1600/huawei+supply.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1585" data-original-width="600" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjjIwxpcLJgLPNQLnsZg4ZU_6Js4gunU4SbZmX75OJKZwkXAOLrJhNtq-KC2C71BrcUDci5rFQZo4t5xvByZuEqHwCaDMQNOOncgENMd7MrSJWQ-HrrLsZZhNdEmXvURvO4O3vru-eQBWbZ/s640/huawei+supply.jpg" width="241" /></a></div>
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<span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p> </o:p></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif;">《文匯》的觀點當然是從愛國說起啦</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif;">所指重點是:美國要和華為過不去</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif;">其實是和美國很多大企業過不去</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif;">云云。</span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">不過又是回到「內行看熱鬧」的方向:假如外國生產的東西都是昂貴而差勁的話</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">那麼華為又為什麼要全球採購</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">說穿了</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">其實還不是很簡單嗎</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">必需品嘛。</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">「供應」這個問題</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">斷不止於「銀碼」這麼簡單。大家只要細心看看「供應商</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">」名單</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">就會發現全部都是美國的重點科技企業,都能製造一些關鍵性的零部份</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">。沒有這些零部件</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">其實華為在國際市場上也惡不起來嘛。</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">中國不是沒有零部件</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">不過情況其實和百多年前的洋務運動差不多了:就是國貨質量差,用不了。</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">這個「突破盲腸」的情況</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">在去年</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">ZTE </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">中興通信的個案表露無遺了。美國一旦宣佈禁止供應芯片,中興要用「休克」來形容。</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">其實當時中國全國上下都已經亂作一團</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">因為這種高度互相依存的關係</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">的確是幾十年來的常態</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">; </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">美國佬忽然一反常態</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">不嚇到休克才又怪嘛。</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">而同時在中國「科技獵巫」的情況下</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">全國上下才又驚覺:中國其實談不上科技突破。例如先前的所謂「國產芯片」明星:漢芯</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">原來是買來美國的貨品</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">把人家的商標抹掉</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">改為中國商標。中國的加工增值</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">只是一個印刷絲網。</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">當然</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">這個也不算新聞</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">起碼都是十年前的事了。</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; font-size: 8pt; text-align: right;">百度《汉芯造假门》</span></div>
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<span style="font-size: 8.0pt; line-height: 107%;"><a href="https://baike.baidu.com/item/%E6%B1%89%E8%8A%AF%E9%80%A0%E5%81%87%E9%97%A8/12763190">https://baike.baidu.com/item/%E6%B1%89%E8%8A%AF%E9%80%A0%E5%81%87%E9%97%A8/12763190</a><span class="MsoHyperlink"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span class="MsoHyperlink"><span style="font-size: 8.0pt; line-height: 107%;"><o:p><span style="text-decoration: none;"> </span></o:p></span></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">不過中國的精密科技</span><span style="line-height: 107%;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">是否又有沒有填補到這個明顯的「安全隱患」呢</span><span style="line-height: 107%;">?
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">很明顯沒有嘛。看看</span><span style="line-height: 107%;">2018</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">年的中興就知道了。要是都能用中國芯片</span><span style="line-height: 107%;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">犯不著要依賴美國進口嘛。如此看來</span><span style="line-height: 107%;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">中國的技術突破</span><span style="line-height: 107%;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">十多年來</span><span style="line-height: 107%;">,</span><span style="line-height: 107%;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">除了「造假</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">」</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">的水平有所提高之外</span><span style="line-height: 107%;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">其他都談不上。</span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">至於糧食供應鏈的依賴程度</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">大豆也好、玉米也好</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">媒體都不停地講了</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">不需要多費唇舌。我在多年前已分析過中國的「糧食安全問題」</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">大家有時間也可以翻翻看。</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">今次重點看看所謂「太遲」是什麼意思吧:就是中國的經濟結構</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">其實已經到達一個「量變到質變」的臨界點</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">而早前中共的處理方式</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">正如江澤民的做法</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">就是「讓資本家入黨」的《三個代表》論。時間正值</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2002</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">年中國加入世貿之後。中國的所謂「盛世」其實正正就是江澤民治下那前後二十多年。</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p> </o:p></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">而實在以中共的角度看</span><span style="line-height: 107%;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">這種「本質轉變」是極其危險的。因為共產黨人仍然想信「結構論</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">」</span><span style="line-height: 107%;">,</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">就是下層經濟形態、會決定上層政治形態。因此資本家和共產黨是水火不容的情況下</span><span style="line-height: 107%;">,</span><span style="line-height: 107%;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">讓資本家入黨</span><span style="line-height: 107%;">,</span><span style="line-height: 107%;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">那麼中共早晚會被異化為資本主義。</span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">而這種趨勢</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">在江澤民年代</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">(</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">包括他做太上皇的所謂「胡溫</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">」年代</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">)</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">的確無可否認。用中國</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2015</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">年的統計數據看</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">「民營」的</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">GDP </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">已穩佔中國整體</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">GDP</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">的一半以上。而其中「先進省份」甚至達到</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">70%</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">。而民營企業的「稅金</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">」</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">亦已佔中國政府一半的份額。這個算是「臨界點」了吧</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">而民營企業在「就業」方面就更為明顯</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">佔了中國就業人口幾乎</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">80%!
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">而且是一路增加比重</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">沒有停止的蹟象。</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; font-size: 8.0pt; line-height: 107%;">《中国商界》網上雜誌</span><span style="font-size: 8.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU;">, 2017</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; font-size: 8.0pt; line-height: 107%;">年</span><span style="font-size: 8.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU;">5</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; font-size: 8.0pt; line-height: 107%;">月</span><span style="font-size: 8.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU;">5</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; font-size: 8.0pt; line-height: 107%;">日《中国民营企业发展研究报告》</span><span style="font-size: 8.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: 8.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><a href="http://www.sohu.com/a/138350183_481016">http://www.sohu.com/a/138350183_481016</a><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p> </o:p></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">當然</span><span style="line-height: 107%;">,</span><span style="line-height: 107%;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">中共還有其他</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">說法的。例如:國企佔了全國</span><span style="line-height: 107%;">20%</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">的就業人口</span><span style="line-height: 107%;">,</span><span style="line-height: 107%;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">稅金貢獻反而接近一半</span><span style="line-height: 107%;">,</span><span style="line-height: 107%;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">以「人均</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">」計算</span><span style="line-height: 107%;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">國企才是國家支柱云云。</span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">噢</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">是這樣嗎</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">那只不過是因為國企都霸佔著國家主要經濟命脈和資源</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">私營企業根本無法正常競爭嘛。一些壟斷性經營的企業</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">佔去了國計民生的大部份收益</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">所謂交稅也者</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">只算是左手交右手</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, 取之於民用之於民, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">算不上什麼增值才對</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">! <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">再貼地一點</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">用日常生活的角度去感受一下</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">中國的社會進步</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">有多少是靠民企、有多少是靠國企</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">金融科技、通信科技、人工智能、電子商貿</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">…..
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">幾乎所有社會應用的突破</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">都由民企促成</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">!</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">因此江澤民有一點在《三個代表》理論中沒有講錯</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">就是到底誰人才是「先進生產力的代表」。假如中共鬥不過資本家</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">那怎辦</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">江澤民的解決方法是:資本家入黨</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">那麼中共就是先進生產力的代表。</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">明白未</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">?</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">中共的所謂「亡黨危機」</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">也包括了共產黨有機會被和平演變成為資本家的政黨</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">!<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">但比較少人留意的是</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">中共在面對無堅不摧的「民族資本家」的同時</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">其實在基層政府管理方面</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">也早已失去管理能力了。正如我先寫的一篇《天津大爆炸》,也引述了國內的統計</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">說明</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">在例如天津新區一類的新城市</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">其實絕大部份的「公共服務」都必須要外聘非政府人員來擔當。</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; font-size: 8.0pt; line-height: 107%;">《天津大爆炸:中國爆煲論未有留意的微觀分析》</span><span style="font-size: 8.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2015</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; font-size: 8.0pt; line-height: 107%;">年</span><span style="font-size: 8.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">8</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; font-size: 8.0pt; line-height: 107%;">月</span><span style="font-size: 8.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">18</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; font-size: 8.0pt; line-height: 107%;">日</span><span style="font-size: 8.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: 8.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><a href="https://alexstshiu.blogspot.com/2015/08/blog-post_18.html">https://alexstshiu.blogspot.com/2015/08/blog-post_18.html</a><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p> </o:p></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">從以上的宏觀分析可以看得出</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">:美國佬幾十年來促進中國的改革開放</span><span style="line-height: 107%;">,</span><span style="line-height: 107%;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">其實非常成功。而中國的經濟結構</span><span style="line-height: 107%;">,</span><span style="line-height: 107%;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">的確已出現翻天覆地的變化。不止是總量問題</span><span style="line-height: 107%;">,</span><span style="line-height: 107%;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">也包括:國家財富的創造和維護、創新能力的培育和促進、就業人口的生存保障、以至地方政府的日常功能維護和支持。</span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">講到底:到底中國還是不是共產黨的黨產</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? 到底是中國不可以沒有共產黨還是共產黨不能沒有中國? </span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">明白了這一點</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">才能明白習大帝日夜呢喃的夢魘「蘇聯解體</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">」</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">為何會和現今政局扯上了關係:也可以看看當年留歐洲的第一手記錄啦。</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">蘇聯解體</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">基本上不是外力促成</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">, </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">而是蘇共的自己人集體跳船</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">! </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">而習大帝上台的一番訓示</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">就是要警愓蘇聯式解體。</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; font-size: 8.0pt; line-height: 107%;">《蘇聯解體</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-size: 8.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; font-size: 8.0pt; line-height: 107%;">–</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-size: 8.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> </span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; font-size: 8.0pt; line-height: 107%;">蘇共的集體跳船自救》</span><span style="font-size: 8.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2013</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; font-size: 8.0pt; line-height: 107%;">年</span><span style="font-size: 8.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; font-size: 8.0pt; line-height: 107%;">月</span><span style="font-size: 8.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">4</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; font-size: 8.0pt; line-height: 107%;">日</span><span style="font-size: 8.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: 8.0pt; line-height: 107%; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><a href="https://alexstshiu.blogspot.com/2013/02/blog-post_4.html">https://alexstshiu.blogspot.com/2013/02/blog-post_4.html</a><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">先不用想得太複雜</span><span style="line-height: 107%;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">習大帝</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">之所以勵行清黨</span><span style="line-height: 107%;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">大打貪腐、還要拼命的把民營經濟納入中共的框架</span><span style="line-height: 107%;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">所謂「國進民退」就是很形象化地陳述了情況。這是一場命懸一線的生存爭扎噢。</span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">其實習大帝的方向</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">也正是數十年來對改革開放的「重大調整」</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,
</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">要把中共裡面有可能跳船的人一網打盡。否則在「適當時機」</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">說不定來一個集體跳船</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">只消一紙號令</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">中共也和蘇共一樣湮消雲散。</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">不過現在的中國</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">早已不是老毛的中國</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">…. </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">習大帝是否能重用老毛的治國技俩、扭轉一個中共早已管束不住的中國社會呢</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; line-height: 107%;">還得拭目以待了。</span><span style="line-height: 107%; mso-bidi-font-size: 14.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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Alex Shiuhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02859312955376952283noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7745370028190999330.post-42113309254489601232019-05-16T02:50:00.003-07:002019-05-16T02:57:20.768-07:00中共和美國其實兩邊都打得太遲 (一)<br />
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif;">有關中美貿易戰</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">以上這個看法有點古怪;不過綜觀各方資料</span>,</span> <span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif;">其實這個古怪的組合才是最正確的講法。</span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">首先是五毛自 </span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">High <span lang="ZH-TW">的看法:就是美國出手打得太遲。</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">理由是中國羽翼已豐</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">美國要再像泡製其他第三世界國家一樣來泡製中國</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">不大可能。從某程度來看</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">不能說這個講法有錯。</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">首先中國在經濟總量上已經超越多個主要國家</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">全球排第二、僅在美國之後。而且已經遠遠拋離日本和德國</span> (GDP<span lang="ZH-TW">接近三倍</span>)<span lang="ZH-TW">。而且它的儲備構成主要是美元</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">總共超過三萬億</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">是全球第一。總量是日本的兩倍多、接近三倍</span>; <span lang="ZH-TW">比起傳統富了幾百年的瑞士接近四倍</span>;
<span lang="ZH-TW">比起油王沙地阿拉伯更加接近六倍</span>…<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">因此從總量的角度來看</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">中國的確是一個很難對付的東西。</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">因此我說中美貿易戰是長期鬥爭</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">這是其中一個主要原因。反正中共一向不用關心人民死活</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">正所謂吃草也可以</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">這點不算太錯。須記得當年曹操赤壁戰敗</span></span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">是如何活下命來的:就是找一班做替死鬼的老弱殘兵來「人肉填氹」。當今中國有十多億人</span>,
<span lang="ZH-TW">即使死了一大半</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">看來中共也不會貶一下眼。當年老毛活生生餓死過千萬人又如何</span>?
<span lang="ZH-TW">看來習大大不會比老毛心軟吧</span></span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">?</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">另一個角度看這個問題</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">就是中美之間經幾十年的交流交易</span></span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">早就緊密地形成一種所謂「中美利益共同體」</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">而這點也是侵侵大發雷霆</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">謂美國商人不夠愛國的講法。</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">侵侵參選的時候</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">其中一個口號正正也是 </span>made in America…. <span lang="ZH-TW">實在美國的投資跑到那裡去了</span>?
<span lang="ZH-TW">還不正正就是中國嘛。中美利益共同體實在是中美「商界</span></span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">」</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">利益共同體會再準確一些。就是美國許多商品、甚至機械和科技產品</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">實際上都還是美國的商家在賺錢</span></span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">只不過是把生產線移到中國而已。</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">先前一個支持這種中美利益共同體的講法是:美國設計、中國製造、全球銷售。看看蘋果手機</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">正正就是這種安排。而那個講法是:中國從這種「價值鏈」裡面得益其實不多</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">因為主要利潤都跑到「知識產權擁有人」那裡</span>,
<span lang="ZH-TW">一百塊錢的手機</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">中國的代工企業可能只賺了三塊錢。大約是這樣吧。</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">不過這個講法也有很嚴重的漏洞:就是這條「價值鏈」實在拉得很長</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">而隨著時間的推進</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">越來越多的部份都落到了中國的口袋裡面。</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">之前我也有參與過本田汽車移植到中國的項目</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">當年其中一個主要談判重點</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">就是「國產化比例</span></span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">」的「時間表</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">」</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">問題。一輛汽車其實涉及數以千計的零部件</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">當中有關鍵性的成份、也有無甚所謂的成份</span></span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">但全部都得符合生產設計的標準要求。引進汽車項目之所以對中國很重要</span></span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">不是在於汽車最終銷售的利潤</span></span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">而是在於一旦生產線落地生根</span></span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">將會同時帶動上中下游的零部份生產、以及與之相輔相成的服務和人力發展。對於整體工業增值和人力增值</span></span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">都是非常舉足輕重的動作。當年日本就是這樣發家的</span></span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">難道中共又會學不來嗎</span></span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">?</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">因此在這種中美利益共同體發展了數十年之後</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">中國的生產能力</span></span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">也又不是當年的落後國家了。這種生產力</span></span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">更加肯定不是當年蘇聯解體時的水平。因此中國的所謂</span></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">「中國製造</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2025<span lang="ZH-TW">」之所以令到侵侵大為光火</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">其實就正正指出了</span></span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">再過十年不到</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">中國的生產力隨時會超越美國。這一點又絕對不是危言聳聽</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">美國出盡全力打擊這一點</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">不是無中生有的。</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">因此從這個「養虎為患」的角度來看</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">美國佬實在打得太遲。而即時由現在開始併命打</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">也不一定能肯定什麼時候可以打得完。這個也是我先前所講「地殼變動」的概念。兩邊總量都大</span></span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">要硬踫的話</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">難道只是一兩場地震海嘯就會完事嗎</span>? <span lang="ZH-TW">這是一個趨勢的問題</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">鐵定是一場曠日持久的戰事。</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">至於對中國來說</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">同樣也可以說是打得太遲</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">對於習大大所憂心忡忡的「蘇聯式解體」</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">其實威脅依然存在</span></span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">而且在中美合作的幾十年裡面日趨嚴峻</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">這點也又不是五毛們願意承認的事情。</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">先賣個關子</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">等今天忙完再寫。</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<br />Alex Shiuhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02859312955376952283noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7745370028190999330.post-64738745465228981922019-05-11T18:07:00.002-07:002019-10-22T18:51:30.215-07:00香港修訂《逃犯條例》要打擊的是「法理台獨」呀各位!<br />
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11pt;">為什麼香港特區政府對著在台灣發生的一宗殺人案</span><span style="font-size: 11pt;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11pt;">表現得萬分狼狽、章法大亂,而且心急如焚</span><span style="font-size: 11pt;">?</span><span style="font-size: 11pt;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11pt;">即使冒著和美國鬧翻自由貿易關係也在所不惜、大有玉石俱焚的勢態</span><span style="font-size: 11pt;">?</span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">外行看熱鬧</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">內行看門路嘛。只要不是朝著錯的方向去看</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">答案其實可以簡單得很。</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">首先要留意一下事件的來去脈</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">不要人云亦云。到底「司法互助」是什麼一回事</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">先看看書:《國際司法互助法規與裁判要旨彙編》</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">(</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">台灣法學出版</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, 2014/6/30)<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">當中有如此說明:</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">國際司法互助學說上有廣義與狹義之分,廣義之司法互助一般乃是依據</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">1990</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">年聯合國一系列之國際刑事司法合作模範公約進行定性,範圍可涵蓋引渡、狹義之司法互助、判決以及執行之承認、跨國移交受刑人以及刑事訴訟移管等。</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">……</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">截至</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2014</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">年</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">5</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">月台灣已經用《中華民國》名義</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">與</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">10</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">個國家締結引渡條約,與美國、越南以及菲律賓簽署有司法互助協定。</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">要注意的是:</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2009</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">年台灣經已和中國大陸簽署有兩岸共同打擊犯罪及司法互助協議</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">! </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">因此台灣當局是按照</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2009</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">的兩岸協議來和香港談司法互助的。</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">但按傳媒引述:為了釐清案情,台方分別於去年</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">(2018</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">年</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">) 3</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">月、</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">5</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">月及</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">12</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">月,三次提出司法互助請求,去年</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">(2018</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">年</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">) 11</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">月亦提出雙方會面,港方不僅未回應台方正式司法互助請求,亦拒絕會商。</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: 8.0pt;"><a href="https://hk.news.yahoo.com/%E5%8F%B0%E6%96%B9%E4%B8%89%E6%8F%90%E5%8F%B0%E6%B8%AF%E5%8F%B8%E6%B3%95%E4%BA%92%E5%8A%A9%E8%AB%8B%E6%B1%82%E7%84%A1%E5%9B%9E%E6%87%89-%E9%99%B8%E5%A7%94%E6%9C%83%E7%B1%B2%E9%A6%99%E6%B8%AF%E7%B0%BD%E7%BD%B2-122203740.html">https://hk.news.yahoo.com/%E5%8F%B0%E6%96%B9%E4%B8%89%E6%8F%90%E5%8F%B0%E6%B8%AF%E5%8F%B8%E6%B3%95%E4%BA%92%E5%8A%A9%E8%AB%8B%E6%B1%82%E7%84%A1%E5%9B%9E%E6%87%89-%E9%99%B8%E5%A7%94%E6%9C%83%E7%B1%B2%E9%A6%99%E6%B8%AF%E7%B0%BD%E7%BD%B2-122203740.html</a><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">到底又是什麼一回事</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">看看台灣那邊對香港修訂《逃犯條例》的反應就水落石出了</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">《逃犯條例》和《刑事事宜相互法律協助條例》列明條例不適用於「中華人民共和國的任何其他部分」,進而不能從香港引渡疑犯到台灣受審。可見香港的所謂「修補漏洞」不是指「中國大陸」的中國</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">而是按「台灣也是中國的一部份」來理解「中國」</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">! </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">而的確修訂文字寫得很清楚</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">就是「「中華人民共和國的任何其他部分除外」的字眼刪去,</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">…</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">」</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">而台灣的回應就很簡單:台灣陸委會港澳蒙藏處專門委員黃廷輝今天(2019年2月21日)召開記者會,表明「政府不會接受任何以消滅國家主權為目的的作為」</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 8.0pt;">《陸委會委員</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-size: 8.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 8.0pt;">:不接受以消滅國家主權為目的作為》</span><span style="font-size: 8.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2019-02-21 <a href="https://www.hk01.com/%E6%94%BF%E6%83%85/298015/%E4%BF%AE%E4%BE%8B%E7%A7%BB%E4%BA%A4%E9%80%83%E7%8A%AF-%E9%99%B8%E5%A7%94%E6%9C%83%E5%A7%94%E5%93%A1-%E4%B8%8D%E6%8E%A5%E5%8F%97%E4%BB%A5%E6%B6%88%E6%BB%85%E5%9C%8B%E5%AE%B6%E4%B8%BB%E6%AC%8A%E7%82%BA%E7%9B%AE%E7%9A%84%E4%BD%9C%E7%82%BA">https://www.hk01.com/%E6%94%BF%E6%83%85/298015/%E4%BF%AE%E4%BE%8B%E7%A7%BB%E4%BA%A4%E9%80%83%E7%8A%AF-%E9%99%B8%E5%A7%94%E6%9C%83%E5%A7%94%E5%93%A1-%E4%B8%8D%E6%8E%A5%E5%8F%97%E4%BB%A5%E6%B6%88%E6%BB%85%E5%9C%8B%E5%AE%B6%E4%B8%BB%E6%AC%8A%E7%82%BA%E7%9B%AE%E7%9A%84%E4%BD%9C%E7%82%BA</a><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">而台灣方面亦指出:根據</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">[</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">香港保安局局長</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">] </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">李家超和港府引用《釋義及通則條例》</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">(</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">第</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">1</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">章</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">)</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">第三條之條文訂明,「中華人民共和國包括『台灣、香港特別行政區及澳門』。」因此才指「過往引渡安排不適用於台灣。」</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: 8.0pt;"><a href="https://www.hk01.com/%E6%94%BF%E6%83%85/298015/%E4%BF%AE%E4%BE%8B%E7%A7%BB%E4%BA%A4%E9%80%83%E7%8A%AF-%E9%99%B8%E5%A7%94%E6%9C%83%E5%A7%94%E5%93%A1-%E4%B8%8D%E6%8E%A5%E5%8F%97%E4%BB%A5%E6%B6%88%E6%BB%85%E5%9C%8B%E5%AE%B6%E4%B8%BB%E6%AC%8A%E7%82%BA%E7%9B%AE%E7%9A%84%E4%BD%9C%E7%82%BA">https://www.hk01.com/%E6%94%BF%E6%83%85/298015/%E4%BF%AE%E4%BE%8B%E7%A7%BB%E4%BA%A4%E9%80%83%E7%8A%AF-%E9%99%B8%E5%A7%94%E6%9C%83%E5%A7%94%E5%93%A1-%E4%B8%8D%E6%8E%A5%E5%8F%97%E4%BB%A5%E6%B6%88%E6%BB%85%E5%9C%8B%E5%AE%B6%E4%B8%BB%E6%AC%8A%E7%82%BA%E7%9B%AE%E7%9A%84%E4%BD%9C%E7%82%BA</a><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">台灣陸委會發言人邱垂正重申,不會接受港方以一個中國原則與台灣交涉,</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">….. </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">希望能以平等、尊嚴、互惠的前提,與港方進行實質司法互助合作。</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">….</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">促請港府應務實、積極回應台方之前</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">3</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">次提出的司法互助請求,以妥善解決案件。</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: 8.0pt;"><a href="https://thestandnews.com/politics/%E9%80%83%E7%8A%AF%E6%A2%9D%E4%BE%8B-%E5%8F%B0%E7%81%A3%E9%99%B8%E5%A7%94%E6%9C%83-%E6%8B%92%E6%8E%A5%E5%8F%97%E9%A6%99%E6%B8%AF%E4%BB%A5-%E4%B8%80%E5%80%8B%E4%B8%AD%E5%9C%8B-%E5%8E%9F%E5%89%87%E4%BA%A4%E6%B6%89-%E4%BF%AE%E6%B3%95%E6%81%90%E5%8D%B1%E5%8F%8A%E5%9C%A8%E6%B8%AF%E5%8F%B0%E4%BA%BA/">https://thestandnews.com/politics/%E9%80%83%E7%8A%AF%E6%A2%9D%E4%BE%8B-%E5%8F%B0%E7%81%A3%E9%99%B8%E5%A7%94%E6%9C%83-%E6%8B%92%E6%8E%A5%E5%8F%97%E9%A6%99%E6%B8%AF%E4%BB%A5-%E4%B8%80%E5%80%8B%E4%B8%AD%E5%9C%8B-%E5%8E%9F%E5%89%87%E4%BA%A4%E6%B6%89-%E4%BF%AE%E6%B3%95%E6%81%90%E5%8D%B1%E5%8F%8A%E5%9C%A8%E6%B8%AF%E5%8F%B0%E4%BA%BA/</a><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">為了釐清案情,台方分別於去年</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">3</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">月、</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">5</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">月及</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">12</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">月,三次提出司法互助請求,去年</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">(2018</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">年</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">) 11</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">月亦提出雙方會面,港方不僅未回應台方正式司法互助請求,亦拒絕會商。</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">……</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">對於疑兇未能及時受審和法律制裁,陸委會深表遺憾,<span style="color: red;">呼籲香港積極考慮簽署台港司法互助協議</span>,妥善解決個案,並建立長期、制度化的合作機制,從根本解決問題。</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: xx-small;"><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti";">《台方三提台港司法互助請求無回應</span><span lang="ZH-TW"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti";">陸委會籲香港簽署》</span><span lang="ZH-TW"> </span>2019<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti";">年</span>4<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti";">月</span>12<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti";">日</span></span><span style="font-size: 8.0pt;"><a href="https://hk.news.yahoo.com/%E5%8F%B0%E6%96%B9%E4%B8%89%E6%8F%90%E5%8F%B0%E6%B8%AF%E5%8F%B8%E6%B3%95%E4%BA%92%E5%8A%A9%E8%AB%8B%E6%B1%82%E7%84%A1%E5%9B%9E%E6%87%89-%E9%99%B8%E5%A7%94%E6%9C%83%E7%B1%B2%E9%A6%99%E6%B8%AF%E7%B0%BD%E7%BD%B2-122203740.html"><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">https://hk.news.yahoo.com/%E5%8F%B0%E6%96%B9%E4%B8%89%E6%8F%90%E5%8F%B0%E6%B8%AF%E5%8F%B8%E6%B3%95%E4%BA%92%E5%8A%A9%E8%AB%8B%E6%B1%82%E7%84%A1%E5%9B%9E%E6%87%89-%E9%99%B8%E5%A7%94%E6%9C%83%E7%B1%B2%E9%A6%99%E6%B8%AF%E7%B0%BD%E7%BD%B2-122203740.html</span></a></span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">但台灣早於</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2018</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">年已經自行「堵塞漏洞」不讓習大</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">帝對台搞變相的「法理統一</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">」</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">; </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">但反過來看</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">台灣那邊實際上是通過自行修訂法律</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">將中國</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">(</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">包括港澳等地區</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">), </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">歸類為「他國」</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">! </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">實際上是在搞「法理台獨」嘛</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">!<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">按傳媒引述:為加強國際司法互助,台灣立法院(</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2018</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">年</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">4</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">月</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">10</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">日)三讀通過《國際刑事司法互助法》,並將中國大陸、港澳地區納入刑事司法互助範圍,明確訂定台灣與國際間的司法互助事項。</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">未來台灣要向「他國」尋求司法互助,須透過法務部向外交部申請,外交部再向目標國家提出要求,反之亦然。此外,本法亦不包括引渡及跨國移交受刑人事項,另假如他國若未依平等互惠原則提供台灣必要幫助,台灣有權拒絕協助。<span style="color: red;">三讀條文也將台灣與中國大陸、港澳間刑法互助請求納入規範</span>,未來除「兩岸共同打擊犯罪及司法互助協議」外的刑事司法互助請求,將準用本法規定。</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 11.0pt;">對於早前發生的香港少女潘曉穎在台遇害一案,台灣法務部長次長陳明堂表示,現在雖然沒有法律,但還是有進行互助。</span><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "kaiti"; font-size: 8.0pt;">台《國際刑事司法互助法》將港納互助範圍</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-size: 8.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span><span style="font-size: 8.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2018-04-11 <a href="https://www.hk01.com/%E5%8F%B0%E7%81%A3%E6%96%B0%E8%81%9E/176959/%E5%8F%B0-%E5%9C%8B%E9%9A%9B%E5%88%91%E4%BA%8B%E5%8F%B8%E6%B3%95%E4%BA%92%E5%8A%A9%E6%B3%95-%E5%B0%87%E6%B8%AF%E7%B4%8D%E4%BA%92%E5%8A%A9%E7%AF%84%E5%9C%8D-%E6%B8%AF%E7%94%B7%E6%8B%96%E7%AF%8B%E6%A3%84%E5%B1%8D%E6%A1%88%E7%8F%BE%E8%BD%89%E6%A9%9F">https://www.hk01.com/%E5%8F%B0%E7%81%A3%E6%96%B0%E8%81%9E/176959/%E5%8F%B0-%E5%9C%8B%E9%9A%9B%E5%88%91%E4%BA%8B%E5%8F%B8%E6%B3%95%E4%BA%92%E5%8A%A9%E6%B3%95-%E5%B0%87%E6%B8%AF%E7%B4%8D%E4%BA%92%E5%8A%A9%E7%AF%84%E5%9C%8D-%E6%B8%AF%E7%94%B7%E6%8B%96%E7%AF%8B%E6%A3%84%E5%B1%8D%E6%A1%88%E7%8F%BE%E8%BD%89%E6%A9%9F</a><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<br />Alex Shiuhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02859312955376952283noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7745370028190999330.post-34303628661738223622019-05-10T21:12:00.002-07:002019-05-10T21:29:04.493-07:00中美貿易:對美國影響真的不大<br />
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif;">經常有言論認為</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">要是中國和美國發生貿易戰</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">美國受害會很深</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">而美國的消費者</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">會用選票懲罰美國總統</span>…. <span lang="ZH-TW">諸如此類啦。</span></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">不過有關判斷</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">還是先看看統計數據會客觀一點。而實情是:美國受的影響真的不大。</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">先看看美國本身作為一個貿易永遠也很難平衡的國家吧。</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg_bujaQzOB2RTrNMixxcXBSSw_6OSq4SpDNuLWxZin8Q0liYWIoN05dr1jamtb0gX8cVKZbJCTjUBj7bdfh8IYbsxDAlh3A4slNId_8qMhsPbFVShV7D034S2-VwUlHxUvUKAJaXQtzaxi/s1600/us+trade.webp" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="679" data-original-width="950" height="285" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg_bujaQzOB2RTrNMixxcXBSSw_6OSq4SpDNuLWxZin8Q0liYWIoN05dr1jamtb0gX8cVKZbJCTjUBj7bdfh8IYbsxDAlh3A4slNId_8qMhsPbFVShV7D034S2-VwUlHxUvUKAJaXQtzaxi/s400/us+trade.webp" width="400" /></a></div>
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<span style="font-size: 8.0pt;"><a href="https://www.thebalance.com/u-s-imports-and-exports-components-and-statistics-3306270">https://www.thebalance.com/u-s-imports-and-exports-components-and-statistics-3306270</a><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2019<span lang="ZH-TW">年的數字大致如上了</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">在每一個主要進出口統計範籌</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">幾乎都是入比出為大</span></span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">可見美國很難改變整體的貿易赤字問題。</span></span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">美國消費者肯定主要靠外國進口消費品的了</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">這個沒有什麼神秘。不過講到中國貨品加價會令美國消費者受害這一</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">點</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">開玩笑吧</span>?<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">因為根據世界銀行的全球貿易統計</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">實在美國從中國進口的「消費品</span></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">」</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">總值是</span>2,300<span lang="ZH-TW">億元左右。大約佔美國全球進口的</span>35%<span lang="ZH-TW">。算到最盡 </span>40%<span lang="ZH-TW">好了吧</span></span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">?</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">也別忘了日本和歐洲對美國出口汽車仍是最大宗的貿易項目啊。</span></span><a href="https://wits.worldbank.org/CountryProfile/en/Country/USA/Year/2017/TradeFlow/EXPIMP/Partner/CHN/Product/all-groups" style="font-size: 8pt;">https://wits.worldbank.org/CountryProfile/en/Country/USA/Year/2017/TradeFlow/EXPIMP/Partner/CHN/Product/all-groups</a></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif;">況且消費品在經濟學上</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif;">,</span> <span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif;">還有另一層考慮才能斷定它的影響有多大</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif;">,</span> <span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif;">那就是「價格彈力」的問題</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif;">,</span> <span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif;">亦即:價格變化對購買意欲的關係。</span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">有些東西是和價格關係不大的</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">那些都是「無可替代</span></span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">」的東西。一來是有所謂「千金難買心頭好</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">」</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">總之就是不買不可</span>; <span lang="ZH-TW">看看電影票房數字就明白了</span></span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">為何同是科幻片</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">美國片總是大排長龍</span>? <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">另一種也是無可替代</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">不是你喜不喜歡的問題</span></span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">而是非用不可。例如糧油衣履之類。所謂開門七件事:柴米油鹽醬醋茶。誰都跑不掉要應付的。</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">不過所謂「民生必需」還要考慮是「那一家的供應</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">?</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">」才成。因為你賣的是波鞋</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">隔籬一家店賣的也是波鞋。要是你家賣得比人家貴</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">那麼以民生角度來看</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">當然是幫趁另一家啦。除非你家賣的東西是獨市貨品</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">否則的話</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">顧客貨比三家</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">自由挑選才又是王道了。</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">因此當中國出口到美國的「衫褲鞋襪」之所謂價廉物美</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">要是加上了進口關稅</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">是否還是價廉物美呢</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">還得要和其他國家的供應商比較嘛。因此早年傳出中美貿易有矛盾的時候</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">大量廠商已經準備好將生產線從中國「移民」到其他國家去</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">例如越南、印尼、印度、南美等等地方。正所謂商人無祖國</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">很明白的吧</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">?</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">誰會等到開槍才去跑的</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">起碼李嘉誠就不會等了。</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">這些消費品其實全世界也可以製造</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">也不到中國獨市生意。因此在面對一個消費者有權選擇的市場</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">供應商唯一能做的</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">就是自己調整售價而已。倒過頭來</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">供應商的成本必然被壓縮</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">連帶影響</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">就是「通縮」。這是經濟價值鏈的簡單定律。麵包跌價了</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">麵粉還能撐得住嗎</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? 中國受得起通縮嗎? <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">好了</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">反過來看看:中國是否很依賴美國的進口呢</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">? </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">表面上看來也不是。因為反正美國貨品成本貴</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">中國未必會買、而且中國也不是靠美國進口為主</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">(</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">最少在銀碼上不是</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">)</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">。不過好玩的地方就在一些「不得不買」的東西:例如大豆和玉米等等</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">看起來超級不起眼的東西。不過我早就詳細分析過</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">這些看起來不起眼的東西實在有多要命。而專就「食物鏈」的分析更早在</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">2015</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">年已寫好。當時侵侵還未當總統</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">起碼通敵賣國之類的罪名算不到我頭上來。不過任何人拿著我的分析</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">按本子辦事的話</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">都足夠將中國拆散</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, </span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">大家不妨看看我去年大約這個時候寫的總結了。</span><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; font-size: 8.0pt;">《中共想打貿易戰爭</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; font-size: 8.0pt;">? <span lang="ZH-TW">咁等住解體囉》 </span></span><span style="font-size: 8.0pt;"><a href="https://alexstshiu.blogspot.com/2018/04/blog-post.html"><span style="mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">https://alexstshiu.blogspot.com/2018/04/blog-post.html</span></a></span><span style="font-size: 8.0pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">中國對美國進口貨品</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">用國內的術語來說</span></span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">是「剛性需求</span></span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">」</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">根本減不了。而其他國家也生產不了那麼多來改為供應給中國。可以怎麼辦</span></span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">?</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">於是乎「吃草</span></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">」這類鬼拍後尾枕的說話就爆出來了。</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">是呀</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">中國可以選擇吃草。不過以「蛋白質和澱粉質」兩大食物金字塔的基座來看</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">草可以佔了多大比例</span></span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">?</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">生物科技有這麼神奇嗎</span>? <span lang="ZH-TW">又怪不得習大大呼籲「上山下鄉」了;而美國還未宣佈加關稅之前</span></span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">中國先行清查各地「存糧情況」。美國會不會先行檢查「波鞋存貨」</span>? <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">而更兼「屋漏逢夜雨</span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">」</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">的天災人禍</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">是中國除了發生全國性的「非洲豬瘟」之外</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">最近又發現了「非洲蟲患」。</span></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; font-size: 8pt;">《雪上加霜!中國驚爆秋行軍蟲災 農業將受巨大衝擊》 </span><span style="font-size: 8pt;"><a href="https://m.ltn.com.tw/news/world/breakingnews/2785889">https://m.ltn.com.tw/news/world/breakingnews/2785889</a></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">於是乎中國除了即將發生肉食短缺之外</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">農作物失收也又是指日可待的事。</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">也別忘了</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">美國對中國出口其中一項大宗</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">是豬肉。這個情況看來不會逆轉得太快。之前中國之所會傳入了非洲豬瘟</span>,
<span lang="ZH-TW">其中一個原因</span></span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">就是東北某位地方領導</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">為了超前示範如何「不怕美帝來犯</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">豬肉自給自足」於是從鄰近的俄羅斯進口了生豬</span>,
<span lang="ZH-TW">充湊個數目出來</span></span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"> <span lang="ZH-TW">好讓上級來巡視的時候可以邀個功。不過其實俄羅斯這種物賤鬥人窮的國家</span>,
<span lang="ZH-TW">早就因為「饑不擇食</span></span><span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">」的原因</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">, <span lang="ZH-HK">經進口次貨豬豬</span></span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">,</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;"> <span lang="ZH-HK">早已變成非洲豬溫的疫區了。</span></span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-HK" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">今次蟲害情況很明顯一模一樣。由雲南那邊傳入。無他</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-HK;">, <span lang="ZH-HK">當中央政府派人來查「存糧</span></span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">」的時候</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">要是貨倉不夠</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">怎麼辦</span>?
<span lang="ZH-TW">臨急抱佛腳</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">次貨死貨也要拉來充嘛。反正南邊有大量又是物賤鬥人窮的地方, 就拉一些貨吧。</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">什麼檢疫制度</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">… <span lang="ZH-TW">要是這些貨物可以經正常渠道進口</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">留了個記錄</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">還算是「填數」嗎</span>? <span lang="ZH-TW">天真嬌啦。</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">今次中美貿易戰的主要戰場</span><span style="font-family: "pmingliu" , serif; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;">, <span lang="ZH-TW">其實不在工業那邊呀</span>, <span lang="ZH-TW">是生死存亡的問題。這就要看看習大大怎樣「一力承擔」了。</span><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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Alex Shiuhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02859312955376952283noreply@blogger.com0